Daily Dr. Roto — September 28, 2018
Week 4 Visionary Plays
Matt Ryan — I had my doubts about Falcons OC Steve Sarkisian's play calling (I still do as a matter of fact), but so long as the Falcons get WR Calvin Ridley involved in the offense, there's no way that Sarkisian can screw this up. Look for Ryan to have a huge game at home with 300+ passing yards and 2 TDs.
Drew Brees — Remember the last time the Saints played the Giants? I think it was a 90-point game total where the last team who scored (Saints) won the game. This game won't be in the Superdome, but it won't matter. Both teams play poor defense, and Vegas has this game at over 50 points. Brees should go for 300+ passing yards for sure in this one.
Eli Manning — Remember my visionary adage: always look at the highest scoring QB of the week (Brees) and then play the opposing QB. If you follow that rule, it tells you to start Eli Manning who will have to have another huge game if the Giants want to stay competitive.
Andy Dalton — With Joe Mixon and Billy Price still out, Dalton will continue to use the short passing game with Tyler Boyd and Tyler Eifert and the deep passing attack with A.J. Green and John Ross to put a ton of points on the board.
Tom Brady — I pity the Dolphins as they head into Foxboro. The Patriots were embarrassed on Sunday Night Football, and you KNOW that Brady is going to make the Dolphins pay. I see him throwing 3-4 TDs in this contest, and I will own him all over in DFS.
Alvin Kamara — If I must tell you to play Kamara, you should probably find another hobby.
Saquon Barkley — The Saints have been solid against the run thus far this season (no team has run for more than 76 yards against them), but they have never faced a RB as talented as Barkley. Barkley gets an amazing number of yards after contact, and if the Saints defense over pursues, he will make them pay with a big gainer. I really like him to have a good week.
Gio Bernard — Gio should get another 15-20 touches in a game that should be wide open. Start him in all formats.
Tevin Coleman — Is it crazy to think that the Falcons are a better team with Coleman at RB instead of Freeman? I think they are. Coleman is a big, bruising back who can run, catch, and block. He won’t pull off a big run too often, but if you give him enough carries he can do damage. I like him for 100+ total yards from scrimmage this week.
David Johnson — Is this the week that Johnson finally breaks out? I hope so as I think Rosen at least will keep defenses honest which was something that wasn’t happening with Bradford as QB. Look for the Cardinals to establish the run to help set up the play-action passing attack for Rosen.
Sony Michel — With Rex Burkhead on IR and James White more of a pass catching back Michel is going to have every opportunity to lead the Patriots in rushing. I really love his upside and think he has a great shot at 90+ yards and a TD this week against an overrated Dolphins defense.
DeAndre Hopkins — Watson basically throws to Hopkins or Fuller every time he steps back to pass. We haven’t seen Hopkins go off yet this season, so he feels due to have a big week against a defense that does not have anyone who can cover him one on one.
T.Y. Hilton — Hilton always seems to play well against the Texans, and I think that this week will be no different. As more incentive to start him, you might think that Andrew Luck might try to silence his critics about his arm by throwing one or two deep balls to Hilton.
Julio Jones — Ridley got his 3 TDs last week, so if Sarkisian and Ryan want to keep Julio happy, they are going to have to make sure he gets fed the football. Look for Julio to go well over 100 yards.
Allen Robinson — With all the injuries the Bucs have in their secondary, I am not sure there is any one player who can cover Robinson. Robinson struggled last week with Patrick Peterson; I don't expect that to happen at all in Week 4.
Sterling Shepard — Lattimore is going to cover OBJ, and with Engram out, Eli Manning might be needing to throw to Shepard if he wants to find an open receiver. Shepard would be a WR1 on most teams in the NFL — watch him have a huge week.
Amari Cooper — Jon Gruden is going to make sure that he gets Cooper more involved in the Raiders’ offense this week after his disappearing act against the Dolphins in Week 3. Many people will be afraid to play Cooper (especially in DFS), but that is exactly the reason you will get him lower owned.
Jarvis Landry — Goodbye Tyrod Taylor, hello Baker Mayfield. Mayfield's accuracy should make Landry an even bigger threat than he already was. I am excited to see the two of them play together and think that Landry will see about 12-14 targets in this matchup.
Rob Gronkowski — The Dolphins LBs have no one who can cover Gronk and Gronk always seems to have a big game against the Dolphins at home. Put those two things together, and I see him with eight catches for 100 yards with at least 1 TD.
Jimmy Graham — The Packers are going to score early and often on the Bills, and Graham should be a big part of their offense. Graham has been quiet thus far this season, so this game gives him a perfect opportunity to break out and show that he can still be a threat for Aaron Rodgers.
Trey Burton — I will tip my cap to Chris Rose if Burton hits, as he said that Burton is from Florida and will have a lot of fans at Tampa Stadium rooting for him. Moreover, the Bucs have been the worst team in the NFL against the tight end, making Burton an outstanding start in any format.
Ryan Griffin — If you are looking for a sneaky play, look no further than Griffin. The Colts let up 17 receptions to tight ends last week in Philadelphia, so if Griffin can get at least a 1/3 of those receptions, he will be a fantastic under-the-radar play in Week 4.