MLB DFS Fastballs and Flyballs 4/27/2019
Saturday night slate started with 7 games and one game PPD (White Sox/Tigers game). The rest of the games look good to go for weather.
Syndergaard has been a bit off so far this season allowing 4 runs or more in 4 of his 5 games this year. He has pitched much better at home in his career and even this year. In 14 innings at home this year Syndergaard allowed HR and strike out 14 batters. Tonight he faces the Brewers tonight who have not hit as well on the road vs RHP. This season so far the Brewers are striking out at a 26% clip, hitting .207 with .164 ISO on the road vs RHP. Looking at 6 innings 8Ks and 2 ERs.
This is an excellent matchup for Kershaw tonight as he faces the Pirates who have struggled this year vs LHP. They are batting .227 with a 30% K rate and a .263 wOBA and last night Ryu struck them out 10 times over 7 innings. Kershaw has pitched well over his first 2 games going 13 innings(6 & 7 innings) and only allowing 2 runs in each while striking out 13 batters. Looking at 7 innings 9 Ks and 1 ER.
Gray has pitched at least 6 innings in all 5 starts this year and only allowed 2 runs over his last 3 games. He has done a good job at holding batters from both sides of the plate (.299 wOBA 18% K rate to LHHs & .294 wOBA & 29% K rate to RHHs and a 1 HR/9 to both sides). The Braves have struck out at a 25% clip vs RHP this year at home. Looking at 6 innings 7Ks and 2 ERs.
Musgrove has been good most of this year so far, but tonight he faces one of the best teams vs RHP (.297 average, .389 wOBA, 24 HRs(tied first) & a low 17% K rate @ home vs RHP).
Core-Pederson, Bellinger, Hernandez, Seager
Sneaky- Hernandez, Pollack, Turner
The roof, the roof, the roof will be open! plus 90 degree weather. Darvish has given up 16 runs and 6 HRs so far this year over 23 innings (2.5 HR/9).
Core-Escocar, Peralta & Walker
Good to have some of both sides of this game with weather and roof.
Pay down at catcher
Value-Taylor Davis & Jonathan Lucroy
Anthony Rizzo- goes yard tonight.
Value- Patrick Wisdom
Kiki Hernandez- RvR HR tonight.
Tommy La Stella
Value- Logan Forsythe
Value-JD Davis- no way in hell HR call.
Value- Ahmed Rosario
Cody Bellinger & Joc Pederson
Value- Peter Bourjos - HC 44% as of late with a 55% Flyball rate. 19 MPH winds.