Week 8 NFL DFS Reports
Alvin Kamara, NO (DK – $8,200/FD – $9,000)
In Week 7, Kamara finished with expected value in yards (148) and catches (8). His lack of a touchdown and failing to rush for over 100 yards left him about 10 fantasy points away from filling his salary bucket. Kamara still finished as the third-highest scoring running back (22.80 fantasy points) for the week. Over six games, he averages 28.40 FPPG, which is 7.28 fantasy points higher than Derrick Henry. Running backs gained 933 combined yards with six touchdowns and 29 catches against the Bears over seven games—a neutral matchup with a high floor in catches.
Derrick Henry, TEN (DK – $8,000/FD – $9,500)
Henry struggled to find open space for most of the game vs. the Steelers, but he picked up some yards and a touchdown in the fourth quarter. His day ended with 72 combined yards on 22 touches. Henry extended his scoring streak to four games (seven touchdowns) with his impact game (40.40 fantasy points) coming in Week 6. The Bengals played better vs. the run in three of their last four games (20/89, 15/59/1, and 22/82). Cinci saw 110 rushes over the first three weeks, leading to running backs gaining 460 yards and five touchdowns. Henry will get plenty of carries with at least one touchdown. High floor player with multiple touchdown upside.
Dalvin Cook, MIN (DK – $7,500/FD – $9,200)
The Vikings will have Cook back in the starting lineup this week after missing one game. His play shined in Week 3 (199 combined yards with one touchdown and two catches) and Week 4 (146 combined yards with two touchdowns and two catches). His value in the passing game (12/64) is trailing his success in 2019 (53/519). Cook has a touchdown in each game (seven TDs total in five contents) with only a steady game against the Packers in Week 1 (48 yards with two touchdowns and one catch). The Vikings gave him 73 touches over his last three starts. Green Bay will give up production to running backs in the passing game (44/381/3). Rushers gain 4.6 yards per carry with seven touchdowns—an explosive player who needs more chances in the passing game.
Kareem Hunt, CLE (DK – $6,900/FD – $8,200)
The Browns used Hunt for 90 percent of their Week 7 snaps, which was his most in 2020. He finished with 102 combined yards with a touchdown and three catches. He sits ninth in running back scoring (16.41 FPPG), with his best game coming in Week 2 (24.10 fantasy points) off the bench in a split role. The Raiders rank 31st vs. the running back position (1,015 combined yards with 10 touchdowns and 42 catches). Las Vegas gave up two rushing touchdowns each week this season. Hunt looks poised to have his best game of the year, with over 100 yards rushing and multiple touchdowns. The Million Dollar push at DraftKings starts here in Week 8.
Jonathan Taylor, IND (DK – $6,600/FD – $7,300)
After six games, Taylor gained 529 combined yards with three touchdowns and 16 catches, putting him on pace for 1,411 combined yards with eight touchdowns and 43 catches or 232.1 fantasy points in PPR leagues. The Colts have had him on the field for 50.3 percent of their plays (59 percent in Week 6). Detroit ranks 28th in running back defense (29.72 FPPG). They allow 4.5 yards per carry, with running backs scoring 10 touchdowns. A tempting player as we haven’t seen the best of him, and the Colts' offensive line hasn't lived up to expectation in run blocking (3.6 yards per rush). I expect a touchdown with a run at over 100 yards rushing.
Clyde Edwards-Helaire, KC (DK – $6,500/FD – $7,500)
Game score got out of line in Week 7, which led to only nine touches for 63 yards with a touchdown and one catch. The Chiefs had him on the field for 53 percent of their plays compared to 33 percent by Le’Veon Bell. Edwards-Helaire is on pace for 1,703 combined yards with five touchdowns and 50 catches. The Jets are 26th in the NFL defending running backs (1,038 combined yards with nine touchdowns and 43 catches) over seven games. New York traded some of its defensive players over the last two weeks, which invites more regression against the run. New York should score a minimum of five touchdowns this week. I don’t see a high volume of chance for Edwards-Helaire, while Kansas City may be motivated to get Bell a touchdown against his former team.
James Conner, PIT (DK – $6,400/FD – $6,900)
The Steelers gave Conner 23 touches last week, leading to 111 combined yards and three catches. He dropped an easy touchdown with another touchdown called back due to a penalty. Over the previous five games, he gained 546 combined yards with four touchdowns and 13 catches. In his only game vs. the Ravens in 2019, Conner gained 55 yards with the touchdown. Baltimore is sixth in running back defense (825 combined yards with two touchdowns and 36 catches). Playing well, but this matchup looks to be against the grain.
Josh Jacobs, LV (DK – $6,200/FD – $7,800)
Six games into the 2020 season, Jacobs gains only 3.4 yards per rush with no rushes over 20 yards. His lack of explosiveness could be tied to an underlying knee issue, which led to a limited practice on Wednesday. Jacobs shined in Week 1 (139 combined yards with three touchdowns and four catches). Last week, he gained only 31 combined yards with three catches. The Browns hold rushers to 3.8 yards per carry, but they did give up nine touchdowns to running backs with some failure in the passing game (38/318/1). A high scoring game gives him a chance, but Jacobs isn’t playing well.
Jamaal Williams, GB (DK – $6,100/FD – $7,000)
The Packers gave Williams the full ride in Week 7, which led to 114 combined yards with a touchdown and four catches on 23 touches. Green Bay had him on the field for 89 percent of their plays. I don’t expect Aaron Jones to play this week. In Week 1, the Packers gained 195 yards with one touchdown and nine catches against the Vikings. Minnesota is league average defending running backs (864 combined yards with five touchdowns and 33 catches). His higher salary does require over 24.00 fantasy points to pay off—a coin flip.
David Montgomery, CHI (DK – $5,900/FD – $5,800)
Since earning the full ride at running back for the Bears after the injury to Tarik Cohen, Montgomery gained 225 combined yards with a touchdown and 16 catches on 59 touches over three games. He gained only 3.1 yards per rush over this span and 5.6 yards per catch. Over his 121 chances, Montgomery gained over 20 yards on two plays. The Saints play well vs. the run (155/538/5 – 3.5 yards per rush) with minimal damage in the passing game (33/182/2). Montgomery falls into the grinder category with midteen value due to his role in the passing game.
Darrell Henderson, LAR (DK – $5,900/FD – $6,100)
Over the last five games, Henderson shined in two games (19.00 and 21.80 fantasy points) while falling short of expectations in his other three starts (4.70, 9.20, and 9.70 fantasy points). He is on pace for 1,190 combined yards with nine touchdowns and 21 catches. The Rams had him on the field for 53 and 56 percent of their plays over the last two weeks. Miami has risk against running backs (25th – 901 combined yards with seven touchdowns and 34 catches). They allow 5.0 yards per rush. A big-play runner with scoring ability. Not ideal until he earns a more significant piece of the offensive game.
Giovani Bernard, CIN (DK – $5,800/FD – $5,900)
Bernard appeared to be a value play at DraftKings in Week 7, but he was frustrating to watch. He continues to gain short yards per rush (3.2), his same results as in 2019. Joe Burrow sniped an early rushing touchdown, pointing to a dull day by Bernard. He scored a late passing touchdown to save his day (96 combined yards with one touchdown and five catches). Cinci had him on the field for 76 percent of their plays, leading to 18 touches. The Titans are 16th defending the running back position (23.97 FPPG). They allow 4.9 yards per carry, with running back scoring seven touchdowns. Without a big play, Bernard will struggle to gain over 100 yards rushing, which means he’ll need two touchdowns to be in the mix at this level.
Jerick McKinnon, SF (DK – $5,700/FD – $6,000)
McKinnon ended up being a bust in all formats in Week 7 as the 49ers decided to ride the hot hand of Jeff Wilson. He finished with only three carries for -1 yards while seeing only 18 percent of the running back snaps. Game score eliminated any upside in the passing game against the Patriots. This week San Fran will give JaMycal Hasty plenty of chances. Seattle allows 4.1 yards per rush with running backs scoring six touchdowns, with success in the passing game (43/281/1). Too much downside risk to play in the daily tournaments.
Melvin Gordon, DEN (DK – $5,600/FD – $6,700)
After sitting out in Week 6, Gordon gained 80 combined yards with one touchdown and two catches on 19 touches against the Chiefs. Denver had him on the field for 60 percent of their plays in a blowout game. Phillip Lindsay was also knocked out of the game early with a concussion. The Broncos also said they wouldn’t punish Gordon this year for his DUI. He averages 16.12 fantasy points per game (10th in PPR leagues). The Chargers sit 19th in running back defense (24.40 FFPG). They allow 4.5 yards per rush with running backs scoring five touchdowns. Not a bad price when considering his chances and his game is at home.
D’Andre Swift, DET (DK – $5,300/FD – $6,300)
Swift's stock is trending up after his success over his last two games (171 combined yards with three touchdowns and seven catches on 30 touches. Last week in a chaser game, the Lions had him on the field for a season-high 45 percent of their plays. Detroit continues to rotate in three backs, which limits his touches and upside. Running backs have 27 catches for 178 yards and one touchdown against the Colts. Game flow is key here.
Carlos Hyde, SEA (DK – $5,300/FD – $5,000)
Hyde came off the bench last week to gain 76 combined yards with a touchdown and three catches on 18 touches. He came out of last week's game with a hamstring injury that looks minor. Chris Carson has a mid-foot sprain, which should lead to some missed time. The 49ers are second in the NFL vs. the running back position (721 combined yards with three touchdowns and 29 catches). I need more info here.
Myles Gaskin, MIA (DK – $5,200/FD – $5,700)
Gaskin gained 374 combined yards with one touchdown, and 17 catches on 83 touches over his previous four games. Even with many chances, he gained only 3.8 yards per rush and 7.1 yards per catch over this span. Miami had him on the field for 67 percent of their plays on the year. The Rams played well defending running backs over the past five games (17.90, 19.10, 21.00, 19.90, and 11.90 FPPG), lifting them to 11th in running back defense (927 combined yards with four touchdowns and 43 catches). A good floor due to his chances in the passing game.
Devin Singletary, BUF (DK – $5,100/FD – $5,700)
Last week Singletary lost some of his playing time and touches to Zack Moss, which is going to be a problem going forward. Over his previous three games, he averaged only 11 touches per game and 3.0 yards per rush. Buffalo had him on the field in Week 7 for a season-low 54 percent of their plays. Wrong kind of investment at this point of the year.
JaMycal Hasty, SF (DK – $5,000/FD – $5,600)
For a fantasy owner looking to bet on the come, Hasty could be a hidden gem. Over the last two games, he gained 100 yards and a catch on 19 touches. He gained 2,483 combined yards with 15 touchdowns and 79 catches over four seasons at Baylor. More of a bye week filler in the season-long games.
Joshua Kelley, LAC (DK – $4,900/FD – $5,900)
The running back situation is going to be fluid for the Chargers each week. Over the last two weeks, Kelley had 23 rushes for 58 yards (2.5 yards per rush) with minimal damage in the passing game (6/33 – 5.5 yards per catch). In comparison, Justin Jackson gained 149 combined yards with ten catches on 30 touches (4.2 yards per rush and 6.6 yards per catch). Denver ranks third in the NFL defending running backs (17.77 FPPG). They allow 4.3 yards per rush, with running backs scoring two touchdowns. I’ll give Jackson the edge in overall production, with both players being tough to trust at DraftKings.
J.K. Dobbins, BAL (DK – $4,600/FD – $5,100)
With Mark Ingram expected to be out this week, Dobbins should have his best opportunity of the year. He hasn’t scored a touchdown since Week 1 while averaging six touches per game. Over his 25 rushes, Dobbins gained 154 yards with two touchdowns. The Ravens have a high volume rushing quarterback that will steal touchdowns. Gus Edwards isn’t going away, which makes Dobbins is a wild card in Week 8. The Steelers lead the league in running back defense, with backs scoring five touches while gaining 3.4 yards per carry.
Le’Veon Bell, KC (DK – $4,600/FD – $6,000)
In his first game for the Chiefs, Bell gained 39 yards on six carries while being on the field for one-third of their plays. Kansas City is a definite favorite in this matchup, leading to some mop-up touches for Bell. I do expect the Chiefs to get him a touchdown against his former team.
La’Mical Perine, NYJ (DK – $4,300/FD – $5,300)
The Jets gave Perine starting snaps in Week 7 (70 percent). He finished 56 combined yards with a touchdown and two catches on 13 touches. Frank Gore comes into this week’s matchup with a hand issue. The Chiefs allow 4.9 yards per rush, but running backs only have four touchdowns. Over seven games, New York scored only eight touchdowns. Tough to get excited, but his salary may work.
Week 8 NFL DFS Reports
Alvin Kamara, NO (DK – $8,200/FD – $9,000)
In Week 7, Kamara finished with expected value in yards (148) and catches (8). His lack of a touchdown and failing to rush for over 100 yards left him about 10 fantasy points away from filling his salary bucket. Kamara still finished as the third-highest scoring running back (22.80 fantasy points) for the week. Over six games, he averages 28.40 FPPG, which is 7.28 fantasy points higher than Derrick Henry. Running backs gained 933 combined yards with six touchdowns and 29 catches against the Bears over seven games—a neutral matchup with a high floor in catches.Subscribe for full article
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