Daily Dr. Roto — August 30, 2018
Seattle Seahawks Team Preview
Outlook: Normally I have been quite positive about the Seahawks coming into the previous few seasons, but some recent injuries on both offense and defense as well as the departure of some trusted veterans do not bode well for 2018 success.
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QB: The Seahawks are Russell Wilson’s team. He is as vital to his team as any player is in the entire NFL. Wilson's greatness is not only seen in his arm or with his legs, but in his sheer demeanor and his team leadership. He inspires the rest of his teammates to be better as players. This is a skill that very few players have. As for Fantasy, Wilson is one of the top three QBs available. Even though I am worried about the quality of his receivers this season, Wilson’s running ability sets him apart from his competition. Look for him to have 4000 yards passing with 25-28 TDs and another 500 yards rushing. He should most likely be the third QB taken in most drafts.
RB: When the Seahawks drafted Rashaad Penny in the first round of this year’s rookie draft many Fantasy experts were skeptical since they did not think he deserved to be selected that early. Seattle seems to be sticking by their selection, as they seem pleased with Penny—until—he injured his broken finger which has been placed in a cast for a month. This puts Penny way behind Chris Carson in terms of reps. Would I still draft Penny? Absolutely, but I think that it might take him about six to eight weeks to emerge in this offense. My early projection for him is 700 yards rushing and 150 yards receiving this season. Chris Carson went from being a Fantasy darling last season to a Fantasy nothing after getting injured in Week 4. He is back and healthy again and tearing up training camp. Out of all the running backs available in drafts, it looks like Carson’s value is rising the highest, mainly due to his early season opportunity. I am struggling with what to do with Carson right now. If I take him too early, it could be a mistake if Penny comes back and asserts himself into the picture. But, if I fade him, it could come back to haunt me. I am projecting about 900 yards and 7-8 TDs from Carson as of this moment which puts him in the RB3 mix. I will take him as such if the opportunity presents itself in my drafts.
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WR: Recently, Doug Baldwin told reporters that his knee was at 80-85% healthy and that he didn’t feel that he would be in perfect health all season. While this does sound ominous, I can’t remember the last time that any NFL player was fully healthy during the season. That said, I think it is imperative to knock Baldwin down a few rounds on draft boards. No longer can he be counted on as a WR1 for Fantasy purposes. I see him more as a WR2 and someone who I will take in Round 5 or 6 at this point. Baldwin’s injury might have been the inspiration for the Seahawks to have signed Tyler Lockett to a three-year contract with $20 million guaranteed. I have always liked Lockett, but I worry if his frame is big enough to stand the pounding of a 16 game NFL season. I have been drafting Lockett as a WR5, but with Baldwin being injured, Lockett’s draft stock rises. Up until this point, Russell Wilson has used Lockett primarily on deep passing routes but for Lockett to become a real star, he will have to improve his intermediate route running as well. The Seahawks added Jaron Brown and Brandon Marshall this off-season, but as of right now I am not sure that either player is worth drafting.
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TE: With newly signed free agent Ed Dickson out with a quad injury, it looks as if Nick Vannett will begin the season at tight end. Vannett is an excellent blocker but hasn't had similar success as a receiver thus far. Wilson likes throwing to his tight end in the red zone, and Vannett is a big target, so it would not be shocking to see him get 4-5 TDs this year, making him somewhat relevant in standard leagues. If Dickson comes back, he could win the job as the receiving tight end, but as of right now, my best projection is about 30 catches for 300 yards since he has not built up any rapport with Wilson to this point.
K: It seems weird to see Sebastian Janikowski in a Seahawks uniform, but the team signed him this off-season, and the job is clearly his. Seabass is still a good kicker, but I wonder if there will be a ton of opportunities for him.
D: LB Bobby Wagner is an IDP beast, but the rest of the Seahawks defense lacks in star power. I am especially worried about their new secondary without Thomas, Chancellor, and Sherman. Seattle may end up having one of the worst pass defenses in recent memory if they cannot fix their secondary issues.
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