The Patriots opened as a 7.5-point favorite against the Miami Dolphins on Thursday Night Football for Week 8.

By OddsShark
October 28, 2015

The NFL kicks off Week 8 of its 2015 schedule with an AFC East matchup featuring the New England Patriots hosting the Miami Dolphins. The Patriots opened as a 7.5-point favorite. The line has climbed to eight points at most sportsbooks monitored by, but at a few it has climbed as high as 9.5 points.

The moneyline has the Patriots between -400 and -475, and the Dolphins between +300 and +375.

The Patriots and Dolphins have split the last seven matchups in the series, with a 3-3-1 against the spread record for each team. The Dolphins are 1-4 ATS in the last five games at New England, and have lost all five straight up.

The Dolphins enter this game 3-3 SU and ATS on the season, and are 2-0 SU and ATS since firing head coach Joe Philbin and replacing him with Dan Campbell. Miami closed last season with five straight losses ATS. The Dolphins are 5-5 SU and ATS in their last 10 road games dating back to last season according to the OddsShark NFL Database.


The Dolphins' most notable name on the injury report is Brice McCain. The cornerback is questionable with a knee injury. He sat out Week 7 with the injury, and returned to limited practice this week. He is expected to play.

The Patriots enter this game 6-0 SU and 3-1-2 ATS on the season. They have been solid over the long haul at home, going 14-5-2 ATS in their last 21 home games. However, they are 2-2-2 in their last six home games. They are 0-3-1 in their last four Thursday Night Football home games.

The Patriots' injury report includes a couple notable names. Left tackle Marcus Cannon has been ruled out due to a toe injury suffered on the first series of the Patriots' win over the Indianapolis Colts. Running back Dion Lewis is listed as questionable with an abdomen injury that cost him last week’s game against the New York Jets. He has been listed as limited on the practice participation report each day.

The total opened at 51.5 points, but has come down to 51 or 50.5. The total has gone OVER for four of the six games each team has played this season. It has gone UNDER in four of the last six games between the teams.

The OddsShark Computer predicts a Patriots victory by a score of 27.8-19.0. That would provide for the Patriots cover based on where most of the sportsbooks are sitting right now. It would also provide for the UNDER.

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