2020 PGA Zozo Championship at Sherwood - DFS Tiers and Top Fade

The SI Golf Fantasy team of Ben Heisler, Alex White, and Mark Farris run through their favorite DFS tiers for this week’s Zozo Championship at Sherwood, as well as their top fade of the slate.
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Previous 2021 PGA Tour Event Winners & DraftKings Salary

  • CJ Cup at Shadow Creek: Jason Kokrak ($7,000)
  • Shriners Hospitals for Children Open: Martin Laird ($6,400)
  • Sanderson Farms Championship: Sergio Garcia ($8,600)
  • Corales Puntacana Resort & Club Championship: Hudson Swafford ($6,700)
  • U.S. Open: Bryson DeChambeau ($9,900)
  • Safeway Open: Stewart Cink ($6,300)

$9,000+ Range

Ben Heisler: Webb Simpson ($9,700)

I’ll likely back Simpson this week on both DraftKings and also on DraftKings Sportsbook where his odds currently sit at just 18/1.

Sherwood plays shorter than traditional courses at just over 7,000 yards, giving guys that aren’t necessarily bombers off the tee a bit more of a competitive playing field. Simpson’s best performances since the restart have been at Harbour Town when he won the RBC Heritage and a T3 at the Wyndham Championship at Sedgefield, both shorter, more unique courses that reward accuracy on the driver and great iron play.

Simpson has three top 10 finishes in his last five events and hasn’t finished worse than T13 in his last five events. He also currently ranks 2nd in strokes gained: short game and SG: around-the-green. He’s also T8 in SG: putting and sets up exceptionally well for this tournament.

Mark Farris: Patrick Reed ($9,600)

As much as I would like to go back to Xander, the $11,200 price tag is pushing me further down. In these “no-cut” events, I think your lineup build changes. You need to look for point scorers and not worry about cut makers. This is a guy that could shoot scores on Thursday and Friday that would normally just make or miss the cut. Then, he could come back with 64-64 on the weekend (assuming he made the cut) and score 7x to 8x easily.

Reed is 11th in Par 5 scoring (and these are short) and there are five of them this week. He’s 2nd in Par 4 scoring from 400-450 yards which also plays into his game this week. Plus, bottom line is, “he ain’t playing bad golf either!"

Alex White: Collin Morikawa ($9,800)

The "California Kid" is back in his home state. The last tournament he played in Cali he took home a win at the PGA Championship. Last week, he managed a respectable 12th place finish in Las Vegas. That was his B game. He lost two strokes on the greens, and lost .3 strokes off the tee. If he can find the flat stick for a few days he will be in the mix on Sunday. The price is more than fair for a golfer that rarely misses cuts and has winning upside.

$7,500 - $8,900

Ben Heisler: Russell Henley ($8,100) & Joaquin Niemann ($8,500)

Likely one of the chalkiest of chalk plays as Henley heads to Sherwood fresh off a T3 at the CJ Cup, and the third top 10 finish in his last five tournaments. He’s a bit pricier this week compared to the star-studded field last week ($7,100), but Henley’s recent form is hard to move away from at this point.

If you’re looking for a reason to talk yourself out of Henley, maybe it’s the fact that he gained an absurd NINE STROKES GAINED putting last weekend. But if you’re looking to talk yourself out of talking yourself out, he’s back on bentgrass greens for yet another week.

As for Niemann, he’s starting to get into one of his grooves where you consider rostering him in almost any circumstance. He’s improved in four consecutive tournaments: 27th at the Tour Championship, 23rd at the U.S. Open, 13th at the Shriners and T6 at the CJ Cup in Vegas, and had his best SG: total number (10.4) since his 5th place finish at the RBC Heritage in June. He’s absolutely locked in.

Mark Farris: Harris English ($8,800) & Bubba Watson ($8,700)

I’m taking a page from Ben’s playbook this week and giving you two. These guys are priced the same ($100 difference isn’t important), but you get scoring potential from two completely different styles. Bubba falls in the Patrick Reed book to me - he can follow a bad round with a phenomenal one because he has a short memory. Harris is the model of consistency over the last 6 months (sans Shriners) and can’t get to the same score as Bubba without the ECG from hell!

Also, I’m not going to lie to you. I was the last one to make my picks this week and I saw who Ben and Alex like... and they are all three on my radar as well. I just wanted to give you all a couple more options and I think Bubba may be lower-owned.

Alex White: Daniel Berger ($8,900)

Berger mustered up a 28th place finish at the CJ Cup after nearly a month off. That tournament was just his tune-up for this week. Berger is underpriced and obviously under-appreciated by DraftKings. In his last 10 events, he has only one missed the cut, a win, three top 3 finishes, and no worse than a 34th place finish. The floor and ceiling do not match the price. Fire him up with confidence.

$7,400 and Under

Ben Heisler: Sebastian Munoz ($7,200)

There are no real flaws in Munoz’s game, at least right now. He’s no worse than 40th when it comes to any strokes gained category (SG: approach) and comes in 22nd in SG: total despite being in one of the lowest tiers for the tournament. Munoz still comes in sixth in SG: around-the-green and finished 9th at the CJ Cup last week. More importantly, Munoz has been excellent the last three weeks at bogey avoidance. Last week at the CJ Cup, he came in at 6.9 Bogeys Avoided over the course of the tournament.

Mark Farris: Jordan Spieth ($6,900)

Trust me! This is PURELY due to the fact that this is a “no-cut” event. I do not trust Jordan to make a cut, but I do know that, if he gets it rolling, a $6,900 price tag makes 10x-12x completely within the realm of possibilities. For differentiation, I think this is plus play as well. Like me, I don’t think many people trust Jordan and most casual players don’t worry about differentiation in lineups.

Alex White: Cameron Smith ($7,200)

Cameron is a streaky golfer that defines the term “boom or bust”. However, he has made his last nine cuts. His short game has been exceptional recently gaining strokes on and around the greens in his last three events. The key this week will be keeping the ball in the fairway. If he can find the short grass with his big stick he should give himself plenty of birdie chances to pay off his low price tag.

Top Fade

Ben Heisler: Tiger Woods ($9,000)

Yes it’s an opportunity for Tiger to defend a title at Sherwood, but that was upwards of seven years ago.

The historical numbers are great, don’t get me wrong with five wins and five runner-up performances, but I’m done living in the past with Tiger if I plan to bet or have him in DFS lineups. There’s no way to justify Tiger Woods being in the same pricing tier as guys like Daniel Berger ($8,900) or even Matthew Wolff ($9,100).

Woods enters this week’s tournament ranked 57th in SG: total and hasn’t had a top 10 finish since before the COVID-19 when he finished 9th at the Farmers in January. Until he starts playing and competing at a more consistent level, I’m going to continue to fade him.

Mark Farris: Matthew Wolff ($9,100)

I know I shouldn’t hold last week against him, but I am. How can you go from playing like he was to +11 (including 3 round OVER par) on a course that was allowing scoring? I mean, wow! From back-to-back 2nd place finishes to that. He lost 4.4 strokes off the tee at the CJ Cup. Now, maybe it was just a “chill week” for him since it was a “no-cut”, but so is this one and I want to make sure something isn’t wrong until I dive back in. Especially in a week where everyone gets four rounds as long as they can stay upright.

Alex White: Patrick Cantlay ($9,400)

More like “Patrick Can't Play..." Am I right? 

Ok, not really. He is an elite golfer and will be around the Tour for a long time doing great things. This week if I’m paying up, I want someone with a bit more consistency recently. Last week he lost strokes with his approaches and with his putter. The week prior the 8th place finish looks nice but he crumbled on Sunday in a winnable position. I will find somewhere else to pivot this week.

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Be on the lookout for the SI Gambling Team's Best Bets and Predictions on Wednesday for the Zozo Championship at Sherwood.

Previous 2021 PGA Tour Event Winners & DraftKings Salary

  • CJ Cup at Shadow Creek: Jason Kokrak ($7,000)
  • Shriners Hospitals for Children Open: Martin Laird ($6,400)
  • Sanderson Farms Championship: Sergio Garcia ($8,600)
  • Corales Puntacana Resort & Club Championship: Hudson Swafford ($6,700)
  • U.S. Open: Bryson DeChambeau ($9,900)
  • Safeway Open: Stewart Cink ($6,300)
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