NHL DFS: The Point Shot - 12/28

robgeriak

Key Three Skaters

Mike Hoffman (FLA)

Heading into the break, Hoffman had goals in back to back games giving him 17 on the season, good enough to tie him with Evgenii Dadonov for the team lead. The Canadiens have allowed the second-most fantasy points to right-wingers over the last four weeks including 10 goals and 14 assists over the 12-game stretch. He'll be the main scoring option on the second line for Florida which should mean more shooting opportunities while remaining a fixture on the top power-play unit.

Brendan Gallagher (MTL)

The Canadiens' leader in goals with 15 is also third in the league among forwards in high-danger chances per 60 (7.70) and first in shots per 60 at 12.90. In 35 games this season, right-wingers have scored 33 goals and generated 177 shots. Gallagher stands out as a good value on DK at just $5,500 presenting good upside with his aforementioned shot volume and ability to generate scoring chances below the hash marks. KEEP AN EYE ON THIS AS GALLAGHER IS A GAMETIME DECISION. 

Mitch Marner (TOR)

Marner has been near the top of the leaderboard in points per 60 among forwards all season long, primarily due to his playmaking ability as he's first in primary assists per 60 with 2.59. He leads the Leafs in points with 50 (12 goals, 38 assists) on the season. Of late, Marner has been scoring the puck with goals in four of his last five games heading into the break, six in all over that span.

Favorite Line Stacks

Panthers First Line

Huberdeau - Barkov - Dadonov

A line that had a ton of success last season, these three skaters have found themselves reunited again at even strength and on the power play. Barkov continues to be one of the better playmaking centers going and of late Dadonov has regained some confidence in his skating which has led him to produce three goals in his last four games. Huberdeau fits in as a good value play and is very comfortable skating with Barkov.

Maple Leafs Power Play

Marner - Tavares - Rielly

The Leafs power play has a 23.8 percent success rate on the season which is seventh-best in the league and it's been led by Marner, Tavares, and Rielly. Marner has two goals on the power-play with 11 assists. Tavares is second on the team with five power-play goals while adding 3 assists and Rielly, who has been one of, if not the best offensive-defensemen this season has a goal and 13 assists with the man advantage. Utilizing this stack will give exposure to Tavares and Marner at even strength and obviously on the power play and by adding Rielly you essentially have a third winger locked into a defense spot.

Islanders First Line

Lee - Nelson - Eberle

The Senators have been a sieve defensively all season, especially on the road where they have allowed by far the most goals per game. Brock Nelson centers the top line these days and finds himself flanked by Anders Lee and Jordan Eberle, two wingers that have had success against Ottawa. Lee has six goals in his last six games against the Sens while Eberle has lit the lamp four times in his last seven outings against Friday's opponent. Lee finds himself among the league's leaders in high-danger chances per 60 and Eberle is a great value play, especially on DK at $3,900 with both skating on the Isles top power-play unit. EBERLE IS OUT TONIGHT.

Top Positional Plays

Skaters not mentioned in "key three" or "favorite line stacks" sections.

Center

Auston Matthews (TOR) - One of the few centers who I'll gladly play as a one-off. He centers Toronto's second line which makes him the sole threat here on seemingly every shift and he's delivered.

Matt Duchene (OTT) - Returned from injury playing in two games before the break and looked great scoring two goals on five shots in his first game back.

Pierre-Luc Dubois (CBJ) - Scored a dirty overtime goal against the Rangers last night and should see plenty of chances tonight in a high-paced game.

Nazem Kadri (TOR) - Good value centering the third line and skates on the top power-play unit, generally close to the net.

Wing

Cam Atkinson (CBJ) - Has goals in each of his last two games against Toronto and is riding a four-game point scoring streak. Atkinson is third among forwards in shots per 60 with 12.40.

Mark Stone (OTT) - Eight points (four goals, four assists) in his last seven games against the Isles.

Patrick Marleau (TOR) - Goals in two of his last four games.

Artemi Panarin (CBJ) - Has 11 points (three goals, eight assists) in his last eight games against Toronto.

Anthony Beauvillier (NYI) - Second line minutes and dirt cheap on DK. Ottawa has allowed the second-most fantasy points over the last month to left-wingers.

Josh Bailey (NYI) - Even though he's more of a distributor (points in six of his last eight games, all assists), he's a good option if you need to save salary skating on the second line and top power-play unit.

Defense

Shea Weber (MTL) - Love Shea against Florida who have struggled with D-men all season long.

Thomas Chabot (OTT) - Second on the team with 37 points (10 goals, 27 assists) and among the leagues leaders at the position in most offensive categories.

Keith Yandle (FLA) - Montreal has allowed the third-most fantasy points to defensemen over the last month.

Seth Jones (CBJ) - Don't love the idea of paying up for him on the back to back, but Toronto has allowed the sixth-most fantasy points to the position this season.

Ryan Pulock (NYI) - Five points in his last four games.

Value

Jake Gardiner (TOR)

Nick Leddy (NYI)

Aaron Ekblad (FLA)

Zach Werenski (CBJ)

Dylan DeMelo (OTT)

Top Goalies

Frederick Andersen (TOR)

Roberto Luongo (FLA)

Robin Lehner (NYI)

GOOD LUCK!!

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