NASCAR XFINITY DFS: My Bariatric Solutions 300 DraftKings Preview
After a couple of off weeks, the NASCAR XFINITY Series returns to action this weekend at Texas Motor Speedway. Saturday’s My Bariatric Solutions 300 is also a companion event with the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series, and to no surprise, there are few Cup regulars scheduled to be in the field.
On the plus side, having a couple of Cup stars in the field makes it pretty obvious where you need to look for your dominator points, especially at a mile-and-a-half track like Texas. Earlier this year at Atlanta, Kevin Harvick led 141 of the 163 laps, and the next week at Las Vegas, Kyle Larson led 142 of the 200 laps with Ryan Blaney chipping in 33 laps led.
The downside is that these Cup regulars won’t come cheap and will have huge ownership percentages, but you still need to roster them in a majority of your lineups. As a result, your success, or lack thereof, often boils down to what you do with the rest of your roster.
I won’t hesitate to go with a couple of punt plays, especially if there happens to be a high-end option that ends up with a bunch of potential in the place differential category. You also shouldn’t underestimate the value of a solid finish. With the top Cup regulars likely monopolizing the dominator points, you don’t have to go out of your way to afford the other Cup regulars or even some of the top XFINITY guys.
The last thing you want to do is pay $10,000-plus just for 30-something points you get for a Top 10 finish. You can get a similar point total from a few mid-priced options and have a much stronger lineup overall as a result.
There isn’t going to be much turnaround time between qualifying and the race this Saturday, so make sure to check out the Premium Forum for my final DraftKings Lineups plays for the My Bariatric Solutions 300 at Texas Saturday afternoon. You can also reach out to me on Twitter at @BPolking with any questions.
Kevin Harvick ($13,800)
Fitting Harvick’s massive price tag into your lineup won’t be easy, but it might be a necessity. He is a five-time winner at Texas in the XFINITY Series, and he has finished third or better in his last three starts at the track. More importantly, he clobbered the field in his only XFINITY start of 2018, leading 141 of the 163 laps at Atlanta. There’s a decent chance that he owns the dominator categories again this weekend, and if it looks like he has the car to beat after practice and qualifying, you will have to pay up.
Ryan Blaney ($10,700)
Although I think Kevin Harvick deserves to be the favorite this weekend, Blaney offers similar upside for a lot less money. In five XFINITY starts at Texas, he has a 3.4 average finish and has finished second three times. Blaney also led 30-plus laps in both races at the track last year. His only XFINITY start in 2018 came a few weeks back at Las Vegas, and Blaney led 33 laps and finished fourth in that one. At worst, he should deliver some dominator points and challenge for the win, and he has a decent chance to finish as the top scorer.
Justin Allgaier ($9,800)
Since crashing out at Daytona, Allgaier has been on an absolute tear. He has finished sixth, third, second and second in the last four races, and he has led laps in three straight. He’s also gained at least nine spots in both of the races at 1.5-mile tracks this year. After the two Cup studs, Allgaier is one of your best bets for a Top 5 finish and a few dominator points.
Christopher Bell ($9,400)
Bell has led multiple laps in every race since Daytona, finishing in the Top 3 in both races at 1.5-mile tracks. I actually think he is a little underpriced this weekend, and if someone other than Kevin Harvick or Ryan Blaney is going to control Saturday’s race, Bell would be my top alternative. At the very least, he gives you a shot at a Top 5 and some dominator points.
Ryan Preece ($8,200)
He will get his second start of the year this weekend, and the first time out, Preece started and finished in the Top 10 at Auto Club. He will be driving for Joe Gibbs Racing again, so another Top 10 should be in the cards, and you can’t rule out a Top 5. Preece easily has the most upside of any mid-priced option this weekend.
Spencer Gallagher ($6,700)
Gallagher has been the model of consistency this year, cracking the Top 15 in all five races and compiling an 11.0 average finish. Solid qualifying runs usually cap his ceiling, but this is still a great price for someone who can provide 25-plus points on finishing position alone. If he happens to start deeper in the field, Gallagher becomes a no-brainer option.
Alex Labbe ($6,200)
He continues to run in the Top 20 on a weekly basis, and Labbe was able to take advantage of the place differential category in the first two races at mile-and-a-half tracks. He gained 15 spots and finished 18th at Atlanta, and he gained seven spots and finished 17th at Las Vegas. If he starts in the back half of the field again this weekend, he should be one of the safest low-priced plays.
Josh Williams ($5,400)
Qualifying will likely reveal some more potential punt plays, but I’ve got my eye on Williams. Through the first five races, he has a 24.2 average finish and an average place differential of +8.0, and he has finished in the Top 25 and gained at least seven spots in both races at 1.5-mile ovals. If he starts around the 30th spot, I’ll be all over him for cap relief.
Bayley Currey ($4,300)
Currey is another punt play that I’ll be eyeing heading into the race. He is the cheapest driver on the board as he prepares to make his XFINITY Series debut this weekend. He’s driving for B.J. McLeod Motorsports, and while he won’t have elite equipment by any means, McLeod has been competing for Top 25s this year. It wouldn’t be a shock to see Currey struggle in his first qualifying session at this level, and if he is starting outside the Top 30, he could be worth a roll of the dice.