NHL DFS: The Point Shot - 12/1

robgeriak

Key Three Skaters

These are my three favorite overall skaters on the slate taking into account recent performance, matchup, and salary

Cam Atkinson (CBJ)

In what's basically a homecoming for Atkinson who grew up 45 minutes North of where he'll be playing tonight, he comes in red-hot with 10 goals in his last eight games with five assists over the eight-game point scoring streak. Against the Islanders over his last 13 games, Atkinson has eight goals, five assists, and 33 shots.

Brendan Gallagher (MTL)

Gallagher brings a heavy shot volume sitting second among forwards in shots per 60 at even strength (12.33) as well as leading forwards in high-danger scoring chances per 60 (7.22). These two attributes are nightmarish for the Rangers right now. Gallagher has four points, all assists, in his last three games against the Rangers but has six shots in each of those three games. He has just two goals in his last 13 games but is still fifth among forwards at even strength with 1.76 goals per 60. He'll get one tonight.

Mark Scheifele (WPG)

Scheifele has two goals and four assists in his last three games and has a great chance of keeping his point streak alive against the Devils who have allowed the fifth-most fantasy points to centers over the last four weeks. The first line center has 13 goals and 16 assists on the season with four tallies and six helpers coming on the power play for the Jets which ranks second in the NHL in success rate.

Favorite Line Stacks

Blue Jackets First Line

Panarin - Dubois - Atkinson

I touched on Cam and his recent success of late. His centerman, Pierre-Luc Dubois has two goals and three assists in his last two games. In his last four games against the Isles, he has three goals and two assists. Artemi Panarin is also in a good spot as the Islanders have allowed the third-most points to left-wingers over the last four weeks including 15 goals and 12 assists over the 12-game span.

Maple Leafs First Line

Hyman - Tavares - Marner

John Tavares has three goals in his last three games and has been everything Toronto could've hoped for after signing him this offseason sitting near the top or at the top among forwards in high-danger scoring chances per 60 and goals per 60. He's rubbed off on Mitch Marner who has multiple points in six of his last nine games and has been producing at this level all season long. Marner is sixth in points per 60 among forwards and first in primary assists per 60. Zach Hyman is the grinder on this line and brings good value to go along with the otherwise high-price Tavares and Marner.

Golden Knights First Line

Marchessault - Karlsson - Smith

This line is starting to come around and show flashes of what they were last season. Edmonton has struggled with the center spot all season, especially over the last four weeks and Karlsson, who is underpriced on DraftKings, has goals in each of his last three games. Marchessault has four goals and two assists in his last two games against Edmonton. Smith, who also brings good value, has points in six of his last seven games.

Others I like

Jets First Line: Ehlers - Scheifele - Wheeler

Lightning Second Line: Johnson - Point - Kucherov

Panthers First Line: Dadonov - Barkov - Hoffman

Predators First Line: Fiala - Johansen - Forsberg

Value Line Stacks

Blues Second Line: Fabbri - Schenn - Perron

Islanders First Line: Beauvillier - Barzal - Bailey

Flyers Second Line: van Riemsdyk - Patrick - Simmonds

Bruins Second Line: DeBrusk - Krejci - Heinen

Top Positional Plays

Center

Evgeni Malkin (PIT) - He's incredibly underpriced on DK and for the life of me, I couldn't tell you why.

Auston Matthews (TOR) - Returned the other night and picked up right where he had left off before getting hurt with two goals and an assist.

Aleksander Barkov (FLA) - Barkov has 15 points in his last 11 games against the Lightning and has two goals to go along with two assists in his last three games.

Brayden Point (TB) - With four goals, three assists, and 15 shots in his last four games, Point is on fire facing the Panthers who have allowed 14 goals and 27 assists to centers in their last 12 games.

Connor McDavid (EDM) - With just three points in his last four games, low for his standards, McDavid is due to break out with a monster effort on a night where he may be slightly overlooked with such a loaded slate. It's as simple as that.

Mika Zibanajad (NYR) - Zib has four goals, four assists, and 19 shots in his last five games against Montreal who have allowed the sixth-most points to centers over the last month.

Wing

David Pastrnak (BOS) - Starting to heat up again with points in back to back games (two goals, one assist) and faces the Red Wings who he's scored seven goals and dished out eight assists against in his last 13 games.

Patrik Laine (WPG) - The guy is a fucking machine right now and facing a Devils team that has been soft defensively, it's tough not to consider riding this Tra(i)n(e) until it derails.

Nikita Kucherov (TB) - Heating up since being moved to skate with Point. Kucherov has points in each of his last eight games with multi-point efforts in six of those games.

Mike Hoffman (FLA) - Tampa has allowed the second-most fantasy point to right-wingers over the last month.

Filip Forsberg (NSH) - Corey Crawford has been an absolute sieve and Forsberg should take advantage of him tonight as he has in this matchup recently with four goals in his last five game against Chicago.

Phil Kessel (PIT) - Kessel has points in nine of his last 10 games and has 17 points (five goals, 12 assists) in his last 18 games, playoffs included, against the Flyers.

Vladimir Tarasenko (STL) - Loved him last night and he scored. I like him tonight against the Coyotes who he has five goal and five assists, along with 39 shots against in his last nine games.

Defense

Roman Josi (NSH) - Over the past month, Josi has averaged 2.01 points per 60 and 4.71 shots per game.

Kris Letang (PIT) - Points in six of his last eight games and should build on that in what could be a high-scoring affair,

Alex Pietrangelo (STL) - Arizona has allowed the fourth-most fantasy points to defensemen.

Victor Hedman (TB) - Florida has been very generous to defensemen all season long, but specifically over the last four weeks.

Matt Dumba (MIN) - The Leafs have been one of the worst teams at defending the defense position and Dumba has been one of the best at the position producing points this season.

Morgan Rielly (TOR) - He's slowed down a bit after his torrid start but the Wild have allowed the fifth-most fantasy points to the position over the last four weeks giving Rielly some hope to start heating up again.

Jacob Trouba (WPG) - Good value and a good matchup.

Shayne Gostisbehere (PHI) - The Penguins have allowed the ninth-most fantasy points to defensemen over the last four weeks.

Seth Jones (CBJ) - Heavily involved in the offense for the Jackets who I expect to put up some goals tonight.

Ryan Ellis (NSH) - Great value as a pivot off of Josi.

Shea Weber (MTL) - Returned the other night and didn't look like he'd missed a beat after not playing for almost a year. He logged 25 minutes of ice time with three shots, two blocks, and an assist.

Neil Pionk (MTL) - Montreal has allowed the most fantasy points to defensemen over the last four weeks.

Value

Jake Gardiner (TOR)

Ryan Pulock (NYI)

David Savard (CBJ)

Jared Spurgeon (MIN)

Brian Dumoulin (PIT)

Brady Skjei (NYR)

Favorite Goalies

Marc-Andre Fleury (VGK)

Tuukka Rask (BOS)

Sergei Bobrovsky (CBJ)

Pekka Rinne (NSH)

GOOD LUCK!!

Comments

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