Week 9: New England Patriots vs. Baltimore Ravens

When

 Sunday, Nov. 3, 2019, 8:20 p.m. at M&T Bank Stadium (71,008)

Spread

Ravens +3.5

AFC North Standings

1. Ravens (5-2)

2. Steelers (3-4)

3. Browns (2-5)

4. Bengals (0-8)

Series History

Tenth regular-season meeting. New England leads the regular season series, 8-1, which includes a 3-1 mark in Baltimore. However, the postseason series between these teams is tied, 2-2. Under John Harbaugh, the Ravens are 3-6 (includes postseason). The Patriots have a three-game winning streak in the series. 

By the Numbers

21 – Consecutive field goals made by Ravens kicker Justin Tucker, dating back to 2018. That marks the NFL’s second-longest active streak behind Jacksonville's Josh Lambo at 23. 

Notable

The Ravens are running for 204.1 yards per game, which ranks No. 1 in the NFL. With 1,429 rushing yards, Baltimore is on pace (3,266) to break the NFL single-season record held by 1978 Patriots (3,165)

Player Spotlight

Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson has 11 regular-season wins as a starter, third most since he made his first start in Week 11 of 2018. During this span, only Tom Brady and Russell Wilson – both with 12 – have more wins. Jackson also averages 6.94 yards per carry, which ranks No. 1 among all qualified NFL rushers. San Francisco running back Raheem Mostert is second with 5.72 ypc. 

Ravens Game Plan

Offense

The Ravens have the league's No. 1 rushing offense and will need maintain that momentum against the Patriots, who are allowing just 85.3 yards per game on the ground. Jackson is going to have to make sure he protects the ball because New England leads the NFL with 25 takeaways (19 interceptions, six fumbles). The Ravens should have rookie Marquise Brown back in the lineup and he will help stretch the field. Fellow rookie Miles Boykin is also a downfield threat and Jackson will make deep throws if the Patriots stack the box.  Look for Jackson to also make multiple plays on the ground. 

Defense

Tom Brady has tormented opponents and the Ravens are no exception. Brady has won six of seven regular-season games against Baltimore. He has thrown for 1,892 yards with nine touchdowns and four interceptions over that stretch. The Ravens are not going to be able to trick him with any stunts because Brady has seen just about everything over his storied career. The Ravens' secondary is much improved with the acquisition of Marcus Peters and the expected return of Jimmy Smith. Brady's success is based on timing, so the Ravens will need to put pressure on the receivers to offset their routes. New England is not adept at running the ball and averages just 95.3 yards per game, which ranks 23rd in the NFL. 

Prediction

The Ravens will give New England its toughest test to date. The Patriots, however, are clicking on all cylinders and coach Bill Belichick thrives on putting together a game plan to stop a player like Lamar Jackson.  

Patriots 28, Ravens 24