Teams at opposite ends of the standings square off in a NFC South division game when the Atlanta Falcons visit the New Orleans Saints. This rivalry duel is slated for 1:00 p.m. ET on Nov. 11 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in New Orleans, Louisiana.
Spread: Saints -12.5 (-110), Falcons +12.5 (-110)
Moneyline: Saints -700, Falcons +500
Game Total: OVER 51.0 (-110), UNDER 51.0 (-110)
Falcons' Season To Date
Expected to improve on its mediocre 7-9 mark last season, Atlanta has fallen further into the abyss as the Falcons are 1-7 heading out of their bye week. Apart from a 24-20 Week 2 home win over Philadelphia, the Falcons have lost seven contests by a 230-141 combined count.
Falcons' Betting Record: ATS 2-6-0 OVER/UNDER 3-5-0
Falcons' Leaders on Offense
*QB Matt Ryan: 2,170 pass yards with 15 TD and 8 INT
RB Devonta Freeman: 605 total yards with 3 TD
WR Julio Jones: 712 receiving yards with 4 TD
TE: Austin Hooper: 591 receiving yards with 5 TD
* Missed the last game – Expected to return in Week 10.
Saints' Season to Date
Humming along despite losing QB Drew Brees to injury during Week 2 action, the Saints (7-1) sit second overall in the NFC. After QB Teddy Bridgewater filled in admirably with a 5-0 record in five starts, Brees returned and propelled New Orleans to a 31-9 win over Arizona prior to its Week 9 bye.
Saints' Betting Record: ATS 6-2-0 OVER/UNDER 4-4-0
New Orleans Saints Leaders on Offense
*QB Drew Brees: 781 pass yards with 5 TD and 3 INT
**RB Alvin Kamara: 649 total yards with 3 TD
WR Michael Thomas: 875 receiving yards with 4 TD
TE: Jared Cook: 168 receiving yards with 2 TD
* Back after being injured early during Week 3.
** Missed last two games – Questionable to return in Week 10.
Recent History Favors New Orleans Over Atlanta
Facing each other twice a year, dating back to 1970, Atlanta holds a slight 52-48 all-time edge in this series. New Orleans won and covered both contests last year, 42-37 OT on the road as -1.5 chalk in Atlanta in Week 3 and 31-17 at home at -12.5 during Week 12. The under has cashed in three of the last four meetings.
Saints vs. Falcons Final Thoughts and Pick
Bookmakers have posted New Orleans as huge favorites and rightfully so. The Saints are solid on both sides of the ball and may get star RB Alvin Kamara back for this contest. If Kamara doesn’t return, backup RB Latavius Murray has subbed in and played well while Kamara has been out.
A slight concern here is a backdoor cover, as the Falcons have scored a ton of points in garbage time. Atlanta has posted 80 of its 165 points in the fourth quarter. The Saints have allowed zero points in the final frame three times this season. Lay the 12.5-point spread and back New Orleans to cover.
Pick: Saints -12.5
Season record: 0-0