MLB DFS: The Daily Diamond - 8/5
*All pricing references are based on DraftKings unless otherwise noted
This article is designed to give you a head start/a brief look at the top pitchers and hitters on the slate from a cash game and single-entry contest point of view. Obviously, you’re not going to put together a full lineup from the players listed below but that’s not the idea. The idea is to give you an early look and to point you in the right direction. Combined with all of the other articles and resources we have here at FullTime DFS, collectively we’ll have you in a great spot to cash!
Lucas Giolito (CWS)
Even though he's come back down to earth after an incredible start, Giolito is still pitching well, especially in his last two starts against the Mets and the Rays. Giolito will face the Tigers tonight who are a complete disaster over the last two weeks against righties, which includes sporting the worst K rate (29 percent) in baseball, third-worst ISO (.130), and third-worst wOBA (.273). Giolito is the SP1 to have if you're paying up tonight.
Charlie Morton (TB)
There's been a ton of excitement with the Jays young bats Vlad Jr, Cavan Biggio, and recently Bo Bichette. The excitement turned into production over this past weekend against the horrific Orioles pitching staff in the Camden Yards Softball park. Tonight, the tune will be changed as the inexperienced Jays face Charlie Morton, a veteran who knows how to navigate a lineup. Couple Morton with a good pitching environment and we'll see the Jays bats cool off tonight.
Kyle Hendricks (CHC)
There continues to be nothing flashy about Hendricks but he continues to get the job done. Oakland has the fourth-highest K rate against righties over the last two weeks. Hendricks has gone at least six innings in three of his last four starts and I don't see how he doesn't give a productive outing again tonight with Oakland, who loses the DH, having the fourth-worst wOBA and fifth-worst ISO over the last couple of weeks against right-handed pitching.
Rick Porcello (BOS)
It's really hard to endorse Rick Porcello, ever, but for god's sake he's $6,400 at home against the Royals, one of the worst hitting teams against righties over the last two weeks. Porcello has been absolute shit, basically since the start of the season after his Cy Young season, but more recently he's had some horrific start that really make you cringe when considering to roster the guy. But, the Royals have the fifth-worst team wOBA and worst ISO against righties over the last two weeks. And he's $6,400!! He's the value SP2 and he's probably popular. It's up to you whether or not you can stomach rostering a chalky Rick Porcello.
Bats to Build Around
My top bats on the slate. Not to say that you should force all of these guys into your lineup(s), simply said, these are my favorite bats considering a number of variables.
Mike Moustakas (MIL)
Moose has been a Pirate killer this season going 15-49 with three doubles and six home runs. Against righties, this season Moustakas has a .364 wOBA and .266 ISO. Dario Agrazal has allowed 1.80 home runs per nine innings lefties and the Pittsburgh bullpen has had a tough time with them as well. Over the past two weeks, Pirate relievers have compiled the fourth-highest FIP along with a .347 wOBA and nearly two home runs per nine innings.
Gleyber Torres (NYY)
Speaking of beating up on teams, Gleyber has destroyed the Orioles this season going 21-43 with three doubles and 11 home runs. Insane. The Orioles bullpen has allowed 1.82 home runs per nine this season, by far the most of any bullpen in baseball. On a night where the Yankees will be one of the most popular teams across contests, Gleybar would be the first guy I'd plugin.
J.D Martinez (BOS)
Martinez and the Red Sox are the other teams that are sure to draw a lot of attention when it comes to bats tonight. Martinez faces Mike Montgomery and J.D. has destroyed lefties to the tune of a .534 wOBA and .505 ISO with a 42.4 HR/FB ratio. Over his last 15 days, Martinez has a 96 mile-per-hour average exit velocity and a 39 percent fly-ball rate.
Justin Turner (LAD)
Michael Wacha, who's been in and out of the rotation all season has a chance to stick in it with a good outing against the Dodgers but it'll be tough against a good lineup, especially against righties like JT. Wacha has allowed 15 home runs in 52.1 innings this season with a .405 wOBA and 40 percent hard contact rate. Turner himself has had really good numbers against right-handed pitching this season (.370 wOBA) and specifically, over the last two weeks, the veteran has posted a .435 wOBA and .419 ISO over 11 games.
Favorite value bat(s)
Joc Pederson (LAD), Nick Castellanos (CHC)
Low owned home run
Starling Marte (PIT)
Position that is weakest/has the most value
Catcher: Elias Diaz (PIT), Buster Posey (SF), Mike Zunino (TB)