DraftKings Strategy TE Week 8

DraftKings Strategy TE Week 8

NFL DFS Week 8: Tight Ends Report - Jonnu Smith Remains the Value Du Jour

An in-depth NFL DFS guide to the Week 8 tight ends to target and fade when setting your daily lineups.
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Week 8 NFL DFS Reports

George Kittle, SF (DK – $7,000/FD – $7,700)

This season Kittle has been an every other week player, with his best success in Week 4 (15/183/1) and Week 6 (7/109/1). He ranks first in tight end scoring per game (18.44 fantasy points) but second in tight end points (92.20) due to two missed games. In 2019, Kittle had seven catches for 86 yards in his one game against Seattle. The Seahawks have yet to allow a touchdown to the tight end position while ranking fourth (19/281) in fantasy points allowed. Their success comes from a favorable schedule against tight ends (ATL, NE, DAL, MIA, MIN, and ARI). Seattle has plenty of risk vs. wide receiver, but the 49ers don’t have the right depth to expose their weakness. Kittle will be active with an excellent chance at over 100 yards receiving and a touchdown.

Travis Kelce, KC (DK – $6,600/FD – $7,900)

The defensive scoring by the Chiefs in Week 7 led to Kelce posting his lowest output (3/31) on the year. He delivered over 20.00 fantasy points in three (24.00, 24.80, and 8/108/1) of his previous six contests. Kelce leads the league in tight end production (40/501/5). The word on the street has Kansas City blowing out the Jets with an early show for their top players. In today’s high scoring passing environment, Mahomes could easily finish with five touchdowns or more and well over 300 yards passing. New York struggled in two games (8/55/2 and 4/55/2) vs. the tight end. The first matchup came against the 49ers without George Kittle. The Jets rank 18th in tight end defense (29/329/5) with multiple games against teams that lacked strength at the position. Kelce has to be in play for me in Week 8 as his salary is low enough to produce an impact game.

Mark Andrews, BAL (DK – $5,800/FD – $7,000)

Andrews has five touchdowns in his six starts, but three of his games (1/29, 3/22, and 2/21) came in well below expectations. He’s yet to gain over 60 yards in any contest while averaging only 5.5 targets per game. Andrews had playable value in two weeks (5/58/2 and 3/57/2) thanks to his scoring. Last year Pittsburgh held him to five catches for 45 yards. The Steelers sit 8th in tight end defense (23/234/1) with a low catch rate (50 percent). Tough to trust based on his matchup and his path in 2020.

Darren Waller, LV (DK – $5,600/FD – $6,800)

Raiders Darren Waller Fantasy Football

Over his previous five games, Waller has a high floor in three starts (9/88, 5/48/1, and 6/50/1), with his impact success coming in Week 2 (12/105/1). Based on targets (9.3 per game), he ranks first in the league at his position and 11th at wide receiver. The Browns struggled in three matchups (BAL – 7/61/2, CIN – 11/87/1, and DAL – 6/96/1) against the tight end position. Cleveland ranks 21st in tight end defense (40/369/4) while allowing 31.5 points per game. The Raiders will score this week, and Waller is the best scoring option in the passing game for Las Vegas. Viable with game flow helping his follow-through.

T.J. Hockenson, DET (DK – $5,300/FD – $6,000)

Hockenson extended his scoring streak to three games after posting his highest results in Week 7 (5/59/1). Over six games, he has 22 catches for 256 yards and four touchdowns, leading to the sixth place ranking at tight end (12.27 FPPG). Despite his growth, Hockenson averaged only 5.2 targets per game. The Colts lead the league in tight end defense (17/134) with a low catch rate (47.2). Indianapolis has yet to face a team with a top tight end option. Overpriced based on his 2020 scoring.

Mike Gesicki, MIA (DK – $4,900/FD – $5,500)

Emptiness has been tied to Gesicki in three games (1/15/1, 1/15, and 0/0) of his past four starts while receiving short targets (3, 3, and 2) in those short outings. His only impact showing (8/130/1) came in Week 2. Overall, Gesicki averages five targets per game with a 12th place ranking in tight end scoring (9.68). The Rams fell to 22nd defending tight ends (41/379/4) after struggling in back-to-back games (7/109/1 and 9/91). With Los Angeles expected to take away one of the Dolphins’ wide receivers with CB Jalen Ramsey, Gesicki should see a bump in targets. A donation feel, but he may surprise with a change at quarterback.

Noah Fant, DEN (DK – $4,700/FD – $5,700)

After missing two games, Fant was on the field for 70 percent of the tight end plays in Week 7. He finished the second-most targets (7) on the year, but Fant caught only three of his chances for 38 yards. Over his first four games, he had 19 catches for 219 yards and two scores. In 2019, Fant had only two catches for 11 yards in two games against the Chargers. Los Angeles ranks 20th defending tight ends (26/318/4) with struggles in two games (KC – 9/90/1 and TB – 5/82/2). Denver has yet to find their passing rhythm in 2020, which makes Fant more of a gamble until he plays better.

Jimmy Graham, CHI (DK – $4,600/FD – $5,400)

The Bears gave Graham five catches in each of his last two starts, but he gained fewer than 35 yards for the fourth straight games and sixth time on the year. His only matchup of value came in Week 3 (6/60/2). Overall, Graham averages six targets per game. New Orleans gave up over 14.00 fantasy points to tight ends in five contests. They allowed six touchdowns to the TE position over the first five games with disaster in two matchups (LV – 14/137/1 and GB – 9/104/2). Doormat feel, but his matchup gives him a chance at a score.

Jared Cook, NO (DK – $4,400/FD – $5,800)

Cook scored a touchdown in his last two starts after missing Week 4. On the year, he only has 14 catches for 198 yards and three touchdowns in five games while averaging only 4.4 targets per game. His best opportunity came in Week 1 (5/80). Chicago is league average defending tight ends (37/363/4) with failure in two games (9/105 and 7/75/1). The status of Michael Thomas remains unknown for this week’s game. If he doesn’t play, Cook should see a bump in chances with a reasonable chance of scoring.

Robert Tonyan, GB (DK – $4,300/FD – $5,900)

The new toy at tight end produced two short outings (3/25 and 2/32) after offering a waiver wire edge in Week 3 (5/50/1) and Week 4 (6/98/3). Over the previous five games, he has caught 18 of his 20 targets for 230 yards and five touchdowns. Tonyan battled an ankle issue over the last two weeks, but he turned a full practice on Thursday. The Packers only had him on the field for 50 percent of their plays last week. The Vikings allowed double-digit fantasy points to tight end over the previous five games. Minnesota slipped to 14th in tight end defense (4/363/2). The goal line focus will be Davante Adams and the running back position, which gives Tonyan a chance to regain his scoring edge.

Hunter Henry, LAC (DK – $4,200/FD – $5,600)

The shine of Henry faded over his previous three starts (2/39, 4/23/1, and 3/23) due to regression in his catch rate (47.4) over this span. His season started with 16 catches for 206 yards on 23 targets over the first three weeks. The Broncos held him to two catches for 10 yards in 2019. Denver is league average defending tight ends (32/311/2), with the Titans (7/42/2) and Bucs (9/97) had the most success. At some point, Justin Herbert will find his rhythm with Henry leading to some high-level games. Priced low enough to be in play at DraftKings.

Jonnu Smith, TEN (DK – $4,100/FD – $6,100)

Smith landed off the fairway in his last two games (1/13 and 1/9) while receiving only six combined targets. He did leave Week 6 early with an ankle issue. Tennessee had him on the field for 70 percent of their plays against the Steelers. Smith scored five touchdowns over the first four games with two winning scores (4/84/2 and 5/40/2) while averaging 6.75 targets. The Bengals fell to 30th in tight end defense (42/480/4) after getting run over by the Browns’ tight ends in Week 7 (6/76/3). Smith looks poised to be active in this game, with a touchdown being part of his final stat line.

Eric Ebron, PIT (DK – $3,900/FD – $5,100)

ebron

The Steelers gave Ebron a season-high eight targets in Week 7, which led to six catches for 50 yards. His only playable game (5/52/1) came in Week 3. Over six weeks of action, he has 22 catches for 215 yards and one touchdown in 22 targets. The Ravens struggled in three games (6/70/1, 9/78/1, and 8/67/1) against tight ends, pushing them to 19th in tight end defense (32/332/3). Ebron is pretty far down the passing food chain in Pittsburgh’s passing game. Only a gamble in a tough matchup.

Gerald Everett, LAR (DK – $3,700/FD – $4,500)

The injury to Tyler Higbee led to Everett starting in Week 7. The Rams had him on the field for 76 percent of their plays. He finished four catches for 28 yards and one touchdown on five targets. Los Angeles has a bye in Week 9, which suggests Higbee will miss another game with a hand issue. Reynolds caught 11 of his 13 targets for 145 yards and a touchdown over the last three weeks. Miami held tight ends to fewer than 10.00 fantasy points in five of their six games. The Dolphins rank third in tight end defense (21/215/1). The Rams will throw to their tight end, which keeps Everett in play based on his low salary.

Trey Burton, IND (DK – $3,500/FD – $5,300)

Burton had TE2 snaps for the Colts over the previous games while leading Indy in tight end scoring over this span (5/33 and 4/58/1) with 11 combined targets. In his last two starts, Burton was on the field for 45, and 56 percent of their tight end snaps for the Colts. Detroit ranks second in tight end defense (16/164/2 on 30 targets) while having a favorable schedule (CHI, GB, ARI, NO, JAC, and ATL). Indy will rotate in three tight ends this week if Mo Alie-Cox returns to action.

Harrison Bryant, CLE (DK – $3,200/FD – $5,000)

Bryant ended up being almost a layup in Week 7 after Austin Hooper was ruled out for the week. The Browns had him on the field for 77 percent of their plays, leading to four catches for 56 yards and two touchdowns on five targets. Cleveland also had David Njoku on the field for 60 percent of their plays. The Raiders struggled against tight ends in their previous two games (KC – 8/108/1 and TB – 7/82/1). Las Vegas ranks 13th in tight end defense (25/284/3), helped by a favorable schedule to start the year (CAR – 3/20, NO – 4/46/1, NE – 0/0, and BUF – 3/28). An interesting option due to his salary cap relief.

MORE: Week 8 Rankings, Articles, Reports & Tools Hub

Week 8 NFL DFS Reports

George Kittle, SF (DK – $7,000/FD – $7,700)

This season Kittle has been an every other week player, with his best success in Week 4 (15/183/1) and Week 6 (7/109/1). He ranks first in tight end scoring per game (18.44 fantasy points) but second in tight end points (92.20) due to two missed games. In 2019, Kittle had seven catches for 86 yards in his one game against Seattle. The Seahawks have yet to allow a touchdown to the tight end position while ranking fourth (19/281) in fantasy points allowed. Their success comes from a favorable schedule against tight ends (ATL, NE, DAL, MIA, MIN, and ARI). Seattle has plenty of risk vs. wide receiver, but the 49ers don’t have the right depth to expose their weakness. Kittle will be active with an excellent chance at over 100 yards receiving and a touchdown.

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