Last-minute med check: Week 12
As we head into Thanksgiving week, I go from freezing outside Lucas Oil Stadium last week to the Florida sun. I'm down in Sarasota, but wherever there's a cell signal and wi-fi, I can get the information you need to set up your fantasy team.
There's a lot of teams heating up, like my head in the sun, but injuries are beginning to slow down. It happens this time of year due to some variant of the "survivor effect." I'm still digging through the data and with only a few years in the database, solid answers are tough to find. What this survivor effect shows is that there is a fatigue and 'wear down' effect over the course of a season, but those that break down tend to do it around the midpoint of the season. By Week 12, only the strongest have survived.
We'll still have the trauma and a smaller number of fatigue-based breakdowns, but it's worth noting, especially for older players. The counterintuitive lesson is that past health is indicative of future durability, unlike my 401k. On to the injuries: