NFL Odds Week 4: Previewing lines, spreads for Patriots-Chiefs on MNF

Monday Night Preview: Patriots vs. Chiefs
Monday September 29th, 2014

The Kansas City Chiefs picked up their first victory of the season last week against the Miami Dolphins on the road, and will try to earn their second against a team in the same division when they host the New England Patriots on Monday Night Football. The Chiefs, who were 5.5-point underdogs in last week's 34-15 win in Miami, are 2.5-point home underdogs against the Patriots according to sportsbooks monitored by

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The Chiefs haven't played teams from the AFC East at Arrowhead Stadium since they hosted the Dolphins and the Bills in 2011 -- and Kansas City was beaten by a combined score of 72-10 in those two games. 

Kansas City has also had a difficult time against the Patriots, going 3-7 ATS in the past 10 meetings. In their last meeting, also in '11, New England won 34-3 at home as a 17-point favorite according to the OddsShark NFL Database. The Patriots are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games vs. AFC West opponents, including 3-1 in their past four on the road.

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One of those two games New England did not cover came last week at home against the Oakland Raiders, resulting in a 16-9 victory. The NFL odds for that game had the Patriots favored by 13.5 points, and they have not performed well as road underdogs recently either. New England is just 2-6 ATS in its past eight games away from home.  

Other key betting trends involving the total in this Chiefs vs. Patriots matchup support both the OVER and the UNDER. The OVER is 4-1 in New England’s last five games as a road favorite and 8-3 in Kansas City’s past 11 home games against AFC East opponents. Meanwhile, the UNDER is 4-0 in the last four meetings between the teams and 8-2 in the past 10 road games vs. AFC West foes for the Patriots.

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