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NBA DFS Droppin Dimes 1.3.2020

6 game slate with some solid games to target.

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Todays slate overview

Team breakdown: Highest total POR, BOS & LAL coming in next. BOS gets the biggest bump in pace, NY and PHI also get a decent pace bump. POR/WAS game will run at the fastest pace also this game has 2 of the top 5 worst defensive teams. Good game to target. This is a good tool to use to figure out what games are worth targeting and what teams to target positions against.

Notes:

*It Elfrid Payton sits out then Frank Ntilikina is a very good play at his price.

*James Harden is 10.9K on DK and has not put up less than 54 FPs in the last 5 games. He is probably the safest floor.

POINT GUARDS

Jrue Holiday

Holiday has been playing very well as of late positing 39 FPs or more in the last 5 games. At his current 7.4K DK salary he has hit value plus on all of those games. Played very well in the last game vs the Lakers.

Gary Payton Jr.

Beal has been ruled out and Payton’s price has gone down. Good time to get back on board.

Value

Ish Smith

Playing well as of late. Gets over looked with most leaning towards Payton or McRae. Has hit value in 4 of his last 5 games with an upside of 37 FPs.

Anfernee Simons

At the start of the season not many played Simons. After putting up some solid games he became chalk a few nights. Now he is back to an after thought and should come in at low ownership. Still the same player with some solid upside tonight.

SHOOTING GUARDS

CJ McCollum

Excellent matchup for the Blazers tonight against the Wizards. Fast pace and bad defense. I usually look to Dame, but his price is up which will limit his upside. Lillard is in play tonight In this matchup. McCollum has taken 20 or more shots in 5 of his last 7 games and should do the same tonight.

Marcus Smart

Celtics will be with out Kemba Walker tonight. Averaging close to 20 shots per game along with a 29% usage rate. This should get distributed through out most of the starters with Tatum, Brown and Hayward picking this usage. Smart has been back 2 games now and is averaging 22 FPs in that timeframe. With Walker out and a fast paced game I can see Smart doing very well tonight.

Value

Kendrick Nunn

Nunn continues to play over 30 minutes a game and has posted 22 or more FPs in 4 straight games. Shot has been off over the past few games, so once he gets going we should see some upside.

JJ Redick

Price is way down on Redick after one poor performance. Bounce back game tonight vs the Lakers.

Eric Gordon

Since coming back from injury Gordon played 22 and 26 minutes. We could see an increase tonight against the Sixers which should be a close game. He is way too cheap right now at only 3.7K

SMALL FORWARDS

Gordon Hayward

Since returning from his last injury Hayward has come back with out losing a step. Tonight he gets one of the best matchups you can ask for against the fast paced defenseless Hawks. Hayward is the guy I look to when Kemba Walker is off the court. He will take on a leadership roll and play a well rounded game tonight stuffing the stat sheet.

Kelly Oubre

Playing at a high level over the past 3 games. 45, 50 and 53 FPs. Solid matchup vs the Knicks.

Value

Terrance Ross

The Magic will be without Isaac and potentially Gordon tonight. This opens up more minutes for bench players like Ross.

Kent Bazemore

Bazemore is a frustrating player to roster due to his volatility. He can get you 5-40 FPs. This is a spot where he should show upside especially at his 3.5K price tag on DK.

Garrison Mathews

Beal is ruled out an this will open up some minutes. Mathews played solid minutes last game when Beal sat out. 3K on DK.

POWER FORWARDS

Anthony Davis

Pace up spot for the Lakers which helps with upside. Last time out against his former team Davis took 30 shots and scored 41 real points.

Julis Randle

Playing at an elite level as of late. 50,48,61,47 FPs over the last 4 games. Pace up spot for the Knicks tonight so we should see another solid game from Randle. Can play at C on DK.

Derrick Favors

The Pelicans will need to play Favors 3 plus minutes tonight to stay competitive with the Lakers big men.

Value

Daniel Thies

Thies has been consistent most of this year and should really excel in this type of matchup.

Kyle Kuzma

Playing well since returning from injury. Pace up spot and excellent matchup.

CENTERS

Joel Embiid

Embiid is cheaper than WhiteSide tonight. Good spot in a pace up game.

Value

Anzejs Pasecniks

I have been targeting the Blazers with opposing centers as of late and has been paying off. Tonight will be no different, but I will be targeting the backup center. Pasecniks has been playing around 20 minutes a game and avereging .9 FPPM on the year. This is will a fast paced game with potential for Pasecniks to hit his upside. One of my favorite plays tonight and can see a floor around 18-20 with upside of 30.

Javale McGee

Should have a Field day against the Pelicans tonight. Even in limited minutes. Dirt cheap on DK and constrain to roll with him and Pasecniks.

Risk/Reward Play of the Day
Jabari Parker

Parker is back tonight after a few games off. His minutes have gone down, but at his current price and the fact the Celtics have trouble with offensive players like Parker. I can see him coming in at 2% with potential for 20-25 FPs.

**Keep an eye in SlackChat for any additional updates as we get closer to lock.

6 game slate with some solid games to target.

Todays slate overview

Team breakdown: Highest total POR, BOS & LAL coming in next. BOS gets the biggest bump in pace, NY and PHI also get a decent pace bump. POR/WAS game will run at the fastest pace also this game has 2 of the top 5 worst defensive teams. Good game to target. This is a good tool to use to figure out what games are worth targeting and what teams to target positions against.

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