NASCAR DFS: AAA 400 Drive for Autism DraftKings Lineups Plays
The Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series visits "The Monster Mile" this weekend, and now that qualifying and practices are in the books, it's time to break down the top NASCAR DFS plays at DraftKings for Sunday's AAA 400 at Dover International Speedway.
With 400 laps on tap, you need to construct your lineups with the dominator categories as your main focus. History says that a couple of drivers could each lead more than 100 laps this weekend, and history also says these drivers will probably be starting toward the front. There happens to be several big names starting up front Sunday, so I'll be going with a lot of two-dominator and three-dominator lineups.
While this strategy can get expensive, the good news is that there are also a couple of appealing cheap plays who can help you balance out the salary numbers. It also helps that there aren't any must-own big names who will be starting way in the back of the pack.
As a result, I'll be going with a lot of top-loaded lineups this weekend, and I'll have plenty of exposure to various drivers in the $5,000 range.
Check out all of my top DFS plays at DraftKings, and make sure to lock in your lineups for the AAA 400 at Dover.
Kyle Busch ($11,600)
Dominator points and Top 5 finishes have pretty much been par for the course for Busch this season, and he appears headed for another excellent point total this weekend. He starts in the Top 5 and showed great speed in practice, and Busch has three wins and ranks second in both dominator categories at Dover overall.
Kevin Harvick ($11,000)
Harvick has had his share of impressive runs at Dover, leading more than 90 laps in four of the last seven races, and leading more than 200 laps led twice. He qualified on the front row Friday, and he showed excellent long-run speed in practice Saturday. Harvick has the track position and the car to pile up plenty of dominator points again this weekend. You will want plenty of exposure.
Martin Truex Jr. ($10,800)
It's hard to argue with Truex's dominator potential this weekend. He has also led 100-plus laps in three of his last six starts here, leading at least 40 laps five times in that span. He has also led 50-plus laps in three straight races here. Starting third, Truex is in position to add to his total this weekend.
Kyle Larson ($10,200)
His long run speed looks a little questionable, but after two dominant showings at Dover last year and pole award this weekend, Larson's ownership should be through the roof. His potential for a lot of dominator points and his popularity will make him a safe option for cap games.
Joey Logano ($9,500)
He has only led three laps at Dover in his career, but Logano has finished 11th or better in nine of his last 12 starts here. Starting 18th, another Top 10 finish is going to yield 40-plus fantasy points Sunday, and that is only his floor. Logano should be a safe addition to pair with a dominator or two.
Jimmie Johnson ($9,000)
Johnson will have to start back in 19th, but he looked more like a Top 10 driver in practice Saturday, and his resume at Dover is second to none. He won the spring race last year, his 11th victory at the track, and he finished third in the fall race. At the very least, he should move toward the front and deliver a solid score, and I wouldn't rule out some dominator points.
Clint Bowyer ($8,800)
He's priced on the higher end of the midrange options, but Bowyer has been fast all year and has finished in the Top 15 in eight of his last 10 starts at Dover. He also ranked third in Happy Hour and posted the best 10-lap average speed. Bowyer doesn't have a ton of differential upside after qualifying 12th, but a Top 10 finish and a point total in the 40-point range seems likely.
Austin Dillon ($7,800)
It doesn't look he has a great car for Sunday, but Dillon has three straight finishes of 16th or better at Dover and should be able to crack the Top 20 again this weekend. Starting back in 27th, Dillon should be able to finish with a decent point total once differential points are factored in. He should be a safe, solid mid-priced play.
David Ragan ($5,300)
Ragan has quietly enjoyed a respectable season, compiling a 22.2 average finish and finishing in the Top 25 in eight of the 10 races. Now that he has some differential upside after qualifying 32nd, he looks like safe source of cap relief, especially after popping up in the Top 20 in practice.
Chase Elliott ($9,300)
With so many big names starting in the Top 5, especially Kyle Busch and Kevin Harvick, Elliott could be one of the lower-owned dominator candidates. However, Elliott starts sixth in his own right, showed plenty of speed in practice and has never finished outside the Top 5 at Dover. He led the most laps and finished second here last fall, so don't rule out Elliott finishing as the top scorer Sunday.
Aric Almirola ($8,600)
His price tag and Top 15 starting spot should limit Almirola's ownership, but while he doesn't have as much differential potential as he typically does, I still think he could be worth some exposure this weekend. Almirola topped final practice and finished in the Top 5 in both sessions, so he could be headed for one of his best runs of the season with the potential to sneak some dominator points.
Paul Menard ($6,800)
Menard doesn't have a great record at Dover, especially recently, but he's been in running in the top half of the field routinely in his first season with Wood Brothers Racing. This weekend, he's starting 20th with a car that was surprisingly fast in practice. If he can come anywhere close to backing up his practice times, he could be one of the steals of the weekend.
William Byron ($6,600)
If you throw out the two restrictor-plate races, Byron has cracked the Top 20 in seven of his eight starts this year, finishing in the Top 15 four times. He starts 17th Sunday, so he doesn't jump out as an obvious play. However, Byron showed Top 10 potential in practice Saturday, and I think he could be a cheap, under-owned source of around 40 fantasy points.
Corey LaJoie ($5,000)
He's had engine issues in two of this three starts in the No. 72 this year, but LaJoie finished 25th in the one race his car made it to the finish. Meanwhile, Cole Whitt has a 25.9 average finish in his seven starts for the same team, finishing in the Top 30 in every race. LaJoie starts dead last in 38th Sunday, so he won't be losing you points, and I could actually see him gaining around 10 spots.
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