MLB DFS: The Daily Diamond - 6/28

Author:
Publish date:

*All pricing references are based on DraftKings unless otherwise noted

This article is designed to give you a head start/a brief look at the top pitchers and hitters on the slate from a cash game and single entry contest point of view. Obviously, you’re not going to put together a full lineup from the players listed below but that’s not the idea. The idea is to give you an early look and to point you in the right direction. Combined with all of the other articles and resources we have here at FullTime DFS, collectively we’ll have you in a great spot to cash!

Top Pitchers

Mike Clevinger (CLE)

Clevinger is back after yet another stint on the injured list, this time though after a freak injury that occurred coming off the mound against the Rangers in his last start. After a short time on the shelf, Sunshine returns to face the Orioles who he's dominated in his last three starts against including a complete game shutout in April of last season in Baltimore. All in all over his last three outings against the birds he's compiled 21 innings and 17 strikeouts while allowing zero runs. Baltimore has struggled big time this month against righties striking out 25.3 percent of the time, walking just 7.8 percent of the time, and have produced a .138 ISO and .283 wOBA. In his three starts, this season Clevinger has a 46.8 percent K rate along with a 1.74 FIP and is priced extremely friendly at $9,600 tonight.

Vinnie Velasquez (PHI)

Related image

Gabe Kapler had me going bananas in Vinnie's last start which came last Saturday at home against these same Marlins. He was cruising through five innings as he struck out five batters and allowed just one earned run on 57 pitches. 57!! In a better park shift tonight against a bad Marlins team (I know they hit Strasburg last night but let's be real. They suck), Vinnie comes in at $7,000 and is a fantastic SP2 option.

Jose Berrios (MIN)

Berrios continues to lack consistent strikeout production this season as he managed to K just three Royals in his last start (seven innings of two-run ball), however, he did strike out 10 Red Sox in his previous starts (eight innings of one-run ball). All in all, Berrios has pitched very well over his last six starts going at least six innings in each outing allowing more than two earned runs just once in a start the came in Tampa at the end of May. In the month of June, the White Sox have struggled against righties striking out 23 percent of the time, walking less than seven percent of the time, and have been limited in the power department posting a .161 team ISO. Berrios has pitched well in his last two starts against Chicago and I expect him to do so tonight.

Yonny Chirinos (TB)

Image result for yonny chirinos

After a homestand against the White Sox and a road series against the Tigers, two teams that feature brutal pitching, the Rangers head to the Trop to take on the Rays who while they've been struggling of late still have a good team backed by solid starting pitching and a good bullpen. Yonny Chirinos has gone 6, 6, 6, and 8 innings in his last four starts and while the strikeouts have been limited, he should see a bit of a bump in that department tonight against the Rangers who feature quite a few strikeouts in their lineup. The power of the Rangers is somewhat of a concern however in the climate-controlled dome of the Trop, I don't see them knocking Chirinos around here. Let's just hope the power doesn't go out again.

Bats to Build Around

My top bats on the slate. Not to say that you should force all of these guys into your lineup(s), simply said, these are my favorite bats considering a number of variables.

Manny Machado (SD)

Michael Wacha continues to struggle for the Cardinals, specifically against right-handed hitters allowing a .419 wOBA and 12 home runs to righties in 38.2 innings pitched, a rate of 2.79 home runs per nine innings. Machado heads home after a great road trip in which he went 9-22 with two doubles and three home runs against the Pirates and Orioles. The entire month of June to this point has been productive for Manny who had gotten off to a slow start as he's posted a .435 wOBAm .341 ISO, and a 48 percent fly ball rate this month which have resulted in eight home runs and seven doubles in 22 games.

Mike Moustakas (MIL)

Image result for mike moustakas brewers

Since September 24th of last season, Moustakas has owned the Pirates. I mean really owned them. In 15 games over that span, Moose is 22-61 (.360 average) with three doubles in 10 home runs. They simply can't get him out but continue to pitch to him. His strikeouts are virtually non-existent over that stretch as he's gone down just 12 times by way of the K in the 61 at-bats so clearly, he sees the ball well against them. Like Machado above, Moose has seen the ball well during the month of June posting a .445 wOBA, .351 ISO, and 51 percent hard-hit rate resulting in two doubles and eight home runs in 21 games. Pirates starter Chris Archer has had a hell of a time with the home run ball this season, specifically against lefties allowing 10 of them in 32.2 innings pitched, which translates to 2.76 per nine innings. A red-hot Moose against a team he destroys, against a righty that has trouble with the home run ball against lefties, and in a park that favors left-handed power hitters? There's literally nothing to not like here.

Jonathan Schoop (MIN)

Carson Fulmer starts for the banged-up White Sox in what is expected to be a bullpen game against one of the better offenses in baseball. News flash. The White Sox bullpen sucks. This is a spot where virtually any warm-bodied Twin can be considered, even after yesterday's marathon game against the Rays. I'm looking to Jonathan Schoop here considering the value he brings and his ability to fill the second base spot, a weak position again tonight (shocking, I know) at a good value on a night where we're going to need it. Schoop has posted a 46 percent hard-hit rate over the past couple of weeks and has a .315 ISO along with 10 of his 13 home runs this season coming on the road. At $4,000 he should be considered tonight for a team that could put up double-digit runs in a hurry.

Matt Olson (OAK)

Image result for matt olson

Olson now has two home runs in his last three games and comes in at just $4,100 against the Angels tonight, a team that had his number up until this season. Olson is now 6-21 against the Angels this season with two doubles and three home runs and has a 50 percent hard-hit rate along with a 47 percent fly-ball rate this month. Felix Pena, who is expected to come on in relief after the Angels utilize an opener has allowed a .374 wOBA and over 2 home runs per nine innings to lefties this season. Olson's power upside and ability to hit multiple home runs on any given night makes him an appealing play, especially at the value, he brings to the table tonight.

Quick Hits

Favorite value bat(s)

Justin Upton (LAA), Kyle Schwarber (CHC)

Low owned home run

Hunter Renfroe (SD)

Position that is weakest/has the most value

Catcher: Danny Jansen (TOR), Martin Maldonado (KC), Buster Posey (SF)

GOOD LUCK!