By Andy Glockner
December 27, 2011
2012 NCAA Tournament Projection
 
 
EAST - Boston
 
Greensboro
 
1 Duke* (ACC)
16 Miss. Valley St. (SWAC)/Maine* (Am. East)
 
 
8 Murray State* (Ohio Valley)
9 Saint Joseph's* (Atlantic 10)
 
 
Portland
 
5 Georgetown
12 Marshall
 
 
4 Indiana
13 Cal/Dayton
 
 
Columbus
 
6 Michigan
11 Saint Louis
 
 
3 Connecticut
14 Davidson* (SoCon)
 
 
Nashville
 
7 Northern Iowa* (Missouri Valley)
10 Virginia
 
 
2 Florida
15 New Mexico State* (WAC)
 
SOUTH - Atlanta
 
Louisville
 
1 Kentucky
16 Norfolk State* (MEAC)
 
 
8 Seton Hall
9 Florida State
 
 
Portland
 
5 Michigan State
12 Texas
 
 
4 UNLV* (Mountain West)
13 Long Beach State* (Big West)
 
 
Omaha
 
6 Xavier
11 Purdue
 
 
3 Marquette
14 VCU* (Colonial)
 
 
Omaha
 
7 Vanderbilt
10 Illinois
 
 
2 Baylor* (Big 12)
15 Lamar* (Southland)
 
 
 
 
 
WEST - Phoenix
 
Pittsburgh
 
1 Syracuse* (Big East)
16 South Dakota State* (Summit)
 
 
8 Temple
9 Alabama* (SEC)
 
 
Alburquerque
 
5 Mississippi State
12 Memphis
 
 
4 Kansas
13 Belmont
 
 
Louisville
 
6 Gonzaga* (West Coast)
11 Wichita State
 
 
3 Wisconsin
14 Denver* (Sun Belt)
 
 
Greensboro
 
7 West Virginia
10 Ohio* (MAC)
 
 
2 North Carolina
15 Wagner* (Northeast)
 
MIDWEST - St. Louis
 
Pittsburgh
 
1 Ohio State
16 Charleston So.* (Big South)/Weber St.* (Big Sky)
 
 
8 San Diego State
9 Pittsburgh
 
 
Albuquerque
 
5 Creighton
12 Arizona* (Pac-12)
 
 
4 Kansas State
13 Saint Mary's/Northwestern
 
 
Columbus
 
6 Minnesota* (Big Ten)
11 Harvard* (Ivy)
 
 
3 Missouri
14 Cleveland State* (Horizon)
 
 
Nashville
 
7 Southern Miss* (Conference USA)
10 Iona* (MAAC)
 
 
2 Louisville
15 Bucknell* (Patriot)
 
 

Last four in: California, Dayton, Northwestern, Saint Mary's.
Last four out: New Mexico, BYU, Indiana State, Stanford.

Bids by conference: Big Ten (9); Big East (8); Big 12, SEC, Atlantic 10 (5); ACC (4); C-USA, Missouri Valley (3); West Coast, Mountain West, Pac-12 (2)

Notes: Bids don't go by conference, but things will normalize once conference play begins. It will be very difficult for the Big Ten to get nine of 12 teams in, and I'd expect the Mountain West and Atlantic 10 to be closer to three bids each than a three-bid gap.

For more in-depth analysis, check out the Bubble Watch.

Got a bone to pick with the Bracket Watch? Send feedback to bubblewatch@gmail.com.
 

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