NASCAR DFS: Overton's 400 DraftKings and Fanduel Lineups Plays
The Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series makes a stop at Chicagoland Speedway this weekend for the Overton's 400. Sunday's race will be the sixth of the year at a 1.5-mile oval, and while these mile-and-a-half tracks tend to follow a pattern, we will have to deal with a bit of a curveball when assembling our DFS lineups.
Sunday's race is an impound event, which means that teams can't touch their cars after qualifying. It also means that cars must pass post-qualifying inspection or times will be disallowed. Well, several big names didn't clear inspection, putting Martin Truex Jr., Denny Hamlin and Jimmie Johnson to the rear of the field.
At DraftKings in particular, we now have to find the right balance between these big names with place differential upside and dominator candidates. I'll be going with a lot of one-dominator lineups, hoping to nail the driver who leads the most laps while still soaking up all the differential points that are available.
At Fanduel where dominator points aren't nearly as important, I recommend loading up your lineups with drivers starting in the back.
Don't forget that NASCAR moved up the start time of the Overton's 400 just a bit because of the threat of bad weather Sunday, so make sure to lock in your lineups at DraftKings and Fanduel before the green flag waves.
DraftKings Must-Own Drivers
Kevin Harvick ($11,800)
There are a lot of appealing options starting in the rear of the field, you will still want at least one dominator to anchor your lineups, and Harvick is once again your best bet. Not only has he been unstoppable at the 1.5-mile tracks this year, but he had the best 10-lap average speed in final practice. He could lead 100-plus laps on his way to another win this weekend.
Martin Truex Jr. ($10,900)
He has won the last two races at Chicagoland, and his five Top 5s in the five races at 1.5-mile ovals this year are tied for the most in the series. Issues with qualifying inspection have Truex starting 36th, but he had some of the best long-run speed of anyone in practice Saturday. A Top 10 finish and 50-plus fantasy points are his floor.
Denny Hamlin ($9,300)
Hamlin looked a contrarian dominator option after qualifying wrapped up, but he failed inspection and had his time disallowed, dropping him from fourth to 37th. On the plus side, he now has enormous upside in the place differential category at a track where he has four straight finishes of sixth or better. Hamlin also has three Top 5s in the five races at mile-and-a-half tracks this year, so he could be looking at 60-plus fantasy points without recording any dominator points.
Jimmie Johnson ($8,700)
While it hasn't been a banner year for Johnson at the 1.5-mile tracks, he showed some serious signs of life at Charlotte a few weeks ago when he finished fifth. More importantly, he will have to start in the back after failing inspection and having his qualifying time disallowed. Johnson has finished 12th or better in nine of his last 10 starts at Chicagoland, and 30-plus points through place differential and 60-plus fantasy points aren't out of the question.
DraftKings Cash Plays
Kyle Busch ($11,400)
He has been excellent at the 1.5-mile ovals in 2018, winning twice, leading more than 500 laps and finishing in the Top 10 in all five races. He has also led more than 20 laps in each of the last five races at Chicagoland, and he even has a little place differential upside after qualifying 16th. Busch should deliver all-around production on his way to a strong point total.
Ryan Blaney ($8,300)
It was a bit of an unexpected qualifying session, but looking at the first few rows, Blaney looks like the best bet for dominator points. He starts second, and he has shown Top 5 speed at the 1.5-mile tracks all year, leading more than 50 laps at Kansas. I think he can at least lead a chunk of laps early on, and I wouldn't be surprised to see him battling up front all afternoon. Blaney is a discounted dominator candidate. Build around him and surround him with the big names starting in the back.
Kasey Kahne ($6,900)
It has been a forgettable year for Kahne overall, but he has been at his best at the mile-and-a-half tracks. He has finished 21st or better in all five races thus far, so he is a safe bet to move forward from his 24th-place starting spot. Kahne should be good for 25-plus fantasy points Sunday.
Chris Buescher ($6,300)
He's been boom-or-bust at the 1.5-mile tracks this year, logging a pair of 15th-place finishes and struggling in the other three races. However, he has to start dead last after failing qualifying inspection, so Buescher has nothing but upside in the differential category. He's basically a lock to provide positive points for a great price.
Ty Dillon ($5,600)
Dillon doesn't have a lot of upside, but starting 25th gives him a safe floor through the differential category. He has a 24.4 average finish at the 1.5-mile tracks this year, and another Top 25 and around 20 fantasy points at DraftKings could be on tap. At the very least, Dillon should free up a lot of cap space while providing some positive points.
DraftKings GPP Plays
Kyle Larson ($10,400)
He will start back in 18th, but Larson showed excellent long run speed in final practice. He's been strong at the mile-and-a-half tracks this year, notching four Top 10s in five races, and he has three Top 10s in four starts at Chicagoland. Normally, Larson would be a no-brainer option starting this deep, but with so many big names starting in the back, I actually think he could be a little under-owned and a great pivot to guys like Martin Truex Jr., Denny Hamlin and Kyle Busch this weekend.
Chase Elliott ($8,500)
Elliott hasn't been able to lead a lot of laps this year, but in two starts at Chicagoland, he has a pair of Top 3 finishes and has led more than 40 laps in both races. After ranking in the Top 5 in practice and qualifying third, he appears to have plenty of speed this weekend. I like the idea of using Elliott as a cheaper, contrarian dominator and surrounding him with some of the big names starting in the back.
Paul Menard ($7,000)
He won the pole, but let's face it. The likely scenario is the Menard falls from the lead early, failing to earn many dominator points. Worst-case scenario, he has trouble and ruins your lineup because of his negative point total. However, there is also a chance he leads the first chunk of laps and goes on to finish somewhere in the Top 10 with 40ish fantasy points. At this price, it's a chance worth taking in at least one lineup.
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. ($6,800)
Starting right in the middle of the pack should have Stenhouse flying under the radar a bit, but he's been an underrated option at the 1.5-mile tracks. He has finished 16th or better in four of the five races, finishing 11th at Kansas and 10th at Charlotte in his two most recent starts. Stenhouse could be a sneaky source of 30-plus fantasy points.
Michael McDowell ($6,000)
He blew an engine at Las Vegas, but McDowell cracked the Top 25 in the other four races at 1.5-mile tracks this year, logging three Top 20s. He isn't as consistent as some of the other cheaper play, but after qualifying 26th, he is in prime position to use the place differential category to his advantage. His higher ceiling is worth the risk in GPPs.
Trevor Bayne ($5,500)
His salary has plummeted following his benching, but Bayne has been decent in the races he has run at 1.5-mile tracks this year. He blew an engine at Atlanta, but he finished 20th at Las Vegas and 12th at Texas. Bayne starts 21st, and he should be able to finish right around the Top 20, as well. He could deliver 20-plus fantasy points for a great price.
Fanduel Must-Own Drivers
Martin Truex Jr. ($12,800)
Kevin Harvick ($12,300)
Denny Hamlin ($10,600)
Jimmie Johnson ($9,500)
Fanduel Value Plays
Kyle Busch ($11,900)
Kyle Larson ($11,400)
Kasey Kahne ($7,900)
Chris Buescher ($6,100)
Michael McDowell ($6,000)
Brad Keselowski ($11,100)
Joey Logano ($10,800)
Jamie McMurray ($9,100)
Alex Bowman ($8,100)
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. ($8,000)
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