By Andy Glockner
January 31, 2011
2011 NCAA Tournament Projection
In this bracket, the East matches up with the Southwest, the Southeast with the West in the national semifinals.

With the addition of three at-large spots (increasing the field to 68 teams), there are now four play-in games, dubbed the "First Four." Two games will match the tournaments lowest seeds, Nos. 65 through 68, with the winners claiming a No. 16 seed. The other two games will feature the last four teams of the 37 at-large qualifiers, with the winners likely receiving No. 11 or 12 seeds.

The top-four seeds in each region, starting with the No. 1 seeds, receive geographic preference when possible. An imbalance in high seeds between regions (e.g. if more than two top-four seeds are closest to the same subregional location) may force a protected seed into a secondary location.

League winners (automatic qualifiers) are listed with their conference for clarity. Auto-bid winners in traditional one-bid leagues are determined by the best RPI from the team(s) with the fewest league losses. Teams can be moved a seed line up or down to conform to bracketing rules.

 
 
EAST - Newark, N.J.
 
Cleveland
 
1 Pittsburgh (Big East)
16 Long Island (NEC)/Jackson St. (SWAC)
 
 
8 Michigan State
9 Florida State
 
 
Denver
 
5 Louisville
12 Cleveland State (Horizon)
 
 
4 Missouri
13 Harvard (Ivy)
 
 
Chicago
 
6 Tennessee
11 Washington St./Richmond
 
 
3 Notre Dame
14 Kent State (MAC)
 
 
Charlotte
 
7 Minnesota
10 Utah State (WAC)
 
 
2 Duke (Atlantic Coast)
15 Fairfield (MAAC)
 
SOUTHEAST - New Orleans
 
Cleveland
 
1 Ohio State (Big Ten)
16 Maine (America East)
 
 
8 St. John's
9 Old Dominion
 
 
Tampa
 
5 West Virginia
12 UCLA/Penn State
 
 
4 Texas A&M
13 Oakland (Summit)
 
 
Washington, D.C.
 
6 Washington (Pac-10)
11 Wichita State
 
 
3 Villanova
14 Coastal Carolina (Big South)
 
 
Tucson
 
7 Temple
10 Georgia
 
 
2 San Diego State
15 Florida Atlantic (Sun Belt)
 
 
 
 
 
SOUTHWEST - San Antonio
 
Tulsa
 
1 Kansas (Big 12)
16 Austin Peay (Ohio Valley)
 
 
8 UNLV
9 Cincinnati
 
 
Denver
 
5 Wisconsin
12 Memphis (C-USA)
 
 
4 Syracuse
13 Alabama (SEC)
 
 
Charlotte
 
6 Xavier (Atlantic 10)
11 VCU (Colonial)
 
 
3 Kentucky
14 Belmont (Atlantic Sun)
 
 
Tampa
 
7 North Carolina
10 Saint Mary's (West Coast)
 
 
2 Georgetown
15 Long Beach State (Big West)
 
WEST - Anaheim
 
Washington D.C.
 
1 Connecticut
16 Beth.-Cook.(MEAC)/McNeese St. (Southland)
 
 
8 Arizona
9 Boston College
 
 
Chicago
 
5 Florida
12 Marquette
 
 
4 Purdue
13 Charleston (SoCon)
 
 
Tucson
 
6 Vanderbilt
11 Missouri State (Missouri Valley)
 
 
3 BYU (Mountain West)
14 Bucknell (Patriot)
 
 
Tulsa
 
7 Illinois
10 Virginia Tech
 
 
2 Texas
15 Montana (Big Sky)
 
 

Last four out: Maryland, George Mason, Colorado State, Gonzaga.

New at-large teams in: Washington State, Wichita State, Penn State, Florida (Alabama is new SEC auto bid).

At-large teams out: Gonzaga, Oklahoma State, Butler, Dayton.

Bids by conference: Big East (11); Big Ten (7); SEC (6); ACC (5); Big 12 and Pac-10 (4); Atlantic 10 and Mountain West (3); Missouri Valley and Colonial (2).

Seed changes: Michigan State and Florida State swapped seeds to conform to bracketing rules.

For more in-depth analysis, check out the Bubble Watch.

Got a bone to pick with the Bracket Watch? Send feedback to bubblewatch@gmail.com.
 

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