With some scheduling changes, the DraftKings' main slate now features all of the game Sunday, including the Sunday Night game pinning the Seattle Seahawks visiting the Arizona Cardinals. We haven't seen the Sunday night game included on the main slate in a long time but I really love it. It's going to be a great full day of football with some high-scoring games on the horizon. Here are a few of my favorite stacks for Week 7!
The matchups of late couldn't be better for Kyler Murray and the Cardinals. Last week they faced the Dallas Cowboys, the worst defense in football and this week they're home to face the worst pass defense in the league in the Seattle Seahawks. Murray has not been elite throwing the ball this season by any stretch of the imagination and there are some serious flaws in his mechanics and overall delivery of the ball. However, this is a pass defense that has seen quarterbacks thrive at their disposal, see below:
- Matt Ryan, ATL (450 yards - 2 touchdowns)
- Cam Newton, NE (397 - 1)
- Dak Prescott, DAL (472 - 3)
- Ryan Fitzpatrick, MIA (315)
It's no secret that Seattle has been a funnel for quarterbacks overall but it hasn't improved. They're allowing 340 passing yards per game over the past four weeks (three games). Murray has a major opportunity to put some passing numbers up in addition to the rushing ability that he brings. The second-year quarterback has eclipsed 60 yards rushing in four games this season while leading all QB's with six rushing touchdowns.
Deandre Hopkins has a 32 percent target share and is third among wide receivers in total targets this season. Coming off a sub-par showing against Dallas (2-73) I'm expecting "Nuk" to expose the Seahawks' secondary who have allowed the most DraftKings points per game to the receiver position over the past four weeks.
Christian Kirk has been somewhat inconsistent but with the value, he brings on DK ($4,900), he's worth owning in a high-total game against this troubled defense.
Run it Back: WR Tyler Lockett, SEA (DK $6,600)
Lockett is the preferred target to run back the Cardinals within a plus-matchup for him out of the slot. Lockett lines up in the slot over 60 percent of the time and will match up with Byron Murphy who's allowing an 87.5 passer rating. While that number isn't as bad as some of the other inept slot corners in the league, it is higher than what Patrick Peterson is allowing, who'll likely be matched up with D.K. Metcalf and plus, Lockett is less expensive than Metcalf who is priced up at $7,200.
There are a few things to discuss here with the Lions and their passing game. First, the entire coaching staff in Detroit should be shown the door. Get them all out. This offense might be the more predictable, boring unit the league has seen in years. The matchup that the Lions had last week was golden for the passing game, things just didn't work out because it seems like the Lions are intent on hiding Matthew Stafford. With that being said, this should be a game in which Detroit should have to throw that ball as Atlanta has actually been stout against the run allowing 97 yards per game on the ground, fifth-best in the league.
It's quite the opposite for the passing game, as they're allowing the second-most passing yards per game, over the past four weeks they're allowing 324 yards passing per game as well as 8.3 yards per attempt. There is also some promise here for Stafford as the 11-year veteran has 32 red zone attempts which are sixth in the league.
Tight end T.J. Hockenson has been hit or miss this season but over the past three games, he's been a heavy target in the aforementioned red zone. Over that span, Hockenson has seen eight targets in said area and Atlanta is allowing the second-most DraftKings points to the tight end position over the past four weeks.
Kenny Golladay has been Stafford's most targeted receiver over the past two seasons and he's seen 21 targets in three games this season. With a 13.7 average depth of target and four deep targets, Golladay has good upside with big-play ability while also getting a high volume of targets. The script should play well in the Lions' favor this week with the matchup with the Falcons hopefully being competitive throughout.
Run it Back: WR Calvin Ridley (DK $7,300)
Last week was a big one for Julio Jones ($7,100) but Ridley had a nice showing as well with six catches for 61 yards and a touchdown. He'll look to pick up where he left off in another good matchup against Detroit rookie Jeff Okudah. Okudah was a first-round pick from Ohio State and highly touted but he's had a tough time adjusting to playing cornerback in the NFL. Okudah has allowed 22 completions on 29 attempts for 319 yards, a passer rating of 96.8, and 227 completed air yards.
Los Angeles Chargers
The elite defense of the Jaguars from a few years back has disintegrated before our eyes, as Jacksonville is allowing 418 total yards per game, 271 passing yards per game, and 30.2 points per game. With the rushing game in flux between two running backs and an extra week to prepare, the way for the Chargers to attack the Jaguars in my mind is through the air.
Since taking over the starting role, rookie Justin Herbert has recorded 19.70, 24, and 27.36 DraftKings points with a total of eight touchdowns. Herbert hasn't been afraid to push the ball downfield with his strong arm averaging 8.5 yards per attempt (third at the quarterback position), 19 deep ball attempts (nearly five per game), and he's been poised with the fifth-best pressured completion percentage.
Keenan Allen has a 31 percent target share and has had less than eight targets in just one game (week five when he left early). He's good to go here after the bye week and could see a lot of Tre Herndon in coverage who has been brutal allowing 19 completions on 26 attempts for 234 yards, two touchdowns, and a 126 passer rating.
Mike Williams has been banged up a bit but his ability to stretch the field is a major asset for Herbert. That was evidenced in Week 5 when Williams saw eight targets hauling in five of them for 109 yards and two touchdowns. With a 17.6 aDOT and 17.4 yards per reception, Williams brings immense upside with his $4,700 value price tag.
Run it Back: RB James Robinson
You could easily look at D.J. Chark ($5,500) here but I'm going to look at the volume of James Robinson as he's been involved no matter the game script. Last week in a game that the Jaguars were behind right away Robinson still had 16 touches, seven of which came in the red zone (five carries, two receptions). That was the fewest touches Robinson has seen in any of his last five games, all of which have been losses by the way, so I would expect a heavy workload again.
Pittsburgh Steelers: QB Ben Roethlisberger (DK $6,600), WR JuJu Smith-Schuster (DK $5,500), WR Diontae Johnson (DK $4,200)
New Orleans Saints: QB Drew Brees (DK $6,100), RB Alvin Kamara (DK $7,900), WR Tre'Quan Smith (DK $4,000)
With some scheduling changes, the DraftKings' main slate now features all of the game Sunday, including the Sunday Night game pinning the Seattle Seahawks visiting the Arizona Cardinals. We haven't seen the Sunday night game included on the main slate in a long time but I really love it. It's going to be a great full day of football with some high-scoring games on the horizon. Here are a few of my favorite stacks for Week 7!Subscribe for full article
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