Week 7 NFL DFS Reports
Alvin Kamara, NO (DK – $7,900/FD – $9,300)
Kamara remains the top running back in PPR scoring (29.52 FPPG) with two impact games (38.40 and 44.70 fantasy points). He is on pace for 122 catches for 1,264 receiving yards, which will regress with Michael Thomas back on the field. Kamara has an outside chance of gaining over 1,000 yards rushing as well. In 2019, he gained 159 combined yards with two touchdowns and 11 catches in two games against the Panthers. Running backs already have 995 combined yards with 10 touchdowns and 47 catches vs. Carolina or 34.41 FPPG. Kamara averages 21.2 touches per game with three games with two touchdowns. He has an excellent shot at 150 combined yards with multiple touchdowns and value in catches.
Ezekiel Elliott, DAL (DK - $7,800/FD – $9,500)
In the fantasy trading world, Elliott looks to be the player on the decline with injuries to his offensive line and the dropdown in quarterbacks. Despite those concerns, Dallas still gives him 22.2 touches per game with a rebound in chances in receptions (32/204/1). The Cowboys continue to fall behind early, which led to short rushing attempts by him in three of their last four games (14, 12, and 12). Elliott doesn’t have a game with over 100 yards while on pace for 16 touchdowns. Last season he had two productive games (20.00 and 27.4 fantasy points) against Washington. Running backs have nine touchdowns against the D.C. football team while allowing 131 combined yards per game. Elliott is an active player with a reasonable floor, but his high salary makes him tough to trust.
Derrick Henry, TEN (DK – $7,500/FD – $8,900)
Henry hit on a pair of long plays, leading to a monster game (264 combined yards with two touchdowns and two catches). He moved to third in running back scoring (22.24 FPPG) in PPR leagues. Henry has two touchdowns in three straight games and three games with over 100 yards rushing. His success puts him on pace for 2,150 combined yards with 19 touches and 25 catches. Pittsburgh is extremely tough to run on (99/331/3) with minimal damage in the passing game (16/153/1). Workhorse back, but Henry looks to be against the grain in Week 7.
Update: Jones is now OUT. Jamaal Williams gets the nod and becomes an instant consideration for your lineup builds. Aaron Jones, GB (DK – $7,200/FD – $8,500)
The Packers struggled to find open field for Aaron Jones in Week 6, which led to him gaining only 41 combined yards with one touchdown and three catches. He has a score in each game and seven touchdowns in five contests. His best value came in Week 2 (236 combined yards with three touchdowns and four catches) at home. Houston has been a disaster defending running backs (1,117 combined yards with nine touchdowns and 25 catches). Green Bay may be without their left tackle this week, which is a concern for Jones's explosiveness. The top play of the week at running back, while drawing more attention after the drubbing by Derrick Henry last week.
Kareem Hunt, CLE (DK – $6,800/FD – $7,100)
In his two games as the starter for the Browns, Hunt gained 150 combined yards with one touchdown and five catches. Game score in Week 6 led to him only being on the field for 53 percent of Cleveland’s plays in a blowout game vs. a good Steelers’ defense. Off the bench in Week 2, Hunt gained 101 yards with two touchdowns and two catches against the Bengals. The Browns’ running back finished with 234 combined yards with four touchdowns and four catches in that game. Cincinnati played better defending running backs over the last three games (one touchdown) thanks to fewer rushing attempts (19.7 per game). Over the first three weeks, the Bengals allowed 36.7 rushes for 545 yards and five touchdowns. Hunt came out of last week’s game with a hip issue that appears to be minor. I expect him to fly under the radar this week, even with a winnable matchup.
James Conner, PIT (DK – $6,700/FD – $7,200)
After a slow start in Week 1 (17 yards and two catches), Conner gained over 100 yards in three of his last four games (16/106/1, 18/109/1, and 20/101/1). He extended his scoring streak to four games. Pittsburgh gave him 19.75 touches per game over the past four weeks. Tennessee allows 5.1 yards per rush with running backs scoring six touchdowns in five games. The Vikings dominated on the ground against the Titans in Week 3 (241 combined yards with one touchdown and three catches). A sneaky matchup, but I expect his play to regress on the road.
Mike Davis, CAR (DK – $6,600/FD – $7,700)
For the first time as a replacement for Christian McCaffrey, Davis posted a short game (55 combined yards with a touchdown and two catches) against the Bears. Over four games as a starter for the Panthers, he gained 406 combined yards with four touchdowns and 24 catches or 21.9 FPPG. The Saints limit the damage in the run game (141/501/4 – 3.6 yards per carry). Running backs have 28 catches for 158 yards and two touchdowns vs. New Orleans. Decent floor, but his upside will have to come in the passing game.
Chris Carson, SEA (DK – $6,400/FD – $7,600)
Carson ranks fifth in running back scoring (19.98 FPPG) despite failing to rush for over 100 yards in any game. He has six touchdowns in five games while scoring between 19.75 and 25.00 fantasy points in four weeks. On the year, Carson averages only 16.4 touches per game. In 2019, he gained 145 combined yards with four catches against the Cardinals on the road. Arizona gives up 26.53 FPPG to running backs, with the Panthers having the best success (181 combined yards with two touchdowns and seven catches). With the passing game of Seattle expected to be popular at DraftKings in Week 7, Carson may be the player who breaks through with an impact game.
Update: Mixon is now OUT. Giovani Bernard gets the nod and becomes an instant consideration for your lineup builds. Joe Mixon, CIN (DK – $6,300/FD – $7,400)
Mixon left last week's game with a foot injury that appears minor despite missing practice on Wednesday. Over his previous three starts, Mixon gained 344 combined yards with four touchdowns and 14 catches while averaging 27 touches per game. His highlight game (181 combined yards with three touchdowns and six catches) came at home in Week 4. In his first matchup against the Browns, Mixon gained 86 yards with four catches). Cleveland will give up rushing touchdowns (8) with rushers gaining only 3.8 yards per carry. His projections could be upgraded or downgraded later in the week, depending on his health.
James Robinson, JAC (DK – $6,200/FD – $6,400)
Robinson continues to be a top 10 running back in PPR leagues (17.15 FPPG – 9th), but his ticket hasn’t come in over the previous three weeks (14.70, 11.00, and 15.30 fantasy points) despite favorable matchups in each contest. His floor is helped by his value in the passing game over the last month (6/83, 4/32, 5/22, and 4/24/1). Jacksonville had him on the field for about two-thirds of their plays over the previous three weeks. The Chargers allow 4.4 yards per rush, with running back scoring four touchdowns and catching 39 passes. Robinson needs the Jaguars to play from the lead to improve his chance of being a play at DraftKings. Don’t dismiss as his lower percentage own may create a winning edge in Week 7.
Clyde Edwards-Helaire, KC (DK – $6,100/FD – $7,000)
With Le’Veon Bell waiting in the wings to steal Edwards-Helaire’s touchdown, the Chiefs fed their top running back in Week 6. He finished with a season-high 30 touches, leading to 169 combined yards with four catches. His only touchdown came in Week 1. Edwards-Helaire is on pace for 1,819 combined yards with 56 catches while trailing the top running backs due to his scoring shortfall. His touches (21.3 per game) should drop by 20 percent when Bell is ready to take the field. Denver is league average defending running backs with backs scoring only one touchdown. His direction is positive, and Bell may or may not play this week. Need more info while treading toward an avoid.
Todd Gurley, ATL (DK – $6,000/FD – $6,600)
The Falcons increased Gurley’s snaps over the previous three games, but he’s not been on the field for more than 60 percent of their plays since Week 2. Over his last four games, he gained 362 yards with four touchdowns and nine catches. In Week 6, Gurley had a season-high 23 touches for 67 yards and three catches in a blowout win. His play has been at home (6.1 yards per rush) with three touchdowns, 289 combined yards, and seven catches. The Lions have plenty of risk vs. the run (148/725/7 – 4.9 yards per rush) with running backs catching 23 balls for 212 yards and two touchdowns. His scoring ability (five TDs), play at home, and matchup makes him a live option in Week 7.
Jerick McKinnon, SF (DK – $5,800/FD – $5,500)
With Raheem Mostert out this week with a high-ankle sprain, McKinnon takes over the starting job. In Week 3 and Week 4 as a starter, he gained 174 combined yards with two touchdowns and 10 catches on 39 touches. This week McKinnon may lose some touches and playing time to JaMycal Hasty. The Patriots allowed only one touchdown to running backs, with ball carriers gaining 4.2 yards per rush. I'm torn as his matchup isn’t ideal, limiting his upside.
Devin Singletary, BUF (DK – $5,800/FD – $6,200)
The Bills struggled to get Singletary going in their last two games (11/25 and 10/32 plus two combined catches for 21 yards). Last week with Zack Moss back on the field, Buffalo had him on the field for 75 percent of their plays. Singletary only has one touchdown on the year while gaining over 100 yards in one game (121 combined yards with four catches). The Jets held him to 53 yards and five catches in Week 1. New York traded away some of their defensive players this week, which will lead to regression against the run. They allow 4.2 yards per rush with running backs scoring eight touchdowns. His lack of scoring would push him elsewhere.
Melvin Gordon, DEN (DK – $5,500/FD – $6,700)
Gordon missed last week’s game with an illness while also dealing with an off the field issue. Denver stated that he would be suspended, putting on track to play on Sunday. He will have to contend with Phillip Lindsay for snaps for the first time since Week 1. Gordon was on pace for just a steady game in Week 4 (75 combined yards with one touchdown and two catches) until he hit on a 43-yard touchdown with less than two minutes in the game. Gordon finished with a season-high 25 touches and 80 percent of Denver's plays. The Chiefs rank poorly defending running backs (984 combined yards with 31 catches), but they allowed only three touchdowns to backs. Possible score, but his opportunity will hinder his upside in yards and catches.
D’Andre Swift, DET (DK – $5,400/FD – $6,100)
After a quiet first four games (166 combined yards with two touchdowns and 13 catches), Swift found his stride in Week 6 (123 combined yards with two touchdowns and three catches) on a season-high 17 touches. The Lions had him on the field for 38 percent of their plays, which was in line with his snaps in Week 1, Week 2, and Week 4). The Falcons struggle to defend running backs in the passing game (46/328/4). No longer a layup based on his salary at DraftKings, but he will be active again this week.
David Johnson, HOU (DK – $5,300/FD – $6,300)
Johnson remains a boring option in the daily games due to his lack of explosiveness. Over his last four starts, he scored between 11.00 and 13.90 fantasy points. Johnson slipped to 23rd in running back scoring (76.90 FPPG). He is on pace for 1,251 combined yards with eight touchdowns and 32 catches while averaging 16.5 touches per game. Green Bay struggles to defend the running back position (821 combined yards with nine touchdowns and 35 catches). Not a bad price and his matchup may lead to his best success since Week 1 (19.90 fantasy points).
Phillip Lindsay, DEN (DK – $5,300/FD – $6,000)
As the lead back for Denver in Week 6, Lindsay gained 101 yards on 23 carries, but he didn’t have a chance in the passing game. The Broncos had him on the field for 63 percent of their snaps. This week he’ll work as the second running back off the bench for Denver with a chance at about 40 percent of the team’s running backs snaps.
Joshua Kelley, LAC (DK – $5,100/FD – $6,200)
Kelley ended up being a bust in Week 5 (38 combined yards and a catch on 12 touches) as the Chargers ran with the hot hand of Justin Jackson (94 combined yards with five catches on 20 touches). Kelley only saw the field for 35 percent of the running back snaps, which was a step down from Week 4 (57 percent). After a bye week, Jackson has been limited by a knee issue, which may lead to Kelley receiving a rebound in chances. The Jaguars have downside defending running backs (1,032 combined yards with nine touchdowns and 38 catches). Right kind of matchup if he gets off to a hot start, and Jackson is limited with his injury.
Antonio Gibson, WAS (DK – $5,000/FD – $5,700)
After surprising in Week 4 at home vs. the Ravens (128 combined yards with one catch and four catches), Gibson came up short in his last two starts (51 combined yards and four catches and 55 combined yards and four catches). He’s on pace for 1,040 combined yards with eight touchdowns and 51 catches. The Cowboys’ defense struggled against the run in their last three games (40/307/3, 27/89/2, and 35/261/3), with rushers gaining 5.1 yards per carry on the year. Right kind of gamble, but J.D. McKissic will steal some of his snaps and chances.
James White, NE (DK – $4,900/FD – $5,200)
In a chaser game last week, White finished with eight catches for 73 yards. Over his previous two outings, he gained 132 combined yards with 15 catches on 22 touches. Running backs have 23 catches for 174 yards and a touchdown on 33 targets against the 49ers. It’s all about game flow here.
Kenyan Drake, ARI (DK – $4,800/FD – $6,000)
Drake ended his five-game slump with a breakout showing vs. the Cowboys (20/164/2). Over his first five starts, he gained only 336 combined yards with two touchdowns and six catches. Overall, Drake averages 18.5 touches per game. His success in Week 6 put him on pace for 1,333 yards and 11 touchdowns. In 2019, Drake dominated in Seattle (184 combined yards with two touchdowns and three catches). The Seahawks played well vs. the run over the first four games (21/72/1, 25/67/2, 21/61/1, and 22/103/1), but the Vikings crushed them with their running backs in Week 5 (247 combined yards with two touchdowns and eight catches). A streaky player whose floor is lower than expected due to less value in the passing game.
Week 7 NFL DFS Reports
Alvin Kamara, NO (DK – $7,900/FD – $9,300)
Kamara remains the top running back in PPR scoring (29.52 FPPG) with two impact games (38.40 and 44.70 fantasy points). He is on pace for 122 catches for 1,264 receiving yards, which will regress with Michael Thomas back on the field. Kamara has an outside chance of gaining over 1,000 yards rushing as well. In 2019, he gained 159 combined yards with two touchdowns and 11 catches in two games against the Panthers. Running backs already have 995 combined yards with 10 touchdowns and 47 catches vs. Carolina or 34.41 FPPG. Kamara averages 21.2 touches per game with three games with two touchdowns. He has an excellent shot at 150 combined yards with multiple touchdowns and value in catches. Subscribe for full article
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