Inside AFC South: Deal or No Deal at the Trade Deadline?

Which AFC South teams should be active at the trade deadline, and which should be more hesitant to make a move?
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We are now seven games into the NFL season, and one of the biggest dates on the league's calendar is quickly approaching: the trade deadline. 

With the trade deadline set to take place on Tuesday, teams around the league are going to consider the key question of whether they should be buyers or sellers at the deadline.

To give an idea of how each AFC South team should approach the trade deadline, each of the network's AFC South publishers has broken down which teams should be looking to add players and which should be looking to ship off players for picks.

Jacksonville Jaguars

At 1-6, the Jacksonville Jaguars are far from having the kind of start to a season they wanted. The defense has been among the league's worst, while the offense has cooled off in a big way since the first two games of the season. With that said, the Jaguars have a few interesting options at the trade deadline to improve the team moving forward, even if they aren't going to win a game this season.

With 11 picks in the 2021 NFL Draft, including five picks in the first three rounds, the Jaguars are certainly in a position to make any moves they want. They have the capital to acquire players they think could fill voids on the roster beyond 2021. Two players who automatically make sense in that regard are New York Jets tight end Chris Herndon and Minnesota Vikings safety Anthony Harris.

The Jaguars have a bleak outlook at tight end past 2020 due to injuries to Josh Oliver and the ineffectiveness of Tyler Eifert. Herndon hasn't been impactful this season, but he has talent that can be unlocked in the right scheme. As for Harris, he would give the Jaguars a major upgrade at strong safety. Josh Jones has been one of the team's bigger liabilities on defense and the Jaguars have the cap space to afford to give Harris a long-term deal.

If the Jaguars opt to be sellers, they have limited options. D.J. Hayden and Dede Westbrook had trade value but Hayden is on injured reserve with a hamstring injury and Westbrook sustained a serious knee injury in Week 7, placing him on injured reserve. Defensive tackle and former first-round pick Taven Bryan may have some minor trade value, but no team is going to give up a major pick for him. Ultimately the Jaguars will likely be rather quiet on the trade front, but they do have some options and different directions to consider.

-- John Shipley, JaguarReport

Tennessee Titans

At 5-1, the Titans are in an enviable position. There is no question about whether they should add talent prior to the trade deadline, if the opportunity presents itself, or look to offload talent. Plus, given their record, the fact that they lead the division and that they have not played their best, there is no pressing need to make a move.

If there is one area that needs to be addressed, it is the pass rush. Only one team has fewer sacks than the Titans, who have seven, and the team leader is Jeffery Simmons, an interior defensive lineman, with two. Harold Landry, who had a team-high nine in 2019, has just one and a half.

Here’s the thing, though: management spent more than $20 million on free agents Jadeveon Clowney and Vic Beasley during the offseason, and so far, neither one has a sack (or even half a sack). Any additional moves to in that regard would feel like throwing good money after bad, so that is not likely to happen.

If there is a deal to be made, more likely it is at wide receiver. With A.J. Brown, Corey Davis and Adam Humphries, Tennessee has three proven and capable performers (they are currently the team’s three leading receivers). Beyond that trio are players like Kalif Raymond, Cody Hollister and Cameron Batson, guys who have one or two things they do well, and coaches use them accordingly.

A well-rounded veteran who could play any of the three positions would be useful – and probably would not cost much, given the influx of dynamic receivers that now occurs annually. At present, the Titans hold 10 picks in the 2021 NFL Draft, including three in the sixth round. So, a deal can be made.

-- David Boclair, AllTitans

Indianapolis Colts

General manager Chris Ballard is known for hoarding draft picks, trading down in each of his four drafts to acquire more. So the idea of him parting with a pick to acquire a veteran rental before the trade deadline is unlikely.
But he deviated from his modus operandi in March by sending a first-round draft choice to acquire All-Pro defensive tackle DeForest Buckner. And then Ballard gave Buckner a four-year, $84-million extension to lock up the special three-technique defender as a cornerstone. Buckner has been as solid as expected.

That said, in scanning a short list of possible acquisitions, we’re not talking about a young star in his prime like Buckner. The Colts could consider adding either a veteran pass rusher like Washington’s Ryan Kerrigan or a proven wide receiver like Cincinnati’s A.J. Green.

Why pass rusher? Because defensive end Justin Houston is in a contract year and didn’t do anything in his last two starts. Defensive end/tackle Denico Autry is also in a contract year and his two sacks came in the season opener. Third-year defensive end Kemoko Turay, who is on the physically unable to perform (PUP) list, started practicing for the first time this week in his possible return from surgery on a fractured ankle suffered in Week 5 last season. The Colts have three weeks to decide if Turay can help, and it’s understandable if it takes some time to get up to speed.

Perhaps Kerrigan, who has four sacks in seven games, could do enough in the second half to stick. And even if it’s a rental situation, he could help a decent defense that has had just four sacks in the past three games. 

Depth at wide receiver has plagued this team for two years and counting. The Colts probably can’t count on second-year wide receiver Parris Campbell returning from knee surgery, and even if so, his inability to stay healthy makes him unreliable. Veteran wide receiver T.Y. Hilton hasn’t played up to past four-time Pro Bowl form in a contract year, which means his future is in doubt. A big wide receiver would address an obvious need.

The problem with Green is he could get hurt, too. The seven-time Pro Bowl star once considered among the NFL’s elite pass-catchers missed all of last season with an ankle injury. He was also sidelined for seven games in 2018. He has just 29 receptions for 297 yards in seven games, but his best game came two weeks ago against the Colts, when Green caught eight passes for 96 yards.

If Ballard decides to pull the trigger, giving up a mid- or late-round draft choice would be a small price to pay, especially when considering he would likely get a pick back by trading down again in the next draft. The Colts have missed the playoffs in four of five years and have shoved a lot of chips into the proverbial pot to make the postseason. One more move would make sense.

-- Phillip B. Wilson, AllColts

Houston Texans

The Texans season has gotten off to a disastrous start, and sitting at 1-6, it is already all but over. They are struggling mightily on offense, and the defense has been just as bad, if not worse.

A very tough schedule has not helped their cause, but it has quickly become apparent that the former administration had all but burn things to the ground before their dismissal.

The problem for the Texans, however, is that they were left with next to nothing in terms of draft capital. In other words, if they are going to get out of this situation, they are going to have to make multiple trades, and try and build back some of that capital.

Recently, the Texans made it clear that they are open for business. However, they also made it clear that J.J. Watt, Deshaun Watson, Laremy Tunsil, and Titus Howard are off-limits.

Outside of that though, the Texans are open to trading anyone on their roster, and with a good deal of depth at wideout, that includes a Randall Cobb, Kenny Stills, Brandin Cooks, and Will Fuller, that would seem like a logical place to start.

While Cooks is still on a long term deal, Stills, Fuller, and Cobb are all easily movable, and if a contending team comes along looking to solidify their depth at that spot, the Texans would surely jump at the chance to add some mid-round picks in exchange for their services.

On the defensive side of the ball, names like Zach Cunningham and Whitney Mercilus are also possible but would be difficult to move given their contracts.

As we write this, one trade is already in the books, with Eli Ankou being shipped out to the Cowboys for a future seventh-round pick. That deal was minor, however, and not the type of thing that is going to move the needle for a team that is clearly in need of a rebuild.

With all of that said, the Ankou deal was likely just the tipping point, and we are about to see multiple pieces move off the board for Houston, as they are set to begin the trail to reconstruction. 

-- Matthew Galatzan, Texans Daily