Milwaukee at Chicago: Temperature in the 70's, clear, and wind blowing out to left 10 to 12 miles per hour.
Shane Bieber, CLE (DK $10,600)
Bieber is coming off a 12-strikeout game against the Tigers in a game in which he pitched three innings, dealt with the snow, and gave up an early home run to Miguel Cabrera. The Royals have had no trouble with the bats thus far but it's worth noting that they were are coming off a series against the Rangers and on Monday they started this series with Cleveland against fifth-starter Logan Allen. Bieber had a 48 percent K-rate at home last season, obviously in limited duty with the shortened season but it's worth noting that in two starts against these Royals, Bieber totaled 23 strikeouts in 12 innings including 14 K's in his one start at home against the division rival.
Trevor Bauer, LAD (DK $10,200)
Bauer did not disappoint in his first start as a Dodger despite fading out a bit late in his outing against the Rockies in Colorado. Bauer blanked the Rockies until the seventh inning when he allowed four runs and in the process accumulated 10 strikeouts. Now, heading into a ballpark that is heavily favorable to the pitcher against a lineup that is scuffling a bit with a 25 percent K rate early feels like a good spot to back Bauer in what should be another strong outing.
Hyun-Jin Ryu, TOR (DK $7,300)
In his first start of the season against a dangerous Yankee lineup, Ryu was rock solid posting five strikeouts and allowing just two earned runs in 5.1 innings. The Rangers come in striking out over 30 percent of the time as a team and Ryu, who is favorably priced at $7,300 may not be a high strikeout guy, but he'll get his, especially in this matchup and I wouldn't be surprised to see him be the chalk SP2.
Jack Flaherty, STL (DK $7,800)
Flaherty was incredibly inefficient with a sizable lead in his Opening Day start, so much so that he was lifted before finishing five innings. With that being said, the Marlins offense may be stingy but they are not a team that scares me. In a pitchers park in a game that should be low scoring, Flaherty presents as a pivot off of Ryu with solid upside in what should be a bounce-back effort.
Teams to Target
Toronto Blue Jays
Cavan Biggio - Bo Bichette - Vlad Guerrero Jr. - Lourdes Gurriel
There isn't really a spot to hide for any pitcher taking on the Blue Jays this season and thus there isn't really a Jay bat that isn't in play here. Kyle Gibson and the Rangers staff as a whole are going to take a pounding this season and the Jays are going to put up a lot of crooked numbers. Just like last night, look for the Jays bats to be popular, albeit expensive, the upside here is immense.
Chicago White Sox
Nick Madrigal - Adam Eaton - Jose Abreu - Yoan Moncada
With the injury to Tim Anderson (day to day), Nick Madrigal has moved into the leadoff spot for the time being and offers a ton of value. Adam Eaton is also a value option ahead of reigning MVP Jose Abreu and the switch-hitting Yoan Moncada. Justin Dunn is a young arm that came to Seattle a couple of years ago from the Mets. Long term Dunn looks like he'll be a good pitcher but early on control and command have been an issue for Dunn, see the 38:31 strikeout to walk ratio last season. In an underrated hitters park against a potentially potent lineup, the stacking the White Sox sets up as a nice late-slate hammer.
Cesar Hernandez - Jose Ramirez - Eddie Rosario - Franmil Reyes
Royals starter Jake Junis makes his first start of the season and he's doing so in a ballpark that favors left-handed hitters which Junis has always had trouble with. In 38 innings pitched in Cleveland, Junis has allowed seven home runs, more than he's allowed in any other park as a visitor. Now, this isn't the same Indians lineup with the subtractions of Francisco Lindor and Carlos Santana but they have brought in Eddie Rosario from Minnesota and he's moved right into the middle of the order. Rosario has raked over his career in Cleveland hitting nearly .350 in 46 games with 12 doubles and 11 home runs. Hernandez slots in the two-hole, Ramirez in the three followed by the aforementioned Rosario and the Franmil Reyes whose power is a game changer and the one righty I like for Cleveland in this game.
Top Positional Targets
- J.T. Realmuto, PHI (DK $5,000)
- Danny Jansen, TOR (DK $3,800)
- Omar Narvaez, MIL (DK $2,700)
- Rhys Hoskins, PHI (DK $4,900)
- Anthony Rizzo, CHC (DK $4,700)
- Yandy Diaz, TB (DK $3,700) *also 3B eligible
- Jake Cronenworth, SD (DK $3,800) *also 1B eligible
- Kolten Wong, MIL (DK $3,200)
- Jorge Polanco, MIN (DK $3,400)
- Justin Turner, LAD (DK $5,300)
- Nolan Arenado, STL (DK $5,400)
- Travis Shaw, MIL (DK $4,000) *also 1B eligible
- Francisco Lindor, NYM (DK $4,700)
- Xander Bogaerts, BOS (DK $5,400)
- Paul DeJong, STL (DK $4,400)
- Nelson Cruz, MIN (DK $5,100)
- Mookie Betts, LAD (DK $6,000)
- J.D. Martinez, BOS (DK $5,400)
- Tommy Pham, SD (DK $3,900)
- Andrew McCutchen, PHI (DK $3,200)
- Enrique Hernandez, BOS (DK $3,400)