By Andy Glockner
March 07, 2011
2011 NCAA Tournament Projection
In this bracket, the East matches up with the West, the Southeast with the Southwest in the national semifinals.

This week's notable moves:

• I did an entire seed scrub of the S-curve and a few teams made sizable moves ...

• ACC regular season champ North Carolina went from a No. 4 seed to a 2.

• SEC champ Florida jumps from a No. 5 to a 3.

• Surging Cincinnati went from a 10 to a 6.

• Notre Dame is a new No. 1 seed.

• There was no simple way to avoid the pair of possible Big East Sweet 16 games in the West region.

With the addition of three at-large spots (increasing the field to 68 teams), there are now four play-in games, dubbed the "First Four." Two games will match the tournament's lowest seeds, Nos. 65 through 68, with the winners claiming a No. 16 seed. The other two games will feature the last four teams of the 37 at-large qualifiers, with the winners likely receiving No. 11 or 12 seeds.

The top-four seeds in each region, starting with the No. 1 seeds, receive geographic preference when possible. An imbalance in high seeds between regions (e.g. if more than two top-four seeds are closest to the same subregional location) may force a protected seed into a secondary location.

League winners (automatic qualifiers) are listed with their conference for clarity. Projected auto-bid winners in traditional one-bid leagues are determined by the best RPI from the team(s) with the fewest league losses. Teams can be moved a seed line up or down to conform to bracketing rules.

* Team has officially won its league's automatic bid.

EAST - Newark, N.J.
1 Ohio State (Big Ten)
16 Boston U. (America East)
8 Old Dominion (Colonial)
9 Utah State (WAC)
5 Xavier (Atlantic 10)
12 Saint Mary's (West Coast)
4 St. John's
13 Belmont* (Atlantic Sun)
Washington, D.C.
6 Kansas State
11 Michigan
3 Syracuse
14 Bucknell (Patriot)
7 Arizona (Pac-10)
10 Georgia
2 North Carolina (ACC)
15 Long Island (Northeast)
SOUTHEAST - New Orleans
1 Pittsburgh (Big East)
16 Mid. Tenn. St. (Sun Belt)/Texas So. (SWAC)
9 Florida State
5 Wisconsin
12 Oakland (Summit)
4 Louisville
13 Harvard (Ivy)
6 Georgetown
11 Boston College/Alabama
3 Florida (SEC)
14 Kent State (MAC)
10 Richmond
2 Texas
15 No. Colorado (Big Sky)
WEST - Anaheim
1 Notre Dame
16 Beth.-Cook. (MEAC)/McNeese St. (Southland)
8 Missouri
9 George Mason
Washington, D.C.
5 Connecticut
12 UAB (C-USA)
4 Kentucky
13 College of Charleston (SoCon)
6 Cincinnati
11 Butler
3 Purdue
14 Indiana State* (Missouri Valley)
7 Texas A&M
10 Marquette
2 BYU (Mountain West)
15 Long Beach State (Big West)
SOUTHWEST - San Antonio
1 Kansas (Big 12)
16 UNC Asheville* (Big South)
8 Temple
9 Illinois
5 Vanderbilt
12 Virginia Tech/Colorado
4 West Virginia
13 Iona (MAAC)
6 Tennessee
11 Michigan State
3 San Diego State
14 Morehead State* (Ohio Valley)
7 Villanova
10 Washington
2 Duke
15 UW-Milwaukee (Horizon)

Last four out: VCU, Clemson, Gonzaga, Penn State.

New at-large teams in: Alabama, Boston College.

At-large teams out: Baylor, Gonzaga.

Bids by conference: Big East (11); Big 12, Big Ten and SEC (6); ACC (5); Mountain West, Pac-10, Atlantic 10 (3); Colonial and Horizon (2).

Seed changes: To ease bracket conflicts, Georgetown and Vanderbilt switched 5 and 6 seeds.

For more in-depth analysis, check out the Bubble Watch.

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