NASCAR DFS: DraftKings Lineup Plays for Race No. 2 at Dover

Brian Polking

Must-Own Drivers

Martin Truex Jr. ($11,300)

Truex continued his run of success at Dover on Saturday, leading 88 laps on his way to a second-place finish. He now has seven Top 5s in the last eight races here, and he has led 50-plus laps five times in that span. Starting 19th in Sunday's race, he adds the place differential category as a significant source of points. He should easily finish as one of the top scorers.

Denny Hamlin ($10,600)

After leading the most laps at Dover last fall, Hamlin led all drivers in both dominator categories on Saturday, sweeping both stages and picking up the win. The invert has him starting 20th in the second race of the weekend, giving Hamlin a chunk of place differential points to gain on top of his dominator upside. He's my top building block for Sunday.

Kurt Busch ($8,300)

A wreck in the opening laps of Saturday's race saddled Busch with a last-place finish and has him starting 28th on Sunday. He entered the weekend with an 11.4 average finish, the fourth-best mark in the series, and just two finishes outside the Top 20 all year. I'm expecting at least a Top 15 out of Busch, and at this price, I think you'll want a ton of exposure.

Cash Plays

Kevin Harvick ($11,700)

Harvick didn't pile up dominator points in the first race of the weekend, but he did have one of the strongest cars based on the scoring loop data, and he came away with a fourth-place finish. He has finished sixth or better in the last five races at Dover, and thanks to the invert, Harvick will have plenty of differential points at his disposal. He has one of the highest floors of any driver.

Chase Elliott ($10,900)

After leading the first 27 laps on Saturday, an issue on pit road had him digging out of a hole the rest of the afternoon. Still, he rallied to finish fifth, giving him seven Top 5s in nine career Dover starts. Dominator points are certainly a possibility, but starting 16th, Elliott should post a strong score on finishing position and place differential points alone.

Kyle Busch ($10,000)

Busch delivered for DFS lineups in Saturday's race, gaining 19 spots and finishing third in one of his best runs of the season. He will start 18th in the second leg of the doubleheader, putting him in position for a repeat performance. Busch should cruise to a solid point total.

Christopher Bell ($6,900)

NASCAR's new formula for setting positions 21-40 this weekend has somewhat limited the safer options among the low-priced drivers, but Bell is an exception. He will start 24th, but he typically cracks the Top 20 and has Top 10 upside. With the place differential category working in his favor, I like him a source of cap relief in cash lineups.

GPP Specials

Brad Keselowski ($10,400)

I'll be surprised if Denny Hamlin and Martin Truex Jr. aren't the top dominators on Sunday, but if you are looking for a contrarian play, Keselowski could be the guy. For starters, he ranked in the Top 5 in most of scoring loop categories in Saturday's race. He is also scheduled to start 12th Sunday, putting him ahead of the other dominant drivers from the first race. Keselowski could get to the front first and start stacking laps led points.

Clint Bowyer ($8,200)

For me, Bowyer was the biggest surprise of Saturday's race. He stayed up front all afternoon, finishing sixth while ranking in the Top 5 in green flag speed and average running position. He will start 15th on Sunday, and he could be an ideal pivot to any of the high-priced drivers starting in the middle of the pack.

Matt DiBenedetto ($6,800)

Starting from the pole after the invert, DiBenedetto will be a boom-or-bust play from the pole on Sunday. Still, the price tag is so low that he can be a steal if he just manages to grab some early dominator points and finish in or around the Top 10. If I am rolling the dice on one of the cheap options near the front, I am taking DiBenedetto and the clean air.

Tyler Reddick ($6,500)

He flashed Top 10 potential during Saturday's race, ultimately settling for a 13th-place finish. Reddick will start inside the Top 10 Sunday as a result of the Top 20 flip, but I think he can deliver a solid run and come close to breaking even in terms of place differential. You sacrifice any cushion as far as differential points are concerned, but at this price, a Top 10 finish alone will be well worth it.

Comments (3)
No. 1-1
Jaspott
Jaspott

Brian, did you quit making your weekly picks (1-30) without notice or can you point me in the right direction as to where we might find the info?


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