2020 PGA Bermuda Championship - DFS Tiers and Top Fade

The SI Golf Fantasy team of Ben Heisler, Alex White, and Mark Farris run through their favorite DFS tiers for this week’s Bermuda Championship at Port Royal Golf Course, as well as their top fade of the slate.
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Previous PGA Tour Event Winners & DraftKings Salary

  • Zozo Championship: Patrick Cantlay ($9,400)
  • CJ Cup at Shadow Creek: Jason Kokrak ($7,000)
  • Shriners Hospitals for Children Open: Martin Laird ($6,400)
  • Sanderson Farms Championship: Sergio Garcia ($8,600)
  • Corales Puntacana Resort & Club Championship: Hudson Swafford ($6,700)
  • U.S. Open: Bryson DeChambeau ($9,900)
  • Safeway Open: Stewart Cink ($6,300)

$9,000+ Range

Ben Heisler: Kristoffer Ventura ($9,100)

With a much more wide-open field, I’ll take the savings with Ventura compared to spending in the mid to high $10K-$11K range and get a golfer who’s currently the top ranked player in the field in strokes gained: total, and SG: off-the-tee over his last 24 rounds. I’ll also jump on board with Ventura as the top option in DraftKings points-gained over his last 24 rounds as well.

Ventura’s lone weakness at the moment is his chipping, ranking 105th in SG: around-the-green. He’s also coming off a cut at the Shriners Championship a few weeks back, but before that had finished with two T7s in his last three events, along with a T15 before that.

Mark Farris: Harold Varner III ($10,700)

Realizing that he’s not among the “elite”, that doesn’t matter this week. In 3 of his last 4 starts, HV3 is Top 30. In fact, as long as he makes the cut, he’s finishing in the top half of the field. With a reduced field quality, he has to be among one of the favorites to make the first page of the leaderboard. Based on what I’m seeing statistically, he ranks in the Top 10 in a lot of the scoring categories that should be important this week.

Alex White: Doc Redman ($10,400)

Doc has been a steady performer on Tour now for the last season. Slowly he has been making a name for himself, especially in the DFS community. This week he is priced fourth from the top on DraftKings. He has earned that price tag compared to the field this week. In his last five events he has two 3rd place finishes, a 28th, and two missed cuts. This should be a course he can attack and score with ease. Last season he took 35th at the Bermuda Championship. Not ideal for his price this week but I believe he has a lot more confidence now after multiple high finishes on Tour. With a bit more course knowledge he should be in contention on Sunday.

$7,500 - $8,900

Ben Heisler: Adam Schenk ($8,100)

The “Schenkster,” enters this week’s Bermuda Championship with three consecutive improved scores in his last three events: T56 at the Corales Puntacana, T32 at the Sanderson Farms Championship, and a T27 at the Shriners.

Furthermore, there’s no glaring weaknesses in his game at the moment. Schenk ranks as high as 7th in SG: tee-to-green, and no worse than 46th in SG: putting. He’s also made nine consecutive cuts on Tour and statistically plays his best on, you guessed it… “bermuda” greens.

Mark Farris: Wesley Bryan ($7,800)

In weeks like this, I like to play less volume and go with some guys I normally may not. I usually like Wesley Bryan in the low $7K to $6K range. He will usually get you value even in a stronger field. This isn’t a bad price. He also won at Harbour Town and a lot of sites are using it as a comparable course for this week. Bonus: If you want someone “unknown” at the top of this range that’s playing well, I’d look at Justin Suh ($8,700).

Alex White: Scott Stallings ($7,800)

From young blood Doc Redman to veteran player Scott Stallings. This course can be taken advantage of by golfers of all ages. For example last season this tournament kicked off the resurgence of Brendon Todd’s career. This season we have seen Stewart Cink, Martin Laird, Hudson Swafford all win tournaments. Scott has what it takes to win on Tour he just needs to put it all together for four days. Stallings has gained strokes through approach in eight of his last ten events. Last year he shot under par all four rounds at this venue. I like this as an under the radar play.

$7,400 and Under

Ben Heisler: Doug Ghim ($7,100)

Ghim is a model-based value play from my personalized model over at Fantasy National. He currently comes in 14th in SG: total, 19th in SG: approach, and 12th in SG: around-the-green over his last 24 rounds. The putting has been rough (91st), but he’s finished with no worse than a T23 in three of his previous five rounds.

The two missed cuts sandwiched in between the outstanding performances are somewhat cause for concern, but there are very few golfers in that range who have actually put up those types of finishes over their last six-eight tournaments.

Another concern? Ghim is at his worst on bermuda greens, averaging -0.5 SG. He’s strictly a tournament play that if he drives and approaches well, he’ll surprise and cash in at low ownership.

Mark Farris: Michael Gligic ($6,500)

In a week like this, if we’re going in, let’s go in. He’s made five of his last six cuts and is making 15 to 20 birdies per week when he does. Let’s face it, at this level of pricing, what are we really looking for? Someone to make the cut and score something other than “place points”. Of course, if he catches fire, we’ll take those too at $6,500 - Thank you very much!

Alex White: Ryan Armour ($6,600)

Armour comes in ranked 16th overall in my statistics model. Normally I would just glance over that because he is a very inconsistent golfer but the fact he finished 8th here last year piqued my interest. Diving deeper I realized this course has a lot of shots coming from 200 yards plus. Armour ranks 6th in proximity from 200 yard plus and 2nd overall in shots gained on par 3’s. This course has three par 3’s over the 200 yard mark. If he can capture birdies on those holes he is stealing strokes from the field. I don't recommend going all in on Armour but he has a tendency to pop when you least expect it.

Top Fade

Ben Heisler: Brendon Todd ($11,100)

I know Todd won last year’s event, and his profile fits this style of course perfectly. However, I can’t justify his price-point for his recent run of success.

Todd enters this week’s Bermuda Championship 35th in SG: total amongst a limited field, 76th in SG: tee-to-green, 87th in SG: ball-striking, and a stunning 104th in SG: off-the-tee. His putter remains terrific which likely keeps him in play throughout the weekend, but I’d much prefer to pivot down with plays like Ventura ($9,100), Redman ($10,400) and Will Zalatoris ($10,900).

Mark Farris: Danny Willett ($8,200)

Normally, I wouldn’t go this low in pricing for my Fade. However, this isn’t a normal week. Danny has shown some sparks of his old form, but I don’t like him this week. I know we need cut makers this week and he’s only made one since August 1st. I’m out! Let the chips fall where they may!

Alex White: Maverick McNealy ($8,300)

After making eleven straight cuts from September 2019 all the way to late March in 2020 you would have thought we had another CH3 in the making. However, Maverick has been ghastly since July. He has lost strokes through approach in eight straight tournaments as well as five of his last eight cuts. He was a DFS darling and I believe in this weak field people will hip back on. I will happily stay away until he finds some resemblance of consistency again. 

Previous PGA Tour Event Winners & DraftKings Salary

  • Zozo Championship: Patrick Cantlay ($9,400)
  • CJ Cup at Shadow Creek: Jason Kokrak ($7,000)
  • Shriners Hospitals for Children Open: Martin Laird ($6,400)
  • Sanderson Farms Championship: Sergio Garcia ($8,600)
  • Corales Puntacana Resort & Club Championship: Hudson Swafford ($6,700)
  • U.S. Open: Bryson DeChambeau ($9,900)
  • Safeway Open: Stewart Cink ($6,300)
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