The Dongers Club - Wed, Aug 5th

srenner

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SLATE INTRO

If you came here looking for why the Marlins and Orioles game is not on the slate then I have nothing to share with you. I cannot begin to express my deepest sympathies to you as you feel the pain of missing out on the Marlins at the Orioles as it's being played at 5:05 PM EST today. To make matters worse, we didn't (well, I didn't) even look at if there was a 4 game early only slate today. What would have been really cool is if we could have done an NBA+NHL+MLB lineup. Maybe pick 3 players from every sport and see how it pans out... That would have been really cool to do, because Corey Dickerson is about to hit a home run right as you get to the positional breakdown on this article and it won't land for a while....

Wait, Corey Dickerson is on the Marlins still right?

UPDATE: Lance McCullers scratched ... Good news is, nothing below really needs major changes. Bad news, that D'Backs lineup which quit last night probably has their revenge game today I have none of it right now... 

WEATHER

All games are good today. No issues. Nothing extreme.

  • Royals and Cubs go from chilly Wrigley with winds blowing in to warmer KC with winds blowing out slightly to left. Im definitely jumping OVER to this game around 9pm to check OVER how many home runs have gone OVER the wall.
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Mike Clevinger

I am going to do something today that I almost never do. I am going to have a number one pitcher and then have a secondary lineup (probably on FD) which has hitters from the other team and the reason for this is entirely because of who the hitters are and the ballpark (LiC) this game is being played in. That's the disclaimer on Clevinger today, and here's the analysis.

We're creeping into a very cool time window for starting pitching right now as guys who may have started sluggish or just mediocre are building up to that prime start. Lucas Giolito just about got there last night and I expect this to be a Clevinger show me type game. His good buddy, Trevor Bauer, is sitting in the dugout on the other side talking trash and Clevinger will want to show out against what might appear as a potent lineup. So the Reds may only be striking out 20% this season -- so what, they struck out 10 times yesterday (8 vs Bieber) and I do know that they'll probably roll out 6+ Switch hitters or lefties today + the reverse splits and white hot Castellanos.

Don't care.

Randy Dobnak

DraftKings SP2 today dosen't offer up much in terms of feeling comfortable or safe but Dobnak simply needs to get through 5 innings and he'll be the pitching of record today. And if he gets through those 5 innings the pitcher of record status will be a W and not an L.

Sean Maneaea

In my opinion he sucks normally as a DFS option but I'm listing him after Randy fricken Dobnak, so take it and thank me for not writing up Julio Teheran. Texas Rangers aren't very good either and he can pitch decent at home minus one mistake to Elvis Andrus but nobody is ever afraid of fading Sean Manaea, so there!

Outside of the Box Play

Nobody

Guys I am not using

  • Yu Darvish ... Yu'z a gonna regret it.
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Alot of you are blindly taking this section and considering it "STACKS OF THE DAY" recommendations where you should pair 2 teams together and play a 5:3 or 4:4 type stack build to your lineups because that is what you have read and been brainwashed into thinking is the only way to play MLB DFS. It is not. In fact, more times than not this season you are better off aligning the recommendations in this section which are designed to focus on the teams I think are in good spots the most with the positional plays below. If you are blindly trying to pair two teams together and following my advice on which contests to play then you are not doing it right and quite frankly you are missing out. This in no way is saying that when I mention "Team X" and list the bats I like from that team, that I would never roll out that team with all those players in it together. But you gotta evaluate what type of player you are. If you are doing multiple lineups then building exposure differently to various teams is logical. If you are a main lineup and pick good contests and want to be a profitable player then you should evaluate the balance of which teams you want to anchor your lineup with the top positional recommendations in the section below. The title in the image says HITTING BREAKDOWN, if you want to be a profitable player in the GOOD CONTESTS then follow along. If you want to chase everyone elses MME screenshots and end up down on the year then go somewhere else where you can read 10 articles from 30 different writers each week.

Minnesota Twins

Max Kepler, Eddie Rosario, Miguel Sano, Luis Arraez, Nelson Cruz

After being quiet when we used them on Monday the Twins woke up early on the Pirates yesterday and now the series shifts to Pittsburgh which might appear like a park downgrade until you realize this is the LiPNC play we should be all over with stud lefties like Kepler & Rosario walking in the door. Nelson Cruz is basically hitting .800 in his last 50 AB with men on base (not an exaggeration really and I might be too low on the estimate) so you know you can always consider him -- but remember who we got disappointed by on Monday? My favorite Twin against Trevor Williams shockingly would have been the guy who screwed us Monday in Miguel Sano. So of course upon seeing him not in the lineup I was sad until recognizing Jake Cave as the 5 hole hitter. Holy lefties baby.

STACK EM PEOPLE! STACK EM!!!!

LA Angels

David Fletcher, Mike Trout, Anthony Rendon

The wheels on the Mariners are falling off. Falling off. Falling off. The wheels on the Mariners are falling off. Ha-lo-Nation... Wow, someone remind me to never do that again? Tony Two Bags Rendon was a big time acquisition for the Angels this off-season and he has been a little slow out of the gate due to an oblique injury which can always set a hitter back for a while. But it's been over a month now and prior to last night he had hits in 3 of 4 including a double on Sunday. Rendon was 0-4 last night but will benefit from Trout walking ahead of him today to have a big RBI game

Toronto Blue Jays

Bo Bichette, Lourdes Gurriel Jr, Teoscar Hernandez

Again GIFs - Get the best GIF on GIPHY

Other Spots to Consider:

  • DODGERS: Keith Richards has a better chance navigating through this Dodgers lineup than Trevor Richards. BvP crowd will take it on the chin tonight looking at Richards having good numbers. Won't last.
  • INDIANS: Jose Ramirez, Franmil Reyes and Lindor. The Ohio series is always fun and I'm fully on the Tribe's side today. The only Teejay we ever consider is Oshie, so Antone is gonna have a rough first inning on these boys.

Thoughts on COORS FIELD:

We got away without Coors Field last night but with Nolan Arenado locked in now the Giants will screw up big time and David Dahl is just itching to get his 30% chalk home run, so make sure you consider him from the Rockies but take note that the Giants are winning this game and are the better value.

  • Dahl & Belt
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CATCHER

Not alot here, so I went to my safe spot and thought about who the catcher we should all play at 5% ownership for a big game today is.... And it said

  1. MANNY PINA!
  2. Will Smith
  3. Pay down

FIRST BASE

This position. It doesn't suck today. Aside from having Brandon Belt as an elite play that is.

  1. Brandon Belt
  2. Vlad Guerrero Jr
  3. Christian Walker

SECOND BASE

  1. Arraez, Luis
  2. Max Muncy - Nice play on DK at second if you opt off Twins.
  3. Shed Long Jr.

THIRD BASE

Honestly I will be back and forth between Rendon and Jose Ramirez, love them both today.

  1. Anthony Rendon
  2. Jose Ramirez
  3. Justin Turner

SHORTSTOP

  1. Bo Bichette
  2. Jorge Polanco - Oh man that DK price tag is nice.
  3. JP Crawford

OUTFIELD - Mt. Rushmore

Not a more loaded spot today than the outfield position, which means you can probably get away from Coors here if you really want too.

  1. Max Kepler
  2. Eddie Rosario
  3. Kirby Puckett ... Wait, he's dead.... Cross him off then.
  4. Jorge Soler ... Boomshot.

Outfield - Tier 2

  1. David Dahl
  2. Cody Bellinger
  3. Lourdes Gurriel Jr
  4. Mike Yastzemski

Outfield - Value

  1. Jake Cave
  2. AJ Pollock - On fire and still cheap as dirt....
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BEST CONTEST REFRESHER

These are the things I look for the most and encourage you to do it as well. We are all going to chase big $ contests w/ multiple lineups and that is fine, but you need balance in your MLB portfolio, so add the Dongers Club Growth Funds:

  1. 10x to first: This one is going to be hard for many of you but it's the #1 golden rule to staying profitable during the MLB grind. You need these contests mixed in more than you realize. What is 10x to first? It means that the prize for 1st Place which everyone obsesses with is 10x the entry fee. So yeah, that means a $10 contest pays out $100 to first. Or my favorite $100 pays out $1000. You are thinking what's the point? These type of contests usually aren't as common and they're a waste of time, I want my 50x to first!! Well, guess what. You will find that you win these 10x to first contests far often and that type of boost is way better than any other you will find. They're smaller and usually have folks who are late registering their contests in them. Find these. Play these.
  2. Less than 1,000 Users: Very simple rule. Avoid contests that have too many users. A big misconception is that MME is hard to beat and you cant beat someone with a single lineup if they have maxed out the limits on a contest. Not true. The more lineups they are putting in the chances are more bad lineups as well. It comes down to the TOTAL number of users you have to beat. Fewer is better.
  3. Get out of the $1 and $3 and $5 contests: If you are living here, you aren't about making money. Sorry.
  4. Play a 3-man to bust a slump: Yes, they are full of what folks call Sharks. No, they are not invincible. When you're in a slump, play one of these.
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  1. Jorge Soler - OF - Kansas City Royals - Chairman
  2. Max Kepler - OF - Twins
  3. David Dahl - OF - Rockies
  4. Brandon Belt - 1B - Giants
  5. Manny Pina - C - Brewers
  6. Beaux Bichette - SS - Blue Jays
  7. Jose Ramirez - 3B - Indians
  8. Shed Long Dong - 2B - Mariners
  9. BONUS .......................... Jake Cave - OF - Twins
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