Scouting the NBA 2/28

Nate Weitzer gives you the first look at tonight's NBA slate
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Plays of the Day

Value: Eric Gordon should return from an illness tonight and he could thrive in a fast-paced matchup against the Clippers. He’s under priced after missing a few games but should remain a go-to-scorer for Houston, especially with Ryan Anderson (hip) and Clint Capela (illness) likely out.

Fade: Anthony Davis is coming off an historic line against the Suns and is nearly impossible to stop, but the Spurs have done the best job of containing him in past seasons. San Antonio should devise a scheme to at least contain The Brow and possibly hold him under 50 FPs tonight.

Point Guards

Kyrie Irving – (8,200 DK/8,600 FD)

The Celtics have made some adjustments coming out of the ASB and so far the biggest issue is that they’ve been too good, blowing out lackluster competition in the Pistons and Grizzlies thus far. Now Boston hosts a legit playoff team in Charlotte and Irving should dazzle in a premier PG matchup against Kemba Walker. Charlotte is giving up the most PPG (28.08) to opposing SGs over the last week and while Kyrie plays the point, he certainly sees more usage than Marcus Smart or Terry Rozier at the two-guard spot. With 56 points on efficient 19-of-35 FG shooting over those easy wins, Irving appears to be cooking once again and he’s a bit under priced on DK tonight.

Andrew Harrison – (5,700 DK/6,000 FD)

With Tyreke Evans (ribs) out, Harrison should continue to serve as a solid mid-tier option. He produced a combined 31 points and 13 assists over two tough road matchups at Miami and Boston and will now face a Suns team that gives up the fourth-most PPG (23.11) to opposing PGs and most PPG (112.8) overall this season. Harrison sees a four percent rise in usage rate (to 25.2%) when Evans is off the floor this season and Memphis has no reason to rush its primary scorer back from injury.

Potential Value

Cory Joseph - (5,200 DK/5,100 FD)

Joseph was solid in a meeting with the Hawks last week and should draw another start with Darren Collison (knee) out.

Longshot

Dennis Smith Jr. - (5,800 DK/6,000 FD)

Perhaps the rookie rises to the challenge in a H2H battle with Russell Westbrook tonight.

Shooting Guards

 Mandatory Credit: Erik Williams-USA TODAY Sports

Mandatory Credit: Erik Williams-USA TODAY Sports

James Harden – (11,200 DK/11,200 FD)

Harden has been magnificent during the Rockets’ league-leading 13-game winning streak with averages of 32.2 PPG and 8.4 APG and he draws a juicy matchup tonight against a Clippers team that is playing on 0 days rest. The Clips give up the fourth-most FPPG (43.63) and second-most APG (5.21) to opposing SGs this season and Harden happened to drop 51 points in his sole meeting with them this season. There’s nothing to dislike about him tonight other than his lofty price tag.

Devin Booker – (8,600 DK/8,700 FD)

Booker has flashed his incredible upside with a combined 70 points, 19 rebounds and 10 assists over his last two appearances and he makes for a solid consolation if you can’t afford Harden at SG tonight. His usage rate is up to 31.4 percent after hositing 28 FGA in both of those games and he’s playing some PG as well for Phoenix. The Grizzlies usually stout defense has sprung plenty of leaks and now ranks 21st in defensive rating while giving up an above average 22.56 PPG to opposing SGs and the most FPPG (54.14) to opposing PGs over the last month.

Potential Value

Eric Gordon - (4,800 DK/4,500 FD)

Gordon should return from an illness tonight and is capable of lighting up the Clippers as well.

Longshot

Lou Williams - (7,900 DK/7,700 FD)

Williams will do his best to keep the Clippers in the game at home tonight against Houston.

Small Forwards

Kevin Durant – (9,700 DK/9,800 FD)

Washington is playing great team ball right now and that makes the Warriors superstar worth deploying in a potentially high-scoring road tilt. Durant grew up in the D.C. area and has these games circled on his calendar, as evidenced by his 31-point, 11-rebound, 6-assists performance against Washington in October. Now he’ll play in front of friends and family in a plus matchup against the Wizards and perhaps he’ll be motivated to attempt more shots in contrast to his usual ultra-efficient lines.

Khris Middleton - (6,700 DK/7,500 FD)

Middleton is surprisingly cheap on DK considering he’s averaging 21 PPG on efficient 35-of-71 FG shooting (49.3%) over his last five appearances and faces a Pistons team that ranks 28th in opponents 3-point shooting percentage (.374%) this season. He’s posted averages of 21.3 PPG, 6 RPG and 7 APG while shooting 54.2 percent over three meetings with Detroit this year and should continue to snipe from the perimeter as the Pistons slow defense collapses on Giannis Antetokounmpo.

Potential Value

Tyrone Wallace - (4,700 DK/4,500 FD)

Wallace remains a solid value with Avery Bradley (groin) out and Danilo Gallinari (hand) doubtful tonight.

Longshot

Taurean Prince - (5,700 DK/5,200 FD)

Prince has been wildly inconsistent but is worth a look in GPPs against the Pacers.

Power Forwards

 Mandatory Credit: Reinhold Matay-USA TODAY Sports

Mandatory Credit: Reinhold Matay-USA TODAY Sports

Aaron Gordon - (7,000 DK/7,600 FD)

Gordon is coming off consecutive impressive performances and while he’s questionable with his lingering hip injury tonight, that could seriously lower his ownership rate in GPP Fromats. Raptors PF Serge Ibaka is a solid defender, but not necessarily quick enough to deal with the versatile Gordon, who is generally more productive with averages of 20.5 PPG and 8.7 RPG over 20 home games this season. Give him a look at a diminished price tag given the injury concerns.

Joffrey Lauvergne - (3,400 DK/4,100 FD)

With Pau Gasol (knee) doubtful tonight, LaMarcus Aldridge should see an increase in usage, but could struggle to score against Anthony Davis. That would leave backups such as Lauvergne to step up and help the Spurs elite offense maintain its production at home. He blew up for 26 points and 11 rebounds in the Spurs final game before the ASB when given increased opportunity. And he boasts a 21.2 percent usage rate while averaging 0.99 FPs per minute when Gasol and Kawhi Leonard are off the floor this season.

Potential Value

Luc Richard Mbah a Moute – (3,600 DK/4,200 FD)

Mbah a Moute will be forced to play heavy minutes with Ryan Anderson (hip) out and Clint Capela (illness) iffy tonight.

Longshot

John Collins – (6,100 DK/6,500 FD)

Collins is a good bet for a double double in a plus matchup against Indiana tonight.

Centers

Andre Drummond  – (9,600 DK/10,300 FD)

Drummond is a clear-cut top option tonight against the Bucks weak frontcourt. He averaged 21.3 PPG and 17 RPG over three meetings with the Bucks this season and should dominate skinny John Henson once again. Milwaukee allows the most PPG (24.47) and third-most RPG (16.32) to the position this season. Drummond is on fire with averages of 16.5 PPG and 17.8 RPG this month and should thrive in this matchup.

DeAndre Jordan – (7,900 DK/8,400 FD)

If Clint Capela (illness) can’t go tonight, Jordan would be free to dominate the boards in a fast-paced matchup with a lofty 228-point Over/Under. Houston notably takes the most threes per game (42.5) by far this season, which leads to more rebounds on misses and Jordan is rocking a career-high 36.2 percent defensive rebounding rate. He snared 20 rebounds to go along with 15 points in a meeting with the Rockets earlier this season and has produced five consecutive double doubles as he grows a bit more comfortable with Blake Griffin out of the picture.

Potential Value

Marcin Gortat – (4,800 DK/4,700 FD)

Gortat remains dirt cheap and he could punish the small-ball Warriors down low.

Longshot

Myles Turner – (7,300 DK/7,000 FD)

Turner blew up against Dallas in his last outing and draws another juicy matchup tonight against the Hawks.

Plays of the Day

Value: Eric Gordon should return from an illness tonight and he could thrive in a fast-paced matchup against the Clippers. He’s under priced after missing a few games but should remain a go-to-scorer for Houston, especially with Ryan Anderson (hip) and Clint Capela (illness) likely out.

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