MLB DFS: The Daily Diamond - 4/1
*All pricing references are based on DraftKings unless otherwise noted
This article is designed to give you a head start/a brief look at the top pitcher and hitters on the slate from a cash game and single entry contest point of view. Obviously, you're not going to put together a full lineup from the players listed below but that's not the idea. The idea is to give you an early look and to point you in the right direction. Combined with all of the other articles and resources we have here at FullTime DFS, collectively we'll have you in a great spot to cash!
Julio Urias (LAD)
News flash: The Giants lineup sucks, especially against left-handed pitching. Urias is good, very good, the only worry I have is that Dave Roberts pulls him after five innings, or even less at 75 pitches because they want to "watch his workload." Regardless, on a slate that isn't knocking our socks off with top options, Urias looks like the guy to plug in and go with against a weak Giants offense.
Kyle Hendricks (CHC)
As Hendricks is fresh off a new contract extension, he makes his season debut in Atlanta against the Braves playing in their home opener after closing out a weekend series in Philadelphia last night on Sunday Night Baseball. If you are new here, you'll come to realize that I look at travel trends a ton with teams, especially after a weekend series. Now, the Cubs also played yesterday in Texas, but that doesn't necessarily mean that it will affect Hendricks at all. Often times, in this situation the team, in this case, the Cubs will send their starter for the next day, Hendricks to the next city early thus making the travel less of an issue. At $7,200 we'll get a guy that pitches to contact but limits the hard contact, changes speeds, and doesn't often get into trouble with a lack of composure or command. Atlanta just faced a similar pitcher as Hendricks last night in Jake Arrieta who did not have his best stuff as he walked six Braves in six innings of six hit, one run ball. Look for a solid outing at a bargain from Hendricks with a good shot at picking up a win.
Sean Reid-Foley (TOR)
The main issue with Reid-Foley is we don't know how stretched out he to be able to go deep enough into this game. The matchup itself is fantastic because the Orioles are terrible. Last year Reid-Foley made a few starts late in the year and looked impressive on a couple of occasions; once against the Yankees and another time against the Astros. This is a case where he has a great chance of winning if he goes five, but can he get through five? I'm not 100 percent sold on that.
Bats to Build Around
My top bats on the slate. Not to say that you should force all of these guys into your lineup(s), simply said, these are my favorite bats considering a number of variables.
Alex Bregman (HOU)
In the Astros' first series of the season, Bregman got off to a bit of a slow start going just one for 12 with a home run in three games. However, this is a much better park shift for him facing a lefty in Drew Smyly that has always had trouble with right-handed hitting, and a Rangers bullpen that was worked all weekend against the Cubs. Bregman's .409 wOBA and .253 ISO against lefties last season also helps in making him my favorite bat on the slate.
Justin Smoak (TOR)
Smoak, who has great power numbers against right-handed pitching, including a home run against a righty this weekend, gets a matchup with David Hess and the Orioles pitching staff who somehow held their own, to a degree, against the Yankees this past weekend. Hess allowed a .352 wOBA, 45.5 percent FB rate, an 18.8 percent HR/FB rate, and 2.55 HR's/9 to lefties last season. Smoak is a good value power bat in one of the better hitting environments on the slate.
Joey Gallo (TEX)
Admittedly, I'm not much of a Gallo guy but there's no denying what he brings to the table; a ton of upside in the power department and conversely the ability to go 0-4 with four strikeouts on any given night. In this matchup against BradPeacock, Gallo has a bit of an advantage. Last season Peacock had his trouble with lefties allowing a hard contact rate of 39 percent, a fly ball rate of 46 percent, and a 27.6 percent home run to fly ball rate. Gallo's .274 ISO, 50 percent fly ball rate, and 25 percent home run to fly ball rate all leap of the page in a matchup where the park shift should work in the hitters favor a bit.
A.J. Pollock (LAD)
Pollock is 5-12 with a home run and a double in his first three games in a Dodger uniform and will look to stay hot in a solid matchup against lefty Drew Pomeranz. Pomeranz allowed a .401 wOBA to righties last season and Pollock, who should hit in the upper third of the batting order, turned in a .243 ISO and 46 percent hard-hit rate against southpaws last season.
Favorite value bat: Kole Calhoun (LAA)
Low owned home run: Brandon Lowe (TB)
Weakest position (generally a spot where I'll look for value): Second Base; Rougie Odor is probably as high as I would want to go today as a one-off and JoseAltuve in an Astros stack. Values I like include Lowe (TB), Starlin Castro (MIA), and Ian Kinsler (SD).
Favorite Team Stack: Astros (Bregman, Springer, Altuve)
Pitcher to Fade: David Price (BOS) - I'd rather pay up for bats (Astros) than pay up for and trust Price.