Week 8 NFL DFS Reports
Davante Adams, GB (DK – $8,800/FD – $9,100)
Despite missing two games, Adams is the seventh in wide receiver scoring (104.90 fantasy points). He already has two impact games (14/156/2 and 13/196/2), with the first outing coming against the Vikings. Adams came up short in his other two starts (3/36 and 6/61). His play over 16 games would come to 144 catches for 1,796 yards and 16 touchdowns. The Vikings rank at the bottom of the league in wide receiver defense (86/1,235/12), with the most damage coming in two matchups (GB – 22/315/4 and ATL – 19/268/3). Three other wide receivers (Kalif Raymond – 3/118, Will Fuller – 6/108/1, and Julio Jones – 8/137/2) gained over 100 yards vs. the Vikings. A high-volume wide receiver with a winnable match.
DK Metcalf, SEA (DK – $7,500/FD – $7,800)
Metcalf struggled to break free last week against the Cardinals. He caught two of his five targets for 23 yards, which came after five straight successful games (4/95/1, 4/92/1, 4/110/1, 4/106, and 6/93/2). He slipped to eighth in wide receiver scoring (17.48 FPPG). Last year Metcalf finished with 12 catches for 151 yards and one touchdown in two games against the 49ers. San Francisco has yet to allow over 200 receiving yards to any team, leading to them raking fifth in wide receiver defense (81/964/6). DeAndre Hopkins (14/151) had the best showing vs. San Fran, and Preston Williams (4/106/1) is the only other wide receiver to gain over 100 yards receiving. The Seahawks’ passing game will test this defense with Metcalf on a path for a 6/100/1 game at the minimum.
Adam Thielen, MIN (DK – $7,500/FD – $7,700)
Over six games, Thielen scored a touchdown in five contests while scoring seven total touchdowns on the year. He beat the Packers for six catches for 110 yards and two touchdowns in Week 1. His other two playable games (8/114/1 and 9/80/2) came on the road. Thielen is on pace for 85 catches for 1,107 yards and 19 touchdowns. Green Bay dropped to 9th in wide receiver defense (77/900/7) with no other receiver gaining over 100 yards. The Vikings should try to shadow Thielen with CB Jaire Alexander, who allows minimal yards per catch and one touchdown on the year. Not the best matchup, even Thielen beating Alexander on a couple of plays in Week 1. More of a fade than a target in Week 8.
Tyler Lockett, SEA (DK – $7,100/FD – $7,200)
Lockett was sensational in Week 7 (15/200/3) while receiving a career-high 20 targets. He made multiple catches against tight coverage on great throws by Russell Wilson. His success pushed him to the league lead in wide receiving scoring (45/542/7 in 58 targets). Lockett is on pace for 120 catches for 1,445 yards and 19 touchdowns. In two games vs. the 49ers in 2019, he caught nine catches for 77 yards and one touchdown. San Fran has weakness in a couple of cornerback slots, which points to another active game for Lockett.
Allen Robinson, CHI (DK – $7,000/FD – $6,800)
Robinson left last week’s game with a concussion, which puts him in the questionable category for this week’s game. His best play came in Week 3 (10/123/1) and Week 4 (7/101/1), helping him to the 15th in wide receiver scoring (15.77 FPPG). Robinson has a floor of nine targets in six contests. The Saints struggled to defend wide receivers in their last two games (9/195/2 and 17/219/2), pushing them to 17th in wide receiver defense (61/970/9). Two players (Allen Lazard – 6/146/1 and Mike Williams – 5/109/2) gained over 100 yards. CB Marshon Lattimore played better last week, but his play remains well below his expected value. The Bears will struggle to run the ball, giving Robinson a chance at an active game despite Chicago ranking poorly in passing production.
A.J. Brown, TEN (DK – $6,900/FD – $7,500)
Brown's preseason high ranking has come true over his last three games (7/82/1, 5/58/2, and 6/153/1). His play over four weeks of action projects to 92 catches for 1,328 yards and 16 touches on 128 targets. In Week 7, Brown hit on a 73-yard touchdown setting up his big game. The Bengals showed risk defending wide receivers in three of their previous four games (JAC – 20/271/2, IND – 13/202/1, and CLE – 14/214/1). They rank 13th in wide receiver defense (88/1,183/7) with two secondary players (Marcus Johnson – 5/108 and Rashard Higgins – 6/110) gained over 100 yards. CB William Jackson missed last week’s game with a concussion. Cincinnati needs him to play if they want to control the upside of Brown. A player on the rise in any offense that moves the ball well. His higher salary does require a batter on the scoreboard.
Stefon Diggs, BUF (DK – $6,800/FD – $7,100)
Diggs has a floor of six catches in six of his seven games. He averages 10 targets per start with one impact game (8/153/1) while gaining over 100 yards in two other weeks (6/115 and 10/106). Diggs is on a career pace in catches (110) and receiving yards (1,378). Other than their failure in Week 2 (15/228/4), New England played well defending wide receivers (68/997/7 – 12th). Two wide receivers (Tim Patrick – 4/101 and Brandon Aiyuk – 6/115) gained over 100 yards. CB Stephon Gilmore will shadow at times, but his play hasn’t been up to his previous resume. New England will look to take him away from Josh Allen, pointing to a lower-tier showing.
Tyreek Hill, KC (DK – $6,700/FD – $8,100)
Hill moved up one notch to 12th in wide receiving scoring (16.61 FPPG), but he still doesn’t have an impact game. The Chiefs looked his way a season-high 10 times in Week 7, which led to six catches for 55 yards and one touchdown. Hill has a touchdown in six of his seven starts, but he averages 6.9 touches per game. In 2018, Hill had 27 catches over 20 yards and eight over 40 yards. After seven weeks, his big-play ability has been lacking (six catches over 20 yards and one catch over 40 yards). The Jets are league average defending wide receivers (98/1,234/5) with two disaster games (BUF – 23/247/1 and ARI – 19/285/1). They allowed over 100 yards receiving to three players (Tim Patrick – 6/113/1, DeAndre Hopkins – 6/131/1, and Cole Beasley – 11/112). CB Brian Poole ranks well in coverage, but the Chiefs will move Hill around to get favorable matchups. Priced to pay off, and I expect him to hit on a long touchdown.
Kenny Golladay, DET (DK – $6,600/FD – $7,600)
Golladay gained over 100 yards in back-to-back games (4/105 and 6/114), but he fell a touchdown short of an impact game. Over four weeks of action, Golladay has 20 catches for 338 yards and two touchdowns on seven targets per game. His play over a full season would be 80 catches for 1,352 yards and eight touchdowns. The Colts struggled in their last matchup vs. wide receivers (CIN – 20/285), which came after playing multiple underwhelming passing offenses (JAC – 13/129/3, MIN – 7/99, NYJ – 6/99/1, CHI – 18/180/1, and CLE – 12/177/1). Golladay should draw CB Xavier Rhodes in coverage on many plays, a rematch of 2019 vs. the Vikings (1/21 and 6/58/1). Playing well, but this matchup doesn’t project to an impact game.
Tyler Boyd, CIN (DK – $6,600/FD – $6,400)
Boyd played well in both matchups against the Browns (7/72/1 and 11/101/1) with one other game of value (10/125). He moved to 13th in wide receiver scoring (16.49 FPPG) while averaging 8.7 targets per game. The Titans showed downside in wide receiver coverage in five straight games (17/225/1, 11/211/2, 26/240/1, 20/236/3, and 21/175/2), leading to the 30th ranking (105/1,197/9). CB Kristian Fulton allows a high catch rate while making two starts. Boyd will get his catches, but the three wide receiver split hurts his ability to repeat even in a favorable matchup.
Justin Jefferson, MIN (DK – $6,500/FD – $6,600)
Jefferson remains 10th in wide receiver scoring (16.95 FPPG) after a bye week. He already has two impact games (7/175/1 and 9/166/2) with one other showing (4/103) with over 100 yards receiving. The Vikings struggled to get Jefferson involved in their other three games (2/26, 3/44, and 3/23). CB Josh Jackson started the last two games against Houston and Tampa with no damage in big plays. His high salary doesn’t match his opportunity (six targets per game), which invite failure in Week 8 at DraftKings. Both teams will run the ball, limiting the overall passing chances unless game score gets out of line.
Cooper Kupp, LAR (DK – $6,500/FD – $7,300)
The Rams struggled to get Kupp involved in multiple games this year. He averages 7.3 targets per game, which is 13 percent lower than his opportunity in 2019 (8.375 targets per game). His only game of value came in Week 3 (9/107/1) while drifting to 24th in wide receiver scoring (13.51 FPPG). Miami improved to 14th to wide receiver defense (75/1,072/5) with one disaster showing (BUF – 20/358/30). The Seahawks also gained 24.7 yards per catch. CB Nik Needham will give plenty of catches and some damage after the catch. A bump in targets should be expected.
Robert Woods, LAR (DK – $6,300/FD – $7,000)
Targets have been a problem for Woods in five of his seven starts (5.6 per game). Over his previous three games, he picked up 11 catches for 122 yards and two touchdowns. His best success came in Week 1 (6/119) and Week 3 (5/104/1). In 2019, the Rams averaged 39.1 passes per game compared to 31.9 this season. CB Xavien Howard has a gambling style that results in a low catch rate and minimal touchdowns. He will give up some big plays. Tough to get excited here.
Keenan Allen, LAC (DK – $6,200/FD – $7,400)
Allen continues to play well at home (7/96, 13/132/1, and 10/125) thanks to his new hotshot quarterback. He only has 14 catches for 128 yards and one touchdown on seven targets per game in his three starts on the road. Last year Allen had 10 catches for 86 yards and a touchdown on 12 targets against the Broncos. Denver slipped to 19th in wide receiver defense (83/983/6), with the Steelers having the best results (21/250/2). CB Bryce Callahan hasn’t allowed a touchdown this year with short yard per catch. Volume receiver with a downtick expected on the road.
Marquise Brown, BAL (DK – $6,100/FD – $5,900)
The Ravens gave Brown a minimum of six targets in all of his games. His best game (6/77/1) and opportunity (10 targets) came in Week 5. He gained over 100 yards in one contest (5/101). Brown is on pace for 69 catches for 1,003 yards and three touchdowns. The Steelers held him five catches for 37 yards and a touchdown on seven targets in two games. CB Joe Haden made a couple of mistakes in the endzone this year with some damage in big plays. Trick or treat player who relies on a long touchdown to pay off.
Jamison Crowder, NYJ (DK – $5,800/FD – $6,300)
Crowder has seven catches or more in all four of his starts while being playable in three games (7/115/1, 7/104, and 8/116/1). He averages 11.5 targets per game while being off to his career's best start (29/383/2), but Crowder missed three games already. After a limited practice on Thursday, Crowder has a chance to play on Sunday. The Chiefs continue to play well vs. the wide receiver position (69/911/6) with failure in one game (LV – 6/229/7). Two wide receivers (Will Fuller – 8/112 and Henry Ruggs – 2/118/1) gained over 100 yards. The right matchup for receiving chances, but we need more info on his health.
Brandon Aiyuk, SF (DK – $5,800/FD – $5,900)
Despite averaging only 5.3 targets over his last six games, Aiyuk delivered two playable games (21.10 and 17.50 fantasy points). He flashed in Week 7 (6/115) against the Patriots while expecting a bump in chances this week with Deebo Samuel injured. Seattle ranks last in the NFL against wide receivers (132/1,681/10) with failure in five different games (27/401/2, 23/330, 26/405/3, 18/209, and 24/209/3). Aiyuk looks overpriced, but his matchup gives him a chance at the best game of his career.
DeVante Parker, MIA (DK – $5,700/FD – $6,100)
Parker came out of the bye week with a groin issue that led to a couple of limited practice this week. He’s coming off two short games (2/50/1 and 3/35). His best showing (10/110) came against the lowly Seahawks’ pass defense. Parker is on pace for 77 catches for 971 yards and five touchdowns. The Rams have the second-best wide receiver defense (84/944/3), with one receiver (Cole Beasley – 6/100) gaining over 100 yards. CB Jalen Ramsey will be a tough matchup, but Los Angeles hasn’t shadowed wide receivers. The change at quarterback in Miami should invite upside, but Tua Tagovailoa may need some time to find his rhythm.
Tee Higgins, CIN (DK – $5,600/FD – $6,000)
Over the last five games, Higgins caught 24 of his 37 targets for 375 yards and three touchdowns. His success over this span projects to 77 catches for 1,200 yards and 10 touchdowns. The Bengals gave him starting snaps in four of the previous five games. CB Jonathan Joseph will have his hands full in this matchup. The play of Tyler Boyd and improvement in A.J. Green gave Higgins a chance to single coverage for most of this week’s game.
Jarvis Landry, CLE (DK – $5,600/FD – $5,800)
After seven weeks, Landry is the 45th ranked wide receiver (10.41 FPPG) after finishing 4th, 18th, and 12th over the past three seasons. The injury to Odell Beckham should be an instant upgrade to his value. Landry doesn’t have a touchdown this year while averaging only 5.6 targets per game (8.6 in 2019). Las Vegas fell to 23rd in wide receiver defense (77/1,077/7) after struggling in two of their previous three contests (16/239/2 and 19/238/3). CB Lamarcus Joyner hasn’t’ allowed a touchdown this year with low yards per catch. This game should be high-scoring, with Landry having a chance at his best showing of the season.
Diontae Johnson, PIT (DK – $5,500/FD – $6,200)
Johnson played well in Week 1 (6/57) and Week 2 (8/92/1), but he delivered back-to-back empty scores in his next matchups. After sitting out in Week 6, fantasy owners lost faith in his value after the success of Chase Claypool. The Steelers looked his way 15 times against the Titans, setting up an impact game (9/80/2). In 2019, Johnson had nine catches for 81 yards on 15 targets in two games vs. the Ravens. Baltimore worked their way to 10th defending wide receivers (79/955/3). Johnson missed practice this week with a toe issue. His matchup with CB Jimmy Smith looks neutral. More of a chase last week’s point than a start at DraftKings.
JuJu Smith-Schuster (DK – $5,400/FD – $6,500)
After getting written off in the fantasy world heading into Week 8, Smith-Schuster posted his best game (9/85) since Week 1 (6/69/2). He finished with a season-high 14 targets. His yard per catch (8.7) looks more suited for the running back position while maintaining a high catch rate (76.2). Smith-Schuster played well in 2019 in his home game (7/75/1) against the Ravens. His matchup vs. Baltimore’s top CB Marlon Humphrey looks unfavorable. I can’t trust his ability to separate downfield, which makes him an avoid in this game.
Cole Beasley, BUF (DK – $5,300/FD – $5,300)
With John Brown inactive against the Jets, Beasley picked 11 catches for 112 yards on a dozen targets. After seven games, he has 39 catches for 470 yards and two touchdowns. Beasley is on pace to set career-highs in catches (89) and receiving yards (1,074). He had success in both games (7/75 and 7/108) against the Patriots in 2019. Possession type wide receiver that can’t be in play without a touchdown. John Brown will be active this week, leading to a step back in targets.
Chase Claypool, PIT (DK – $5,200/FD – $6,000)
The air came out of Claypool’s sail in Week 8 (one catch for minus-two yards), which came after two productive games (7/116/3 and 4/81/1). He fell to 18th in wide receiver scoring (14.93 FPPG). Claypool averages four touches per game while scoring on one-quarter of his chances. CB Marcus Peters will be tested in this matchup, and Claypool has the tools to beat him for a long touchdown. Boom or bust type swing in the daily games.
Corey Davis, TEN (DK – $5,100/FD – $5,400)
After missing two games with Covid-19, Davis delivered a steady outing in Week 7 (6/35/1 on 10 targets). Over four games of action, he has 21 catches for 241 yards and two touchdowns. His best game (7/101) came in Week 1. CB LeShaun Sims will give up big plays and touchdowns, giving Davis a chance to shine if this game is played at a fast pace.
T.Y. Hilton, IND (DK – $4,900/FD – $5,500)
Hilton found his way into the free-agent pool in some leagues this week after his sluggish start to the year (20/242 on 37 targets). He appeared to be improving in Week 5 (6/69), but Hilton had his worst game (1/11) of the season in Week 6 in a favorable matchup against the Bengals. The Lions fell to 27th in wide receiver defense (90/1,1163/7). Detroit allowed over 200 yards receiving to wide receivers in four of their last six games, with two players (DeAndre Hopkins – 10/137 and Keelan Cole – 6/143) gaining over 100 yards. CB Jeff Okudah ranks poorly in yards allowed while giving up a high catch rate. Tough to trust, but his floor should be high enough to start in the season-long games.
Henry Ruggs, LV (DK – $4,900/FD – $5,700)
After his best game (2/118/1) in the NFL, Ruggs gained only 45 yards in two catches against Tampa. Las Vegas gave him starting snaps in the last two starts. On the year, he only has 14 targets in four games. Homerun hitter who lacks enough targets to be trusted unless Ruggs is tied to Derek Carr.
Jerry Jeudy, DEN (DK – $4,800/FD – $5,600)
Over the last three games, Jeudy saw his opportunity (4.3 targets per game) fall well below his first three starts (8, 7, and 9). He caught on 19 of his 37 targets (51.3 percent) for 286 yards and a touchdown. Jeudy gains 15.1 yards per catch while dropping five passes. He has no momentum to start in any fantasy league other than his talent at this point of the year.
Tre'Quan Smith, NO (DK – $4,700/FD – $5,300)
The Saints don’t trust Smith enough to give him impact targets. After a good game (4/54/2) in Week 4, he only has six catches for 62 yards in his last two starts. Over his previous five games, Smith averages 11.1 FPPG and 4.8 targets. The status of Michael Thomas isn’t known on Thursday, but I don’t believe it is a factor in evaluating Smith for the daily games. Easy avoid in a below-par matchup.
Nelson Agholor, LV (DK – $4,700/FD – $5,000)
Agholor extended his touchdown streak to three games with an impactful showing against Tampa (5/107/1). He has 11 catches for 218 yards and three touchdowns on 15 targets over his uptick in playing time. The Raiders gave him starting snaps in four straight contests as the replacement for Bryan Edwards. Cleveland fell to 31st in wide receiver defense (114/1,472/1) after two disaster games (26/319/3 and 25/308/2). CB Denzel Ward allowed multiple touchdowns this season while offering top tier talent at his position. Trending forward, but Agholor needs more targets to be trusted from week-to-week.
Mecole Hardman, KC (DK – $4,700/FD – $5,400)
Hardman only has six targets over his last three games, which lead to only four catches for 120 yards. His mini spike in value came in Week 3 (4/81/1) and Week 4 (4/27/1). On the year, Hardman averages less than three targets per game. The Chiefs will give him a couple of chances in the deep passing game. Mahomes looks due for an impact game, which keeps Hardman in play at this level in a Kansas City stack.
Zack Pascal, IND (DK – $4,500/FD – $5,200)
The Colts gave Pascal starting snaps in their last five games. Over this period, he has 14 catches for 180 yards and two touchdowns with a bump in value in Week 6 (4/54/1). His matchup against CB Darryl Roberts is favorable if the Colts need to throw in this matchup.
A.J. Green, CIN (DK – $4,500/FD – $5,800)
Over the last two games, Green flashed in his expected talent (8/96 and 7/82) while receiving 24 targets. He’s still looking for his first touchdown while still trailing in his catch rate (50.0). Green only has one catch over 20 yards with weakness in his yards per catch (10.2). CB Malcolm Butler will give up plenty of yards, and Green should beat him for a touchdown. Based on his uptick in play, Green is very much in play this week at DraftKings.
Mike Williams, LAC (DK – $4,400/FD – $5,900)
After an impact game (5/109/2), Williams crushed fantasy owners again in Week 7 (1/4 on three targets). Over his five starts, he only has 13 catches for 213 yards and two scores, which is well below his play in 2019 (49/1,001/2). Williams was a top-scoring threat in 2018 (10 TDs). Last season he finished with 11 catches for 191 yards in two games against the Broncos. Los Angeles will look to get him matched up with CB Michael Ojemudia, who will allow big plays and touchdowns. Denver may try to shadow him with CB A.J. Bouye after returning to the starting lineup last week.
John Brown, BUF (DK – $4,400/FD – $5,600)
Brown missed two of the past three games while posting a zero in Week 3 and Week 6. Over the first two weeks, he caught 10 of his 16 targets for 152 yards and two touchdowns. Brown is off the injury report this week, which puts him back in line to start. In two games against the Patriots in 2019, he had six catches for 122 yards and one touchdown. Priced low enough to come in, but I’d like to see him in game action before adding to my daily lineup.
Marvin Jones, DET (DK – $4,200/FD – $5,500)
Jones played better last week (5/80), but he hasn’t had over six targets in a game since Week 1. Over six weeks of action, he only has 19 catches for 226 yards and a touchdown on five targets per game. CB Rock Ya-Sin will give up big plays, and I expect Matthew Stafford to give him some chances in the deep passing game. It’s all about game flow—the right kind of flier based on his sliding salary.
Rashard Higgins, CLE (DK – $4,200/FD – $5,500)
Higgins played well off the bench last week (6/110) as a replacement to Odell Beckham. His success was helped by game score. Over seven games this season, the Browns’ wide receivers have 69 catches for 956 yards and six touchdowns, which works out to 10 catches for 96 yards and 0.85 touchdowns per game. These stats don’t project high upside for Higgins even with a starting job. A matchup against CB Trayvon Mullen is unfavorable even with a low salary.
Hunter Renfrow, LV (DK – $3,800/FD – $5,100)
Over the last two games, Renfrow only has three catches for 84 yards on eight targets. His game was trending up in Week 3 (6/84/1) and Week 4 (5/57). He has 21 catches for 283 yards and one touchdown on five targets per game on the year. CB Kevin Johnson will allow a high catch rate, but receivers gain short yards per catch. In 2019, Renfrow ended the season with two impact games (7/107/1 and 6/102/1), which shows his explosiveness if given enough chances. Don’t dismiss as a backend filler.
Week 8 NFL DFS Reports
Davante Adams, GB (DK – $8,800/FD – $9,100)
Despite missing two games, Adams is the seventh in wide receiver scoring (104.90 fantasy points). He already has two impact games (14/156/2 and 13/196/2), with the first outing coming against the Vikings. Adams came up short in his other two starts (3/36 and 6/61). His play over 16 games would come to 144 catches for 1,796 yards and 16 touchdowns. The Vikings rank at the bottom of the league in wide receiver defense (86/1,235/12), with the most damage coming in two matchups (GB – 22/315/4 and ATL – 19/268/3). Three other wide receivers (Kalif Raymond – 3/118, Will Fuller – 6/108/1, and Julio Jones – 8/137/2) gained over 100 yards vs. the Vikings. A high-volume wide receiver with a winnable match.Subscribe for full article
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