Why he'll win: Week in and week out, Busch has been the driver to beat this season. He's at the top of the points standings and he should be fast on Sunday at Dover, where he finished fifth last fall.
Keep an eye on: Tony Stewart -- Stewart appears to be coming on. He should have won the Coca-Cola 600 last Sunday but suffered a flat tire late in the race. Plus, Stewart has a history of heating up in the summer.
Don't expect much from: Juan Pablo Montoya -- Montoya?s team is falling apart. His crew chief was recently let go and Montoya met with his owner Chip Ganassi last Saturday to vent his frustration over his team's poor performance this season (Montoya is currently 17th in the standings). Montoya finished 31st in this race last season.
My Pick: Carl Edwards
Why he'll win: He won at Dover last September, and he's been outstanding on intermediate ovals so far this year, with three wins and a handful of top-10 finishes.
Keep an eye on: Tony Stewart -- He's been excellent at Dover in the past, and after a few months of clearing his throat I think he's about ready to make a big statement this year. He should have plenty of motivation after last weekend's near-miss at Charlotte.
Don't expect much from: Kasey Kahne -- He's riding plenty of momentum this week, but I think he'll be happy to leave Dover with a top-15 finish. In eight starts at the Monster Mile, Kahne has only one top-10 finish to go along with a whopping five DNFs.
My Pick: Martin Truex Jr.
Why he'll win: This time last year, Truex scored his first Cup win with a dominating race at his hometown track. That one-mile oval was Dover, Delaware ... and now he's back to do it again. After struggling with consistency so far this season -- Truex is 15th in points with two DNFs -- he needs a repeat performance to jumpstart a run towards the Chase.
Keep an eye on: Jeff Burton -- After a solid sixth at Lowe's, Burton's got some momentum back for his No. 31 team -- and he's also got some solid recent history at the Monster Mile. In his last six starts at Dover, Burton's scored one win and hasn't finished lower than 12th.
Don't expect much from: Kasey Kahne -- The 600 winner is hoping to turn his season around -- but at Dover, he'll just be looking to not get turned. The Monster typically swallows up Kahne's No. 9 -- four of his eight career starts there have ended in wrecks.
My Pick: Greg Biffle
Why he'll win: The Biff has that elusive smile back. He was a hard-fought second last week at Charlotte, he's running well again (eleventh in driver points) and he's feeling a lot of love with contract negotiations on-going. He also has a win and five top-8 finishes in his last six starts on Dover's concrete mile, finishing second to Roush Fenway teammate Carl Edwards last fall.
Keep an eye on: Mark Martin -- Has a win and seven top-10s in his last eight start at Dover -- and four wins all-time -- making him a perennial threat in The First State. Yes, most of that success was in Roush equipment like the kind that has so ably escorted Biffle and Edwards at Dover, but he was seventh, and fourth last year for Ginn/Dale Earnhardt Inc.
Don't expect much from: Kasey Kahne -- Hopefully the heady exuberance of his All-Star race, Coca-Cola 600 sweep will carry him through a weekend that generally doesn?t go well. Actually, it usually ends early. Kahne's average finish in eight starts at Dover is 25.2 with five DNFs.
My Pick: Kyle Busch
Why he'll win: Although he has yet to win at "The Monster Mile," Busch has four top-five finishes in six races at the concrete oval. He will be rock solid on Sunday with a victory.
Keep an eye on: Jeff Gordon -- The time has come for Gordon to make a move before it's too late. He is going for his fifth victory at Dover where he won in September 1995, both races in '96 and this race in 2001. He also has 13 top-five and 18 top-10s in 30 career starts.
Don't expect much from: Dale Earnhardt Jr. -- The winless streak continues for the leader of the "Jr. Nation." He has one win (September '01), four top-five and seven top-10 finishes in 16 career starts.
My Pick: Greg Biffle
Why he'll win: He finished sixth in the spring and second in the fall at Dover last year in the Car of Today and he?s running better this season than in '07. Biffle also has a win at Dover, in the spring of '05. Biffle stopped a slide in the points by finishing second at Lowe's last week, which will boost him and the team, and he was fourth earlier this year at Bristol, the half-mile version of the Monster Mile. Biffle is due for a win and he'll get it Sunday.
Keep an eye on: Denny Hamlin -- He?s been strong on every type of track this season, which shows an adaptability that should be beneficial on those 24-degree banked turns on a 1-mile track and running on concrete. On a shorter but similar track, Hamlin led for the green-white-checkered at Bristol, but a mechanical problem dropped him to sixth. He was fourth last spring and led 61 laps in the fall before trouble forced him to finish 38 at Dover last year. Hamlin should have fire in his eyes Sunday.
Don't expect much from: Jimmie Johnson -- He was mediocre twice at Dover last season, 15th in the spring and 14th in the fall. Johnson also struggled (by the No. 48 team's standards) at Bristol this year, finishing 18, and he?s been in a slump recently with finishes of 13th twice, 30th and 39th in the past four races.
My Pick: Greg Biffle
Why he'll win: Biffle is on the rise. He finished second in both Charlotte races and he loves Dover. In the last five races at Dover, Biffle's worst finish is eighth. He won at the track in 2005.
Keep an eye on: Carl Edwards -- Nobody in NASCAR drives on concrete as well as Edwards. Last year, Edwards finished first and third in the two Cup races at Dover, plus won both Nationwide races at the Delaware track.
Don't expect much from: Kasey Kahne -- Kahne won a pair of races in Charlotte, but that's one of his favorite tracks. Dover hasn't been as kind, with Kahne posting an average finish of 25.3 in eight career starts. He's only got one top-10 finish and five DNFs at the track.
We've Got Apps Too
Get expert analysis, unrivaled access, and the award-winning storytelling only SI can provide—from Peter King, Tom Verducci, Lee Jenkins, Andy Staples, Grant Wahl, and more—delivered straight to you, along with up-to-the-minute news and live scores.