Plenty of changes in NCAA bracket after a thorough reevaluation
|2010 NCAA Tournament Projection|
In this bracket, the Midwest matches up with the West, the South with the East in the national semifinals.|
Note: The top-four seeds in each region, starting with the No. 1 seeds, receive geographic preference when possible. An imbalance in high seeds between regions (e.g. if more than two top-four seeds are closest to the same subregional location) may force a protected seed into a secondary location. Thus, in the next couple weeks, shifts in seeding will alter which subregions fall into which regions.
* -- automatic qualifier
New multibid conference teams in: None.|
Multibid conference teams out: None.
Also considered: Memphis, Arizona State, Washington, Rhode Island, Mississippi State, UAB, South Florida, Dayton.
Bids by conference: Big East (9), ACC and Big 12 (7), Big Ten and SEC (5), Mountain West (4), Atlantic 10 (3), West Coast (2).
One-bid league winners and select other auto-bid teams are listed with their conference for clarity. Teams can be moved a seed line up or down to conform to bracketing rules.
On Monday night, I undertook a through reevaluation of all seeds in the 1-12 lines and tried to reconcile some gaps that had appeared both between teams in the same conference and teams with similar resumes from different leagues. Here are some of the modest adjustments made:
-- Villanova and Kansas State swapped spots at the 2/3 flex point.
-- Wisconsin moved up to a 3 instead of Temple, which drops to a 4. The Badgers' bump was injury credit for the return of Jon Leuer.
-- Michigan State moved from a borderline 4/5 down to a 6. Tennessee and Vandy benefited with bumps up a seed line.
-- Wake Forest moved from an 8/9 to a 7. I was being a bit harsh on the Demon Deacons.
-- Marquette and Oklahoma State remain natural 9s but were pushed to 10s by bracket conflicts.
-- Saint Mary's win over Gonzaga moved the Gaels from a natural 11 to a natural 10 and dropped the Zags from a 7 to an 8.
-- Cal should be a natural 10 and Notre Dame an 11, but bracketing rules required a swap.
Obviously, a lot will change between now and Sunday, but I think these tweaks provide a more accurate platform off of which to judge postseason work.
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