Dr. Roto: Week 17 Visionary Plays - Count On Saquon
Daily Dr. Roto — December 28, 2018
Week 17 Visionary Plays
Welcome to the Wild Wild West!! If you are playing in a seasonal league which ends in Week 17, I pity you as it is so hard to watch stars being benched in the most critical week of play. Playing DFS is not much easier. Some teams have a lot to play for, while others don't. Some teams want to get a look at their younger players while others want to bench their starters for fear of injury. My best advice is as Walter White said to his brother-in-law Hank on Breaking Bad, “Tread lightly.”
Patrick Mahomes — The AFC #1 seed is on the line, and the Chiefs are playing against the Raiders who are coming off an emotional Monday night home victory against Denver. Mahomes should be able to dominate this contest, and I fully expect 300+ passing yards and at least three TDs from him.
Ben Roethlisberger — For the Steelers to make the playoffs, they are going to have to win at home against the Bengals and then hope that the Browns can upset the Ravens. I can pretty much guarantee that the Steelers will do their part. Big Ben plays exceptionally well at home, and the Bengals defense has been a sieve over the past eight weeks. Stacking Steelers is going to be a very popular DFS play in Week 17 — and with good reason!
Aaron Rodgers — Rodgers’ inspired play against the Jets has me thinking that he might want to end the season with a big home victory to get the fan base excited about 2019. The Lions have pretty much given up on defense and Rodgers should be able to attack their secondary all game long.
Josh Allen — The last time these two teams met, Allen was sensational throwing for 231 yards and rushing for another 135. I think the Dolphins will be more prepared for him this time, but I still think his mobility will be a problem for the sluggish Miami run defense. Sean McDermott will not give up on the season, and Adam Gase might be coaching his last game as a Dolphin. I think the scoreboard will reflect that storyline as well.
Saquon Barkley — Saquon needs a little over 100 yards to have 2000 total yards from scrimmage this season. I would take that bet for sure.
Damien Williams — Williams just signed a brand-new contract to keep him in Kansas City for the next couple of years. He has looked sensational the past few weeks since Kareem Hunt's suspension, and I see no reason why he can't have another huge 100-yard game against Oakland.
Royce Freeman — With Philip Lindsay done for the season, Freeman should get all the carries he can handle in Week 17. Freeman has been epically disappointing in 2018, so he really needs to play well to impress John Elway if he wants any chance of keeping his job next season.
Jeff Wilson — Wilson is in a great spot this week mainly because Matt Breida will not be playing. Look for him to have 20 touches and about 18-20 Fantasy points.
CJ Ander-puke — I am banking on the fact that Todd Gurley will sit once again. If that happens, look for CJA to get the call and rack up the touches in Week 17.
Jamaal Williams — Williams exploded against the Jets in Week 16 and won people seasonal leagues and DFS slates alike. I would use him without hesitation in Week 17 against the Lions who have struggled to stop the run for most of the year.
Peyton Barber — The Falcons are horrific against pass-catching running backs, so expect to see Barber with a few more catches than usual. The interesting thing about Barber for DFS purposes is that his price has barely gone up all season even though he has had some respectable games.
Antonio Brown — I love AB this week in a must-win game against a team which has packed it in weeks ago. We could see a ten catch, 200-yard game from him.
Davante Adams — It all comes down to health for Adams. If he is healthy, he will get 100 yards and a TD. The question is whether the Packers will risk playing him in a game that means nothing
Kenny Golladay — He’s been terrific since they moved him into the slot and the Packers have no one who can match his size, strength, and speed.
Alshon Jeffery — The Redskins have been incredibly generous to receivers all season, and Jeffery might have a tick of recency bias going his way after letting down his DFS (and seasonal) owners in Week 16.
Robert Foster/Zay Jones — I am not sure which one will thrive, but I like one of them (leaning Jones for now) to have a big game against a Miami defense that seems disinterested.
Julio Jones — Julio always plays well against Tampa as his size and speed are simply too much for the smallish Bucs secondary. So long as he is healthy, he is a must play in any format.
Curtis Samuel — I think Ron Rivera will come to his senses and bench CMC this week for fear of injury. If that happens, look for some quick outs, reverses, and handoffs to Samuel who is the Panthers fastest player by far.
Jake Kumerow — Call this my insane flyer play. I know that Rodgers loves him, and he could easily slither past the Lions no cover secondary for a score.
Travis Kelce — The Chiefs go as Kelce goes. In a must-win game to get the #1 seed, look for Mahomes to find Kelce early and often. I think he should be a lock for 100 receiving yards and 1 TD.
George Kittle — Trust me when I tell you that the 49ers are very cognizant of Kittle going after the tight end receiving record. I think they will do everything they can to get the ball into his hands. Players and coaches usually do not seek records, but when they are this close to getting them, they go for them. It is with this in mind that I will play Kittle on every team in Week 17.
Austin Hooper — The Bucs are really bad against opposing tight ends, so if you are looking to pivot off Kelce or Kittle, Hooper might be your best bet.
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