Week 7 NFL DFS: Monday Night Football - Bears vs. Rams Showdown Slate

SI Fantasy and DFS analyst Rob Geriak goes through his top plays for DraftKings' Monday Night Football Showdown slate featuring the Bears vs. Rams
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Two good teams are on the docket for Monday Night Football this week, with the Bears sitting at 5-1 and the Rams at 4-2. Both have gotten here in similar ways as both are solid defensively while making an effort, successful or not, to run the ball. I expect a "grind it out" type of game from both sides in what should be an old school type NFL game. With that said, building showdown lineups on DraftKings should be fun, and there could be myriad ways to approach them.

Core Build

  • QB Jared Goff, LAR (DK $10,400)
  • QB Nick Foles, CHI (DK $9,800)
  • WR Cooper Kupp, LAR (DK $9,200)

Firstly, let me stress that I believe in the Rams' pass rush and feel that they will pressure Nick Foles. My argument to combat that is that Foles has been the seventh-best quarterback in completion percentage when pressured. He has a top receiver in Allen Robinson that he targets heavily; however, as good as he is, he should see shadow coverage from Jalen Ramsey. Something to note here. Foles will need to spread the ball around, and there are some weapons worth discussing, and I'll touch on them later.

The Bears defense is strong, and that includes outside cornerbacks Kyle Fuller and rookie Jaylon Johnson. Goff has at least 32 pass attempts in four of his last five games, and as I don't expect the run game to dominate a strong Bears defense, I feel that Goff will have to throw the ball upwards of 30 times.

With the outside receivers Robert Woods and Josh Reynolds getting the attention of outside corners, Fuller and Johnson, Cooper Kupp, who sees a 25 percent target share (22 percent in the red zone), will have opportunities to produce out of the slot against Buster Skrine. Skrine hasn't been a slouch, but Kupp is still in a better spot than the other two Rams receivers tonight.

Note: Keep in mind that both of the above are viable captain options.

Captain Plays

WR Allen Robinson, CHI (DK $15,000)

Since Nick Foles was placed under center permanently, Robinson has seen many targets and more quality targets. In his last four games specifically, Robinson has seen nine, 16, 10, and 13 targets and four red-zone targets in his last three games. While Robinson may see a good deal of Jalen Ramsey, he could avoid him if Matt Nagy moves him into the slot a bit as he has thus far taken 76 snaps out of the slot (about 23 percent). Regardless of the matchup, Robinson is one of the best receivers in football, can make the contested catch, and high-point a ball. He should see plenty of work.

RB David Montgomery, CHI (DK $12,600)

Montgomery has been a bit of an enigma, but it's not his fault entirely. Matt Nagy had been very stubborn when it relates to feeding Montgomery the ball. Now, with Tarik Cohen out for the season (he was injured a few weeks back), Montgomery has become more involved and has even seen a role in the passing game. Last week he had 19 carries and five targets. Montgomery has seen six, eight, and five targets over his last three games, and while the Rams pass rush has been solid, they have been susceptible to the run allowing 100 or more rushing yards in five of six games this season.

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FLEX Plays

TE Jimmy Graham, CHI (DK $7,200)

Jimmy Graham is a long way past his prime, but he's still an asset, especially for someone who loves throwing to the tight end like Nick Foles. Foles has targeted Graham eight, five, five, and 10 times over his last four games, and on the season between Foles and Mitchell Trubisky, Graham has 10 red-zone targets. There might not be a ton of upside here for Graham as far as yardage or yards after the catch goes, but Graham could be leaned on a bit more than usual if the pass rush gets to Foles.

RB Darrell Henderson, LAR (DK $8,200)

The Rams backfield has been somewhat of a rotation, but Henderson has recently been the leader of the pack with double-digit touches in three of his last four games. Henderson seems to be a very streaky back; simply put that if he has a few good runs early, he seems to have a good effort. I won't be heavy on him, but this is a good salary for a guy that could see 20 touches.

WR Darnell Mooney, CHI (DK $4,400)

If Allen Robinson is held in check by Jalen Ramsey, someone will need to step up in his place in the passing game. Mooney, the rookie out of Tulane, has seen at least five targets in each of his last four games and has seven deep targets on the season. He's been the number two receiver with Anthony Miller not being much of a factor.

DST CHI (DK $5,200) & DST LAR (DK $5,600)

Both defenses should play a role in Monday night's game. Both quarterbacks have been known to take sacks and turn the ball over in the blink of an eye. Foles and Goff have combined for seven interceptions and have been sacked a combined 10 times. The defenses' prices are higher than we typically see, but as I said before, I could see this being a defensive bore of a game.

RB Cam Akers, LAR (DK $1,000)

It is very frustrating trying to understand Sean McVay at times. A couple of weeks ago, the Rams' head coach said they would get Akers, a second-round pick from this year, more involved. In the game following that statement, Akers saw one snap in a 24-16 loss. In the week prior, he had nine carries for 61 yards. This is a sketchy situation and one that could blow up quick if rostering (see last week), but at $1,000, if Akers gets any work, he could pay huge dividends. Definitely high risk, high reward here.

K Cairo Santos, CHI (DK $3,800) & K Sam Sloman, LAR (DK $4,000)

Santos and Sloman, like the defenses, could be factors if the offenses have trouble getting going. Santos has been busy this season with 10 field goals made, including three last week, while Sloman has eight.

Two good teams are on the docket for Monday Night Football this week, with the Bears sitting at 5-1 and the Rams at 4-2. Both have gotten here in similar ways as both are solid defensively while making an effort, successful or not, to run the ball. I expect a "grind it out" type of game from both sides in what should be an old school type NFL game. With that said, building showdown lineups on DraftKings should be fun, and there could be myriad ways to approach them.

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