Week 7 NFL DFS Reports
DeAndre Hopkins, ARI (DK – $8,200/FD – $9,000)
In a favorable matchup, Hopkins turned in his lowest production (2/73) of the year despite receiving eight targets. He shined in three of his first five starts (14/151, 10/137, and 6/131/1) while averaging 10.2 targets per game. A blowout game led to him being on the field for 77 percent of the Cardinals’ plays (season-low). Seattle remains one of the worst defenses in the league vs. wide receivers (108/1,472/7), with three opponents having success (ATL – 27/401/2, NE – 23/330, and DAL – 26/405/3). Seven wide receivers gained over 100 yards against the Seahawks, plus three other receivers had at least eight catches. Despite their failure, receivers only have eight passing touchdowns vs. Seattle. Hopkins is a workhorse receiver that needs to find his scoring rhythm.
Davante Adams, GB (DK – $7,900/FD – $8,900)
In his first game back on the starting lineup after missing two games, Adams caught six of his 10 targets for 61 yards. In Week 1, he dominated the Vikings (14/156/2). Houston can be beaten on the ground, which limits the damage in the passing game. Over the last two contests, quarterbacks passed for over 300 yards (301/2 and 364/4), with wide receivers picking up 32 catches for 373 yards and five touchdowns. Two wide receivers (Adam Thielen – 8/114/1 and Justin Jefferson – 4/103) gained over 100 yards against the Texans. CB Bradley Roby allows a high-catch rate for minimal yards per catch in 2020, but he will give up some touchdowns. With most focusing on Aaron Jones is this matchup, Adams may be the most successful Packers player.
Michael Thomas, NO (DK – $7,600/FD – $8,600)
The Saints haven’t officially cleared Thomas to play this week. He turned in a limited practice on Wednesday while trending toward playing against the Panthers. Thomas has five weeks to recover from his high ankle sprain. In 2019, he played well at home vs. the Panthers (10/101/1). After coming off the best season of his career (149/1725/9), Thomas had the highest floor and consistency rating at wide receiver in the NFL. He scored over 20.00 fantasy points in 10 of his 17 starts in 2019, highlighted by four impact games (41.20, 30.40, 30.80, and 31.60). Carolina ranks highly defending wide receivers (72/795/4) with three wide receivers gaining over 100 yards (Mike Evans – 7/104/1, Keenan Allen – 13/132/1, and Calvin Ridley – 8/136). I expect him to hit the ground running in Week 7.
Calvin Ridley, ATL (DK – $7,300/FD – $8,400)
Ridley turned in a competitive game (6/61/1) against the Vikings while watching Julio Jones post an impact showing (8/137/2). After six weeks, Ridley is the highest scoring wide receiver (20.18 FPPG) in PPR leagues with two impact games (9/130/2 and 7/109/2). Other than a zero in Week 4, he averaged seven catches for 109 yards and one touchdown. The Lions allowed over 200 yards to wide receivers in three games (14/201/1, 17/208/2, and 13/181/2). CB Jeffery Okudah will have his hands full, but he hasn’t allowed a touchdown this year. He will give up some big plays and a high catch rate. Worthy of a piece in Lions/Falcons stack.
DK Metcalf, SEA (DK – $7,200/FD – $7,300)
Metcalf has been one of the most consistent wide receivers this year. He has five touchdowns in his five starts with a floor of four catches and 92 yards. His catch rate (56.4) is offset by his 22.5 yards per catch. Metcalf is on pace for 70 catches for 1,587 yards and 16 touchdowns. Last season he caught only one pass for six yards on five targets in two games against the Cardinals. Wide receivers have 77 catches for 924 yards and four touchdowns against Arizona, with two players having impact games (Terry McLaurin and Jamison Crowder – 8/116/1). His short resume in this matchup isn’t ideal, and CB Dre Kirkpatrick has played well. The bet here is Russell Wilson and the progression of Metcalf. I’ll put him in the contrarian column in Week 7 at DraftKings.
Julio Jones, ATL (DK – $7,100/FD – $8,300)
Coming into Week 6, Jones had risk of not starting due to a hamstring issue. He dominated the Vikings (8/137/2), which was his annual game with a pair of touchdowns. Jones has 19 catches for 318 yards and two touchdowns on 26 targets in his three full weeks of action. CB Amani Oruwariye played well in all five of his starts, but Jones's matchup will be his toughest test. He did miss practice with a hamstring issue. Tempting after his big game, and Detroit will score on the Falcons.
Stefon Diggs, BUF (DK – $7,000/FD – $7,500)
Diggs continues to have a high floor. His lowest output came in Week 3 (4/49/1) while delivering one impact game (8/153/1). He is on pace for 112 catches for 1,480 yards and eight touchdowns. In Week 1, Diggs had eight catches for 86 yards against the Jets. He averages 9.8 targets per game. The Jets struggled in two games (BUF – 23/247/1 and ARI – 19/285/1) against wide receivers while ranking 14th (78/1,049/5). Tim Patrick (6/113/1) and DeAndre Hopkins (6/131/1) had the most success vs. New York. His matchup with CB Pierre Desir is favorable, but Diggs needs a competitive battle on the scoreboard to have follow-through in his stats.
Amari Cooper, DAL (DK – $6,900/FD – $7,800)
In his first game paired with Andy Dalton at quarterback, Cooper caught seven of his 10 targets for 79 yards with a touchdown. His one impact game (12/134/1) came at home. He is on pace for 123 catches for 1,341 yards and five touchdowns. Last year Cooper had eight catches for 138 yards and one touchdown on 10 targets in two games against Washington. They rank first in wide receiver defense (61/849/3), with no wide receiver gaining over 90 yards. Cooper tends to play at home, and Dallas has a lot to prove in this matchup.
Will Fuller, HOU (DK – $6,800/FD – $6,900)
Fuller has a touchdown in four straight games, highlighted by his success in Week 4 (6/108/1) and Week 6 (6/123/1). Similar to Calvin Ridley, he posted a zero in one game while averaging 5.6 catches for 91 yards and 0.80 touchdowns in his other five starts. Fuller is on pace for 75 catches for 1,213 yards and 11 touchdowns. Green Bay plays well defending wide receivers (57/676/6), with Adam Thielen (6/110/2) having the only productive game. CB Jaire Alexander continues to be a top player in coverage, and he should shadow Fuller on a high percentage of his plays in this matchup. His cover skills led to short games by Calvin Ridley (0/0) and Mike Evans (1/10). Fuller is a player to avoid this week at DraftKings.
Kenny Golladay, DET (DK – $6,700/FD – $7,600)
Golladay has 14 catches for 224 yards and two touchdowns with seven targets per game in his three weeks of action. His floor has been 14.5 fantasy points in PPR leagues. The Lions had him on the field for 76.1 percent of their plays. Both Marvin Jones and Danny Amendola appear on the injury report, signifying that Golladay should see a bump in targets. The Falcons allowed over 200 receiving yards to wide receivers in five games (16/232/1, 16/292, 15/212/2, 18/253/1, and 14/230/3). Five wide receivers (CeeDee Lamb – 6/106, Amari Cooper – 6/100, Allen Robinson – 10/123/1, Robby Anderson – 8/112, and Justin Jefferson – 9/166/2) gained over 100 yards. Golladay looks to be a lock for 100-plus yards with a touchdown.
Tyler Lockett, SEA (DK – $6,600/FD – $7,400)
Lockett drifted back to eighth in wide receiver scoring (17.64 FPPG) after two short games (2/39 and 4/44). He posted an impact game (9/100/3) in Week 3 vs. the Cowboys. Over the first three weeks, Lockett had 24 catches for 259 yards and four touchdowns on 29 targets. In 2019, he had five catches for 63 yards on 11 targets in two games against Arizona. CB Bryon Murphy allowed a ton of touchdowns last year, but his play has been much better this season. Both Seahawks’ wide receivers come into this game with big question marks based on the previous season.
CeeDee Lamb, DAL (DK – $6,500/FD – $6,200)
Lamb has 11 targets in each of his last two games. His floor has been five catches, with his only two touchdowns coming in Week 4 (5/79/2). He gained over 100 yards in two home starts (6/106 and 8/124). Lamb sits 12th in wide receiver scoring (16.50 FPPG) with two mediocre games on the road (5/59 and 5/65). CB Jimmy Moreland hasn’t allowed a touchdown with receivers gaining short yards per catch. Priced two high for me, and the Cowboys’ offense can’t produce winning wide receiver stats if they don’t throw the ball 50 times a game.
Tyreek Hill, KC (DK – $6,400/FD – $8,000)
Hill stands out as an underachieving wide receiver after six games. He ranks 13th in wide receiver scoring (16.47 FPPG) with no impact games. His season started with a touchdown in five straight games. Hill produced two playable games (21.80 and 21.20 fantasy points). The Chiefs continue to give him short targets in too many games (6, 6, 6, 6, and 3). In his one start vs. the Broncos, he had five catches for 67 yards and two touchdowns. Pittsburgh beat the Broncos’ secondary for 21 catches for 250 yards and two touchdowns. Jamison Crowder (7/104) is the only wide receiver over 100 yards receiving. I’m going to shove all-in on Hill this week at DraftKings.
A.J. Brown, TEN (DK – $6,300/FD – $6,800)
Fantasy owners have to be happy with Brown's production in his two games (7/82/1 and 5/56/2) since returning from his injury. Tennessee looked his way eight times a game this year. His playing time rose to 84 percent in Week 6. Brown missed practice this week with his knee issue, which may only be maintenance. Pittsburgh showed more risk than expected defending wide receivers (64/889/7). Three teams (DEN – 13/205, HOU – 14/207/2, and PHI – 17/233/2) gained over two yards receiving. Darius Slayton (6/102/2) and Travis Fulgham (10/152/1) had the best receiving games vs. the Steelers. Tennessee will need to pass the ball to win this week, giving Brown a chance at increased targets.
Keenan Allen, LAC (DK – $6,200/FD – $7,000)
Over his first three games with Justin Herbert at quarterback, Allen had 28 catches for 290 yards and one touchdown on 40 targets. The Saints held him to two targets (2/29/1) in Week 5. He is on pace for 109 catches for 1,139 yards and six touchdowns. Allen missed practice this week with a back issue, but he should suit up on Sunday. The Jaguars rank below the league average defending wide receivers (78/1,004/5). Their biggest failure came against the Texans (20/284/2). Two wide receivers (Brandin Cooks – 8/161/1 and Kenny Golladay – 4/105) gained over 100 yards against Jacksonville. Right kind of opportunity with a resume of success at home.
Odell Beckham, CLE (DK – $6,100/FD – $6,700)
Beckham posted a short game (2/25) against the Steelers, which wasn’t helped by Baker Mayfield struggling with an injury. Over his previous four games, he gained 344 yards with four touchdowns and 18 catches with a respectable game against the Bengals (4/74/1). Cincinnati ranks 12th in wide receiver defense (74/969/6), with two teams gaining over 200 yards (20/271/2 and 13/202/1). D.J. Chark is the only player to deliver an impact game (8/95/2). CB William Jackson allows a low catch rate and minimal yards per catch. Only a neutral matchup.
Robby Anderson, CAR (DK – $6,000/FD – $6,400)
The Bears held Anderson to only five targets last week, but he still finished with four catches for 77 yards. His only touchdown came in Week 1. He has three games with over 100 yards receiving and three contests with eight catches or more. New Orleans slipped to eighth in wide receiver defense (44/751/7) after the Chargers beat them for nine catches for 195 yards and three touchdowns in Week 5. Twice this year, wide receivers beat the Saints in the deep passing game (Allen Lazard – 6/146/1 and Mike Williams – 5/109/2). His matchup with CB Patrick Robinson looks favorable.
Jamison Crowder, NYG (DK – $5,900/FD – $6,300)
Crowder has seven catches or more in all four of his starts while being playable in three games (7/115/1, 7/104, and 8/116/1), with the first coming against the Bills. He averages 11.5 targets per game while being off to his career's best start (29/383/2). Buffalo improved to 13th defending wide receivers (78/924/6) with a disaster game against the Rams (18/241/2). Typically, the Bills don’t shadow wide slot receivers, but they have to develop a plan to defend Crowder.
Terry McLaurin, WAS (DK – $5,800/FD – $7,100)
Kyle Allen looked McLaurin’s way 12 times in Week 6, leading to seven catches for 74 yards. Over his last two games, he has 10 catches for 100 yards on 19 targets. His best two games came in Week 2 (7/125/1) and Week 4 (10/118). In his only match vs. the Cowboys in 2019, McLaurin had five catches for 62 yards and one touchdown. Dallas ranks 28th defending wide receivers (71/1,071/11) with five wide receivers gaining over 100 yards (Robert Woods – 6/105, Calvin Ridley – 7/109/2, DK Metcalf – 4/110/1, Tyler McLaurin – 9/100/3, and Darius Slayton – 8/129). A very winnable matchup with a chance at touchdown and over 100 yards receiving.
Chase Claypool, PIT (DK – $5,700/FD – $6,400)
The rise of Claypool continued in Week 6. Over the last two games, he has 11 catches for 197 yards and five touchdowns. Claypool also had a productive showing in Week 2 (3/88/1). Pittsburgh had him on the field as the WR1 against the Browns (78 percent). On the year, Claypool only has one game with more than four targets. Tennessee fell to 30th in wide receiver defense (84/1,022/7) while allowing over 200 yards receiving to their last four opponents (JAC – 17/225/1, MIN – 11/211/2, BUF – 26/240/1, and HOU – 20/236/3). His matchup against CB Johnathan Joseph is favorable, and Claypool appears to be the Steelers’ top wide receiver.
DJ Moore, CAR (DK – $5,600/FD – $6,600)
Moore ranks 25th in wide receiver scoring (13.40 FPPG), which is below his expected value and success in 2019 (14.49 FPPG). His best two games came in Week 2 (8/120) and Week 5 (4/93/1). Moore is on pace for 72 catches for 1,264 yards and three touchdowns. In 2019, he had an impact game in New Orleans (6/126/2). A matchup against CB Marshon Lattimore looks unfavorable by name, but he’s struggled in coverage this season.
DJ Chark, JAC (DK – $5,500/FD – $6,500)
Over the last two weeks, while battling an ankle injury, Chark struggled to make plays (3/16 and 7/45 on 18 combined targets). Jacksonville had him on the field for 89 percent of their plays in Week 6. His only impact game (8/95/2) came in Week 4 vs. the Bengals. The Chargers are 20th defending wide receivers (73/887/3), with Tampa having the most success (16/245/2). Two wide receivers (Mike Evans – 7/122/1 and Emmanuel Sanders – 12/122) have over 100 yards receiving. The key to his upside will come from avoiding CB Casey Hayward.
JuJu Smith-Schuster, PIT (DK – $5,500/FD – $6,500)
Over the last two weeks, Smith-Schuster only has six catches for 34 yards on nine targets. The SI crowd preached dropping him this week despite being the 31st ranked wide receiver (12.48 FPPG). He’s only one good game away from being a top 15 wide receiver in PPR leagues. Smith-Schuster played well in Week 1 (6/69/2). The Titans have risk defending slot receivers, which signifies that he regains a bounce in his step in Week 7.
Tyler Boyd, CIN (DK – $5,400/FD – $6,000)
After trending forward in three straight games (7/72/1, 10/125, and 7/90), Boyd came up short in back-to-back games (4/42 and 5/54) on the road against the Ravens and Colts. Over his previous three games against the Browns, he has 17 catches for 206 yards and a touchdown on 21 targets. Cleveland ranks 27th in wide receiver defense (89/1,164/9) while showing the most downside against the Cowboys (26/319/3). Amari Cooper (12/134/1) has the only impact game. Possible flier thanks to his lower salary.
Tee Higgins, CIN (DK – $5,300/FD – $5,700)
The star of Higgins is starting to shine. Last week he hit on a 67-yard catch, setting up a solid day (6/125). Over his last four games, Higgins has 19 catches for 304 yards and two touchdowns while averaging eight targets per game. He moved to 36th in wide receiver scoring (11.57 FPPG). In Week 2, Cincinnati gave him WR3 snaps against the Browns (3/35 on six targets). Higgins led the Bengals in wide snaps in three of their last four games. His matchup with CB Denzel Ward is ideal, but he will allow some damage in touchdowns.
Brandin Cooks, HOU (DK – $5,200/FD – $5,900)
Cooks rebounded from his scoreless game in Week 4 with two straight strong games (8/161/1 and 9/68/1). His improvement pushed him to 29th in WR scoring (12.62 FPPG) while being on pace for 72 catches for 979 yards and five touchdowns. With Will Fuller expected to see shallow coverage, Cooks should be active in this game. He’ll face a much weaker cornerback. Watson is improving, and he is due to hit on a long touchdown. Not a bad dart if you are shopping at this salary level.
Emmanuel Sanders, NO (DK – $5,100/FD – $6,100)
With the Saints trailing early, Sanders finished his best game (12/122) since arriving in New Orleans. His value improved over his last three games (22/271/1) after minimal action in Week 1 (3/15/1) and Week 2 (1/18). Michael Thomas suffered a hamstring injury this week, which may lead to another missed game. CB Donte Jackson owns the edge in speed while holding wide receivers to short yards per catch.
Jerry Jeudy, DEN (DK – $5,100/FD – $5,600)
After five games, Jeudy is the 47th ranked wide receiver (9.92 FPPG). His season started with eight targets per game over the first three weeks, leading to 13 catches for 173 yards. Denver struggled to get him the ball over the previous two matchups (2/61/1 and 2/32 on nine combined targets). Kansas City inched up to fifth in wide receiver defense (60/797/6), with the Raiders having the most success (6/229/2). Game flow should lead to Denver needing to throw, creating a possible winning opportunity for Jeudy.
Deebo Samuel, SF (DK – $5,000/FD – $5,400)
Fantasy owners should safely trust Samuel going forward in season-long games. Last week he caught all six of his targets for 66 yards and a touchdown while being in the field for 82 percent of their wide receiver snaps. New England worked their way to 18th in wide receiver defense (57/817/7) after struggling against the Seahawks in Week 2 (15/228/4). New England could shadow him with CB Stephon Gilmore. Not ideal for daily games.
Julian Edelman, NE (DK – $5,000/FD – $6,000)
The Patriots’ passing game and Edelman has been dead in the water over the last three week. Edelman only has seven combined catches for 66 yards over this snap while averaging only six targets per game. He played well in Week 2 (8/179) vs. a weak pass defense (SEA). The 49ers lost some key defensive players, but they still rank 11th vs. wide receivers (74/869/6). Edelman continues to battle a knee injury. Not playing well, and the Patriots create minimal passing chances in most weeks.
Christian Kirk, ARI (DK – $4,900/FD – $5,400)
Over the last two weeks, Kirk has seven catches for 164 yards and two touchdowns on 10 targets. Over five games, he only has 13 catches for 240 yards and three touchdowns on 24 targets. Last season Kirk had only four catches for 37 yards in two games against Seattle. The Seahawks' risk against wide receivers invites more chances for Kirk if this game is played at a fast pace.
Corey Davis, TEN (DK – $4,800/FD – $5,200)
Davis returns from missing two games with a battle with Covid. His play was much improved over the first three games (7/101, 3/36/1, and 5/69) while averaging 6.3 targets per game. Davis helps the Titans’ passing game, but his targets won’t be impactful vs. a top defense. I need to see a game with A.J. Brown back on the field before playing Davis.
Keelan Cole, JAC (DK – $4,700/FD – $5,500)
The Jaguars gave Cole his best opportunity of the year in Week 6 (nine targets), leading to six catches for 143 yards. On the year, he has 27 catches for 362 yards and three touchdowns on 38 targets. Cole continues to get WR2 snaps for Jacksonville. Game flow is essential for him to be in play.
Mike Williams, LAC (DK – $4,700/FD – $5,900)
After a slow start to the year over three games (4/69, 2/14, and 1/17) and a missed week, Williams broke through with an impact showing (5/109/2) in Week 5. On the year, he averages only 5.5 targets per game. Williams has scoring ability while averaging 17.1 yards per catch in his career. I’d like to see more chances, but that will come if Los Angeles has to chase on the scoreboard.
Jarvis Landry, CLE (DK – $4,600/FD – $5,500)
It was revealed this week that Landry suffered a broken rib in Week 5. He still doesn’t have a touchdown this year with regression in his production (24/319). In Week 2, Landry only had three catches for 46 yards against the Bengals. CB Mackensie Alexander allows a high catch rate with receivers gaining short yards per catch. Landry seems unpriced based on his career resume, but he doesn’t look healthy.
Michael Gallup, DAL (DK – $4,600/FD – $5,600)
The Cowboys don’t have a long enough passing window for Gallup to have success from week-to-week. After an improvement in production (6/138/1) in Week 3, he only has eight catches for 125 yards on 15 targets over the past three games. In 2019, Gallup posted an impact game (5/98/3) in Week 17 at home against Washington. He’ll draw CB Kendall Fuller on most plays. Boom or bust option while being extremely tough to trust at this point of the year.
Tim Patrick, DEN (DK – $4,600/FD – $5,500)
Patrick played well in his last three starts (4/43/1, 6/113/1, and 4/101) while receiving 19 combined targets. Denver gave him starting snaps in all five games. CB Charvarius Ward will give up some big plays, but wide receivers tend to have a low catch rate. In the mix based on his recent play, salary, and possible chaser game.
Laviska Shenault, JAC (DK – $4,500/FD – $5,500)
The Lions held Shenault to three catches for 10 yards on seven targets in Week 6. His play improved over his previous three games (17 catches for 198 yards on 20 targets). He scored his only touchdown in Week 1. Shenault finished his last game with a season-high in snaps (73 percent). The talent to pay off, but his chances and scoring are where they need to be.
Week 7 NFL DFS Reports
DeAndre Hopkins, ARI (DK – $8,200/FD – $9,000)
In a favorable matchup, Hopkins turned in his lowest production (2/73) of the year despite receiving eight targets. He shined in three of his first five starts (14/151, 10/137, and 6/131/1) while averaging 10.2 targets per game. A blowout game led to him being on the field for 77 percent of the Cardinals’ plays (season-low). Seattle remains one of the worst defenses in the league vs. wide receivers (108/1,472/7), with three opponents having success (ATL – 27/401/2, NE – 23/330, and DAL – 26/405/3). Seven wide receivers gained over 100 yards against the Seahawks, plus three other receivers had at least eight catches. Despite their failure, receivers only have eight passing touchdowns vs. Seattle. Hopkins is a workhorse receiver that needs to find his scoring rhythm.Subscribe for full article
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