Buffalo could make for a solid upset pick in Week 4. The Bills, visiting the Houston Texans this Sunday, are 2-1 SU and ATS in their last three games on the road including a win as a 6.5-point underdog against Chicago this season.
Buffalo is a three-point underdog at Houston this week according to sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com. Computer projections suggest that Buffalo has a good chance of winning this game outright, churning out a score of 21.2 to 14.4 in Buffalo's favor. Houston is just 2-4 SU and 1-5 ATS in its last six games at home.
The Baltimore Ravens host the Carolina Panthers on Sunday in another game that could have a live underdog. Carolina is a three-point underdog in the contest, but the computer predicts a Carolina outright upset by the score of 23.3 to 18.6. The Panthers are 6-1 SU over their last seven road games while Baltimore is 1-4 ATS over its last five games at home.
Moving on to favorites, one of the best plays on the board this week could be the Pittsburgh Steelers at home over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Pittsburgh is a 7.5-point home favorite at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com. The computer sees a 28.9 to 15.2 blowout for Pittsburgh at home which would easily cover the spread. The Buccaneers are 1-8 SU and 2-7 ATS over their last nine road games, and that bad luck could continue this week.
Jacksonville visiting the San Diego Chargers is the only game this week that projects out to an even more lopsided total than Tampa Bay at Pittsburgh. San Diego is expected to crush Jacksonville at home by a score of 28.3 to 12.4, a score that would cover the spread with San Diego going off at -13 at home.
The Green Bay Packers are 6-1 SU and ATS in their last seven games against the Chicago Bears. But this week, the computers say that Chicago's cold streak against the Packers could be over. The Bears host the Packers on Sunday as a two-point home underdog and are projected to win 23.7 to 20.