The Falcons are underdogs of more than 12 points for just the fourth time since 2002, and they have gone 4-0 against the spread in their last four games as double-digit dogs. Meanwhile, the Packers are 4-0 against the spread in their past four games as double-digit home favorites and 5-0 vs. the line in their previous five games at Lambeau this season.
In a battle of two of the NFL’s best teams last week, Green Bay knocked off the New England Patriots 26-21 as a 3-point home favorite at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com. The NFC North-leading Packers jumped out to a 13-0 lead at the end of the first quarter and held off the AFC-East leading Patriots, who missed a 47-yard field goal late that would have covered the spread. Green Bay quarterback Aaron Rodgers had another outstanding game with 368 passing yards and two touchdowns, and he has still not thrown an interception at home this year.
Atlanta defeated the Arizona Cardinals 29-18 last Sunday in another game between division leaders, with the closing NFL odds showing the Falcons as a 1.5-point home underdog. Atlanta QB Matt Ryan threw for 361 yards with two touchdowns, one of which went to wide receiver Julio Jones, who totaled a career-high 189 yards on 10 catches overall. Ryan was also picked off once, and he has thrown six of his 10 interceptions on the year away from home. Atlanta has lost 10 in a row as a road underdog, going 2-8 ATS according to the OddsShark NFL Database.
This Falcons vs. Packers betting matchup has a rather high total of 56 considering it’s an outdoor game in December with a forecasted temperature around freezing. A lot of that probably has to do with the fact that Green Bay has averaged nearly 43 points in its last five home games with the OVER going 4-1. However, the UNDER is 3-1 in the past four meetings and 6-2 in Atlanta’s previous eight games as a road dog.