Answering the unsolved questions for the Hall's Centennial Class of 2020

Clark Judge

The Pro Football Hall of Fame was supposed to reveal its Centennial Class of 2020 for Wednesday morning, but somebody couldn’t wait and broke the embargo.

Uh, that would be the Pro Football Hall of Fame, with CEO and president David Baker last weekend announcing on national TV that Bill Cowher and Jimmy Johnson were elected as coaches.

Ooops, there goes that suspense.

Nevertheless, it’s still there for the remaining 13 members of the Centennial Class, including 10 seniors. Their names will be announced – as planned – on Wednesday at 7 a.m. on the NFL Network, and there’s already talk that the list may not include more than a few seniors who played prior to 1960.

In a class designed to celebrate 100 years of the NFL, that would be unfortunate. Nine of the 20 senior finalists are from that era, including four Green Bay Packers, and for many this could be their last shot at Canton. For decades they’ve been forgotten, but with this special class – a once-in-a-hundred-years’ opportunity -- they have a chance to have their cases heard.

And maybe their tickets to Canton punched.

In the meantime, we wait. Ten seniors and three contributors have yet to be named, and there are plenty of questions waiting to be answered. So let’s start asking them:

IS PAUL TAGLIABUE A SURE THING AS ONE OF THE CONTRIBUTORS? Most persons expect it to happen, and count me in. The former NFL commissioner has been one of the Hall’s most polarizing candidates – rejected three times as a finalist (2007-09), including once when he made the final five but failed to gain 80 percent of the vote, and a fourth time as a contributor. I mention that because he’s the only contributor candidate not to be enshrined since the category was created in 2014. However, that was with the Hall’s board of 48 selectors, and they don’t vote here. A 25-member panel chosen by the Hall does, and it’s makeup is far different. In fact, looking at the persons who comprise the panel, it’s hard to believe that Tagliabue won’t gain the votes necessary to cross the finish line … and I don’t think it will be close.

CAN DUKE SLATER AND AL WISTERT FINALLY MAKE IT HOME? Nearly 50 percent of senior finalists are from the pre-modern era (prior to 1960), but expectations are that the percentage drops considerably when the Centennial Class is announced. Nevertheless, Slater and Wistert are favorites to be included among the 10 senior inductees. Slater was a five-time All-Pro tackle and the first African-American offensive lineman. Wistert, also an offensive tackle, was an eight-time All-Pro in nine seasons with Philadelphia, where he won two NFL championships. Both are deserving. Both are long overdue. Moreover, if Wistert were alive today (he died in 2016), he’d turn 100 this year. How appropriate to make him part of the league’s Centennial Class.

WILL DREW PEARSON SCORE ANOTHER “HAIL MARY”? The former Dallas wide receiver is one of only two first-team all-decade choices from the 1970s not enshrined in Canton. The other is former safety Cliff Harris, a teammate of Pearson with the Cowboys. That’s more than bizarre. It’s puzzling. And so is this: Prior to the Centennial Class, only Harris had been a Hall-of-Fame finalist … and that happened just once, in 2004. Then he disappeared into the senior pile, never to be discussed again. For years, Pearson wondered what he did wrong, and the answer is simple: Nothing. He was forgotten. Now he’s this close to scoring a second “Hail Mary,” and here’s hoping he makes it. He deserves nothing less.

IS THIS GEORGE YOUNG’S TIME? The former Giants’ GM has been this close to reaching Canton the past two years as a contributor finalist, and it would only be fair that he makes it now. As one consultant to the contributor committee said once, “He should’ve been elected with the first class (in 2015).” Young brokered peace within the New York Giants, hired Bill Parcells, drafted Lawrence Taylor and Phil Simms and put one of the NFL’s premier franchises back together again. Former Green Bay GM Ron Wolf did the same thing with the Packers in the 1990s, and it earned him a spot in the first contributor class. I’m not sure why it’s taken so long to move on Young.

WHAT HAPPENS TO CLIFF BRANCH? The former Raiders’ wide receiver is a favorite choice among Twitter followers, and he’s been close in past senior committee discussions. But there are a couple of obstacles he must clear: 1) He’s not an all-decade choice, while five other receivers up for elections – Pearson, Harold Carmichael, Ed Sprinkle, Lavern Dilweg and Mac Speedie – are; and 2) he was part of a 1970s’ Raiders’ team that already includes 11 Hall-of-Fame players, one owner and one Hall-of-Fame coach … yet won one Super Bowl that decade. That needs to be explained.

AND WHAT ABOUT DONNIE SHELL? Hall-of-Fame coach Tony Dungy has said that Shell would be the first guy he'd choose for the Hall, and that's great. But Shell seems to have been a victim of Steelers' fatigue, with nine players (including four on defense), one coach and one owner from the 1970s' team already enshrined. Shell was a finalist once, but that was back in 2002, and he didn't make the first cut then. Here he is competing for a spot with the Cowboys' Cliff Harris, another safety who has one big advantage: He was a first-team all-decade choice of the 1970s. Shell was never an all-decade pick. Harris was also a five-time All-Pro, including three first-team nominations. Shell made it on four All-Pro teams, with three first-team selections. Case closed? Not so fast. What makes this so intriguing is Steelers' president Art Rooney II this week saying that Pittsburgh "more than likely" will be in this year's Hall-of-Fame game. So what does he know that we don't? The Hall-of-Fame game usually is reserved for teams with players entering Canton, and while most people expect that modern-era finalist Troy Polamalu will be a first-ballot choice, that's no slam-dunk. OK, so there's former coach Bill Cowher, too. But I wonder if there's more to Rooney's comment.

IS THERE ROOM IN CANTON FOR ANOTHER SABOL? Steve Sabol is one of the contributor candidates, and he might be considered a frontrunner but for one detail – his father, Ed, already is in the Hall. So what? Well, so Ed’s there for his work with NFL Films, which is why Steve is in front of voters today. Ed founded the company that helped popularize the NFL, and Steve perfected it. Can two members of the same family be enshrined for similar accomplishments with the same company? We find out Wednesday.

MORE BUSTS FOR GREEN BAY? The Packers had more senior candidates (4) than anyone: Verne Lewellen, Lavern Dilweg, Cecil Isbell and Bobby Dillon. You have to believe that at least one of them makes it, with the smart money on Dilweg. However, all played prior to 1960, and, based on what I’m hearing, that could diminish their chances.

WILL THE AFL BE REMEMBERED? Hard as it is to believe, there’s only one senior candidate from that league (Jets’ tackle Winston Hill) and one contributor (former Houston/Tennessee owner Bud Adams). Of the two, Hill is the more likely choice, but he played the same position as Slater and Wistert, which could make him more of a longshot. However, I remember when we had Hall-of-Fame coach Bill Parcells on a Talk of Fame Network broadcast, and he recalled visiting the Jets’ training camp in the 1960s. He said there were two guys who immediately gained his attention as extraordinary players: Joe Namath and Winston Hill. Namath’s in the Hall. Hill is near. As the only link among seniors to the AFL, his chances may be enhanced.

Follow on Twitter @ClarkJudgeTOF

Comments (31)
No. 1-7
Plawren2
Plawren2

If only 2-3 pre 1950 seniors are elected it would be disappointing and take away from a major intent of the BRP process to reduce the backlog of deserving candidates from the entire history of the league-not just last few decades. Perhaps elections of Cowher and and Johnson has already given insight to how more recent candidates will fair better off. Sad, as if not elected now my sense is that it will be the end of changes for those pre 1950s to ever get in Hall.

Plawren2
Plawren2

As to Tagliabue, although not ever elected, there clearly has been a strong level of support (as well as detractors!), as he has advanced into finalist stage 4x, including twice to point of final 80% vote needed. Tells me his case in terms of the regular Hall selection committee is not as toxic as some would make it out to be. I am sure if elected by the BRP there will be some voters, media and others outraged but truth is he has his supporters even among the Hall selection committee members.

bachslunch
bachslunch

I may be wrong here, but my understanding is that Paul Tagliabue's candidacy has routinely been sunk by a small clutch of voters who are angry at his slowness to address concussion issues -- and it's just a big enough minority to deny him enshrinement.

If so, it's pretty clear that if he isn't inducted via this route, he never will be. I'm actually fine with him getting in, though there are other Contributors I like better here. So, I say go ahead and enshrine him now as one of the three.

It would have been good to see this happen with other deserving but arguably unelectable Seniors like Jim Tyrer, though.

Rasputin
Rasputin

I'm not sure what the case for Tagliabue over someone like Ralph Hay or any number of other deserving contributors would even be. I don't like the hinted pattern that any modern commissioner or for that matter NFL Films chief automatically gets in (I supported Ed but not Steve).

I oppose Tagliabue because, and this isn't primarily his fault but it's what he presided over and that's apparently what commissioners are credited for, his reign saw the transition from the Great Team Era to the Parity Era. Parity goes against everything the Hall of Fame purports to stand for. I also don't like the PR stunt he agreed to with Cleveland to pretend the new expansion Browns are the same team as the old Browns, when in reality the classic Browns are now the Baltimore Ravens. It's inconsistent with long established precedent and for this all to mean much beyond the shallowness of blindly rooting for laundry, we have to recognize that teams have an organic existence that stretches through history.

brian wolf
brian wolf

Clark, if what you're thinking is true, then our Gold Panel here at TOF, had more respect for the 100 YEARS of great players than the BRP obviously does. Maybe it was more a compromise to allow more KNOWN, modern seniors in exchange for two owners, or an owner like Modell, plus Tagliabue.

donhutson
donhutson

What makes you sense that the guys prior to 1960 have a harder time getting in?

Is it because of who the 2 coaches that were chosen?

brian wolf
brian wolf

Now wondering if Dilweg and Lewellen cancel each other out but Emerson, Speedie , Sprinkle and Dillon could still go in with Slater and Wistert. Think Isbell is out.


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