The New England Patriots are favored by about a touchdown against the Buffalo Bills on NFL Week 11 Monday Night Football.
NFL's Week 11 comes to a close Monday evening as the New England Patriots host the Buffalo Bills. The Patriots opened as a 7.5-point favorite, and the line ranges between that and a touchdown at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com.
The moneyline has the Patriots between -320 and -360, and the Bills between +270 and +300.
The Bills have played well against the Patriots recently, going 4–2 against the spread in the last six games at Gillette Stadium. However, the Patriots are 13–1 straight up over their last 14 home games against Buffalo.
The Bills enter this game 5–4 SU and ATS. They have won consecutive games SU and ATS, but are 0–7 SU and 1–6 ATS in their last seven games after consecutive wins, according to the OddsShark NFL Database. The Bills are 4–1 ATS in their last five road games.
The Bills will be without defensive lineman Kyle Williams due to a knee injury. Left guard Richie Incognito is listed as questionable with a shoulder injury. The team removed Karlos Williams from the injury report, and he will back up LeSean McCoy.
The Patriots enter the game 9–0 SU and 5-2-2 ATS, coming off a SU win and ATS loss to the New York Giants. The Patriots are 11–3 SU in their previous 14 Monday Night Football games. This marks the ninth time this season New England has been a touchdown or more favorite. The Patriots went 4-2-2 in the first eight games.
The Patriots will not have wide receiver Julian Edelman on Monday night, as he suffered a broken foot and will be replaced in the lineup by Danny Amendola. The Patriots will also be without linebacker Jamie Collins. Left tackle Marcus Cannon and right tackle Sebastian Vollmer are both questionable, the former with a toe injury, the latter with a concussion.
The point total opened at 49.5, but has slipped down to 48. The total has gone OVER in seven of the last nine between these two teams, and five of the last six when they've faced off at Gillette Stadium. The total has gone UNDER in eight of the Bills' last 12 road games, and four of the Patriots' last six games.
The OddsShark Computer predicts an easy Patriots victory by a final score of 29.4-15.9. That would provide for the Patriots cover, and the UNDER.