What if . . .
- . . . Alex Rodriguez had been traded to Boston?
- . . . The '94 MLB strike never happened?
- . . . Babe Ruth was sold elsewhere?
- . . . Williams and Dimaggio didn't go to war?
- . . . Michael Jordan had continued playing baseball?
- . . . N.C. State hadn't pulled off its miracle?
- . . . The Blazers had better injury luck?
- . . . Big Ben was drafted by the Giants?
- . . . Donald Trump had made the Bills great?
- . . . Drew Brees had passed his Dolphins physical?
- . . . These field goal attempts had been good?
- . . . George Halas had died in a boat wreck?
- . . . Jim Harbaugh had stuck with Alex Smith as 49ers quarterback?
- . . . The NFL map looked like this?
- . . . Peyton Manning went to San Diego?
- . . . Teddy Roosevelt hadn't revolutionized football?
- . . . Terrell Owens was elected to the NFL Hall of Fame?
- . . . LeBron James had chosen soccer over basketball?
- . . . U.S. soccer got the right call in the '02 World Cup?
- . . . Cleveland had been saved by George Steinbrenner?
- . . . These draft moments had happened differently?
- . . . Injuries had never altered these five careers?
- . . . Lance Armstrong had been whipped by cancer?
- . . . Muhammad Ali had never met Malcolm X?
- . . . PEDs had been legal all along?
- . . . Steve Bartman had never gone to Wrigley?
- . . . Things had happened differently for these four illustrious coaches?
- . . . Tiger Woods had pursued a career as a Navy Seal?
- . . . These trades had actually happened?
- . . . Wayne Gretzky hadn't been traded to the Kings?
Illustration by Michael Byers
What If ... professional athletes had always been able to use PEDs?
by Tim Layden
The sound track of modern sports is skepticism. The logo is a raised eyebrow. The language is snark. When a man rides his bicycle up a mountain too quickly, when a sprinter reaches the finish line too fast or when home runs are piled too high, whatever is left of innocence dies another small death at the altar of disbelief. Too big, too fast, too strong, too many. It has to be the drugs.
Now remove this factor from the equation. Imagine modern performance-enhancing drugs, first used in the 1950s, were never banned. They were accepted as part of sports training and recovery, no different from aspirin or ice (or Toradol). The default position was not that all athletes are clean until proven otherwise by the hopelessly overmatched (and sometimes corrupt) international drug-testing system.
Here a massive disclaimer: All athletes are not clean today. Says Victor Conte, the deposed BALCO mastermind, “There’s still an overwhelming majority who are using these drugs.” Quibble with his numbers, but accept the concept. Microdosing of PEDs under the radar is the most common method. Leagues, international federations and entire nations may or may not be involved in large-scale efforts to avoid the stain of doping and preserve otherworldly athletic performances. Find your ethical comfort level, but understand that drugs are still being used.
However. If they’d never been banned?
PEDs work. There may be an element of Placebo effect, but as a general rule PEDs will affect some degree of performance enhancement, as it says in the title. “Drugs will take your body places you can’t get without them,” says Charles Yesalis, professor emeritus at Penn State and a longtime expert in the field of steroid use. They don’t work to the same degree on everyone. “Some people are hyper responsive, and some people require higher doses for longer periods,” says Conte. Women are affected more than men, because men have far more natural testosterone. But they will make almost everyone a better physical version of him or herself.
If steroids had never been banned (or made illegal for recreational use), “the world would certainly look different,” says Conte.
How different? Michael Joyner, a professor of anesthesiology and an expert in human performance at the Mayo Clinic, says: “In the 100 meters I don’t think anybody would have broken nine seconds flat. (Usain Bolt’s world record is 9.58.) But I do think the record would be 9.2 or 9.3. I don’t think Flo-Jo would be the record-holder for women. (Florence Griffith Joyner’s 29-year-old record of 10.49 seconds, probably very wind-aided, at least, has never been seriously challenged). And Bob Hayes (Olympic gold medalist in the 100 meters in 1964) never trained full-time. He ran on dirt tracks.” And he was never suspected of steroid use.
There’s also a less measurable past. “Imagine Jim Brown on steroids,” says Joyner. “Or Deacon Jones.” A list like this is nearly infinite. Take any great from the past, in any sport, and make his greatness just a little larger. Or perhaps, because everybody would have been juicing, everybody would have been a little bigger, a little faster, a little stronger. Perhaps the pecking order would have remained in place ... or perhaps those who respond better to the drugs might have surpassed our heroes of yore. (And as an aside, Conte also takes issue with the idea that ballplayers who used amphetamines in the 1960s and ’70s weren’t aided. “Do I think Willie Mays and Hank Aaron were helped by greenies?” he asks. “Absolutely.”)
Maybe Barry Bonds’s single-season home run record would be 85 instead of 73—unless you believe Bonds was, in fact, using steroids, which has been widely assumed but never proved. Maybe somebody else also would have hit 73. Perhaps Ben Johnson would still have his gold from the 1988 Seoul Olympics—unless you believe that Carl Lewis-on-roids would have beaten him. (True cynics are laughing at this qualifying clause.) Really, there’s already plenty of evidence of what a virtually unregulated steroid culture looks like: Six still-standing women’s individual track and field world records were set by Eastern bloc athletes in the 1980’s, when state-sponsored doping was rampant. Likewise, pro bodybuilding does not test for PEDs, and the winners have grown bigger and more impressive over time.
The use of PEDs is a science. The athletes who’ve been most successful in the black-market era are the ones who employ the best chemists, and by extension have the best drugs (and the best system for not getting caught). Those chemists would only be more valuable if PEDs weren’t banned. In their support systems, along with personal trainers, strength coaches and massage therapists, agents and business managers, athletes would also have steroid gurus. ”I want to thank my mother, the people of Cleveland, my teammates and my business partners,” LeBron James said after finally bringing an NBA title back to his hometown. “But most of all, I have to thank my medical staff for putting together the right mix of anabolics and stimulants to keep me strong all season long. It’s a grind. These guys are the best.” Medicine men would wield massive power, selling themselves on the open market to the highest bidders or affiliating themselves with teams or shoe and apparel companies. (Again, true cynics titter.)
Then there’s the issue of the long-term effects on all these oversized bodies. “There does reach a point,” says Conte, “where steroid use builds so much muscle mass that connective tissue, tendons and ligaments, cannot handle the stress. Too much can be as bad—or worse than—too little.” Long term, the picture gets a little more fuzzy, but, Yesalis clarifies, “there are no drugs without side effects. Are anabolic steroids safe? Of course not. But there’s no way I can put them into the same category as amphetamines or cocaine or even tobacco.”
And then the question becomes: To what extent would this sports ecosystem police itself? Would we have seen ever larger, faster, more powerful NFL players until we had 400-pounders who lasted only a single season before being tossed aside? Would we have needed bigger baseball stadiums to contain the 700-foot home runs, taller baskets to support the 60-inch vertical leaps of 300-pound power forwards? “I’m not sure there’s any limit on the appetite for seeing bigger-than-life humans,” says Yesalis. “Eventually it might all have drifted toward rollerball.”
Even in a culture where PEDs are banned, there is evidence that athletes in poor countries like Ethiopia and Kenya will aggressively use black-market drugs in a gamble at life-changing success. “They have a chance to become wealthy,” says Joyner. Athletes’ ethics would be challenging, if not in the binary manner of today’s world, but rather in deciding how much to risk. Money would be a driving force, as always.
Logically, the medical community would have intervened, setting limits in the name of safety, protecting the greedy and driven from themselves. Use the drugs, they would have said, but not so much that you die. There would have been testing labs. Athletes, coaches and doctors would have sought ways to circumvent that system to maximize performance.
Media and fans would have been skeptical of what they saw, wondering if perhaps the athletes had exceeded their limits. Fingers would have been pointed. Denials would have been issued. Uncertainty would have reigned.