NFL odds Week 13: Can Jets pull upset of Dolphins as home underdogs?

The Miami Dolphins have won five of the past six matchups with the New York Jets both straight-up and against the spread and will try to make it six of seven when they meet at MetLife Stadium on Monday Night Football. The Dolphins are looking to stay in the AFC playoff race and bounce back from a road loss to the Denver Broncos while the Jets are trying to avoid their 10th loss in 11 games as 6.5-point home underdogs at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com.

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Miami played Denver tough last week, ultimately falling 39-36 yet still covering the spread as a 6.5-point dog. The Dolphins got three touchdown passes from quarterback Ryan Tannehill in the defeat, including two that ended up in the hands of rookie wide receiver Jarvis Landry. They have struggled in divisional road games over the past couple years though, going 1-5 SU and ATS in their last six according to the OddsShark NFL Database. However, the lone win during that stretch came against the Jets last season (23-3 as one-point favorites) behind 331 yards and two touchdowns from Tannehill.

New York is coming off an embarrassing 38-3 loss to the Buffalo Bills last Monday at Detroit’s Ford Field, which became the site of the game due to a massive snowstorm in Western New York. The Jets saw starting QB Michael Vick perform poorly with only 76 yards and one interception, and he was eventually pulled in favor of Geno Smith.

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The Jets have decided to give Smith another chance to start, and he led them to a 20-7 victory at Miami in the 2013 regular-season finale, with the closing NFL betting lines showing them as 7.5-point road underdogs in that contest. New York has been a dog in five of its past six games, going 1-4 SU and 2-3 ATS in that situation.

This Dolphins vs. Jets betting matchup is expected to be a low-scoring game based on previous betting trends in this AFC East rivalry. The UNDER is 6-1 in the last seven meetings and has cashed in each of the past four times the teams have played at MetLife Stadium. The UNDER is also 7-0 in the last seven divisional road games for the Dolphins.