By Chris Mannix
May 18, 2010
Team-By-Team Lottery Outlook
While Kentucky's John Wall is considered the consensus No. 1 pick, the talent level of the 2010 draft is such that each of the lottery teams could wind up nabbing an impact player. "This is one of the deepest drafts in years," a Western Conference executive said.

With the first half of the draft order to be determined Tuesday night in Secaucus, N.J., let's take a look at the needs of each lottery team -- and which players could be available to fill them.
New Jersey Nets
Record: 12-70
Odds: No. 1: 25.0% | No. 2: 21.5% | No. 3: 17.7%
Needs: SG, SF, PF
With just seven players under contract for next season, the Nets need help virtually everywhere. Point guard Devin Harris, a 2009 All-Star, is under contract until 2013, but New Jersey won't hesitate to take Wall at No. 1 and find a home for Harris later. With 22-year-old Brook Lopez, a future All-Star center, the Nets won't be looking to add another pivot. But with a selection no worse than fourth, they will add an immediate starter from a group that will include Wall, Ohio State swingman Evan Turner, Georgia Tech power forward Derrick Favors and Syracuse small forward Wesley Johnson.
Minnesota Timberwolves
Record: 15-67
Odds: No. 1: 19.9% | No. 2: 18.8% | No. 3: 17.1%
Needs: SF, C
With three first-round picks (their selection along with Nos. 16 and 23) and dynamic playmaker Ricky Rubio marinating overseas, the Wolves have some options. If they land the No. 1 pick, they could swap Rubio or incumbent Jonny Flynn (or both) for a traditional center to play next to Al Jefferson or another scorer to boost an offense that finished 29th in points per 100 possessions. Wall may force Minnesota to re-examine Kurt Rambis' hybrid triangle offense, but his motor would fit in well on a team that averaged the third-most possessions per 48 minutes last season. So, too, would a polished scorer like Turner, who could step in right away at one of the swing positions.
Sacramento Kings
Record: 25-57
Odds: No. 1: 15.6% | No. 2: 15.7% | No. 3: 15.6%
Needs: G, C, Depth
The Kings need to make a decision: Is Tyreke Evans a point guard or a two-guard? If they keep Evans at the point, they will be looking for a shooting guard able to knock down the three-pointer. Turner's long-range game is still developing (he shot 36.4 percent from three-point range last season at Ohio State), but his unselfishness and explosiveness in the open floor would make for a scary tandem with Evans. Sacramento could also go big, with Kentucky physical freshman DeMarcus Cousins looming as a legitimate top-three pick.
Golden State Warriors
Record: 26-56
Odds: No. 1: 10.4% | No. 2: 11.2% | No. 3: 12.1%
Needs: SF, PF
It's difficult to project who the Warriors will draft until it becomes clear who will be doing the drafting. With the team up for sale, it is widely believed that a new owner would sweep the Larry Riley/Don Nelson regime out. However, with initial bids coming in this week, there are no guarantees a deal will be completed before the draft. That means Riley and Nelson could end up making the call. Favors, an athletic big man who can play multiple positions, would seem to make the most sense.
Washington Wizards
Record: 26-56
Odds: No. 1: 10.3% | No. 2: 11.1% | No. 3: 12.0%
Needs: SG, PF, C
With three of the first 35 picks, the Wizards will look to reshape a roster they gutted in February. Turner would be an ideal fit in Flip Saunders' offense and his skills would complement returning guard Gilbert Arenas. Wake Forest's Al-Farouq Aminu is a Josh Smith/Thaddeus Young type forward who, alongside Al Thornton, would give Washington a versatile frontcourt combination.
Philadelphia 76ers
Record: 27-55
Odds: No. 1: 5.3% | No. 2: 6.0% | No. 3: 7.0%
Needs: C, Depth
The draft is Philadelphia's best opportunity to upgrade its capped-out roster, and it needs to make a big splash. If Jrue Holiday can make significant strides in his second season, he fills the Sixers' need at point guard. Kansas' Cole Aldrich could fill their need for a more traditional center. Kentucky's Daniel Orton is more of a project but his upside is bigger than Aldrich's and he is more physical than another highly rated big man, Georgetown's Greg Monroe.
Detroit Pistons
Record: 27-55
Odds: No. 1: 5.3% | No. 2: 6.0% | No. 3: 7.0%
Needs: PF, C
The Pistons found a couple of keepers in '09 draftees Austin Daye and Jonas Jerebko and will be looking for a bigger impact player in this draft. Size is clearly a priority -- the Pistons leaned heavily on 35-year-old Ben Wallace as their starting center last season. Aldrich and Monroe are in the mix, as is North Carolina forward Ed Davis, a big rebounder (9.2 per game last season) who could play either power spot.
Los Angeles Clippers
Record: 29-53
Odds: No. 1: 2.3% | No. 2: 2.7% | No. 3: 3.2%
Needs: SF, Depth
The Clippers, who presumably will have 2009 top overall pick Blake Griffin back next season, desperately need another wing scorer. While they will certainly try to entice LeBron James or Rudy Gay to Hollywood, the draft presents some options. Syracuse's Johnson, an explosive scorer who connected on 41.5 percent of his three-point attempts last season, is rising on many draft boards. If the Clippers are intent on spending their cap space on a swingman, they could go for one of the many big men (Monroe, Orton, Kentucky's Patrick Patterson or Baylor's Ekpe Udoh) expected to be on the board to replace Marcus Camby as the first power player off the bench.
Utah Jazz (from New York Knicks)
Record: 53-29
Odds: No. 1: 2.2% | No. 2: 2.6% | No. 3: 3.1%
Needs: SG, C
Thank you, Isiah Thomas. By virtue of the 2004 trade that sent this pick to Phoenix (in the Stephon Marbury swap) and subsequently to the Jazz in another deal a month later, Utah, which won 53 games last year, has a shot at a real difference maker. With Carlos Boozer possibly signing elsewhere this summer, expect the Jazz to go big. Monroe is intelligent (essential in playing in Jerry Sloan's offense) and solid in the half court. And let's say Aldrich is still on the board: After 10 seasons with Greg Ostertag, I wouldn't bet on Sloan's wanting to torment another big, unathletic center from Kansas.
Indiana Pacers
Record: 32-50
Odds: No. 1: 1.1% | No. 2: 1.3% | No. 3: 1.6%
Needs: G, PF
Winning 10 of their last 14 games felt good, but the Pacers probably knocked themselves out of the "franchise-changing player" sweepstakes doing it. However, there should be some good size on the board when Indy picks, and it can lock up a young power forward to play next to Roy Hibbert. Udoh is an athletic inside-out scorer who is an above-average passer (2.7 assists) at his position.
New Orleans Hornets
Record: 37-45
Odds: No. 1: 0.8% | No. 2: 0.9% | No. 3: 1.2%
Needs: SG, C
The Hornets have Darren Collison to dangle in a trade to move up, so they could be players before the draft. New Orleans could use a wing scorer, but Kansas' Xavier Henry and Oklahoma State's James Anderson would be a stretch to take in the top 12. They could opt for a player such as Patterson as a potential replacement for David West, who can become a free agent after next season.
Memphis Grizzlies
Record: 40-42
Odds: No. 1: 0.6% | No. 2: 0.7% | No. 3: 0.9%
Needs: SF, Depth
The Grizzlies' biggest offseason decision centers on restricted free agent Gay, who would create an enormous void if he were allowed to sign with another team this summer. Assuming Gay is re-signed, Memphis has a strong core that it can add to at any position. Patterson is an NBA-ready player who could contribute right away off the bench. UNC's Davis, too. Keep an eye on Lithuanian Donatas Motiejunas. The Grizzlies have had success with international big men (Pau and Marc Gasol) in the past and Motiejunas is a skilled 7-footer with deep range. Motiejunas may not be ready to play in the U.S. this season, but with Marc Gasol, Zach Randolph and Hasheem Thabeet, the Grizz don't really need him to.
Toronto Raptors
Record: 40-42
Odds: No. 1: 0.7% | No. 2: 0.8% | No. 3: 1.0%
Needs: PF, C
Could the Raptors be drafting Chris Bosh's replacement? Toronto -- which would likely shift Andrea Bargnani to power forward -- will be looking for the best big man available. Marshall's Hassan Whiteside led the nation in blocks (5.4) and, at only 20, he's bound to fill into his lanky 7-foot frame. Monroe and Aldrich could be in play if they start to slide, but Whiteside looks like a logical pick.
Houston Rockets
Record: 42-40
Odds: No. 1: 0.5% | No. 2: 0.6% | No. 3: 0.7%
Needs: PF, C, Depth
The Rockets want to land superstar this summer -- Bosh is believed to be their top target -- so this pick could become useful in a trade in July. Still, a young center like Whiteside or Orton could protect them should Yao Ming not fully recover from his surgically repaired foot and give them a future rotation player down the line. Patterson would give the Rockets a physical complement to Luis Scola on the inside.

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