SummerStuds
Despite the common perception, sometimes a player's preseason success doestranslate to regular-season success

NEARLY EVERYONEsays that preseason football stats mean nothing. Take a look at the rushingleaders from the 2005 preseason, however, and you'll see some players who wenton to become regular-season starters--or stars. (Players are listed with their'05 teams.) This doesn't mean you should go out of your way to draft '06preseason leaders in the early rounds, but some definitely are worth a laterpick, especially in keeper leagues.

 

2005 PRESEASON RUSHING LEADERS PRESEASON YARDS REGULAR-SEASON YARDS
CHESTER TAYLOR Ravens 270 487
LARRY JOHNSON Chiefs 254 1,750
ADRIAN PETERSON Bears 233 391
MICHAEL TURNER Chargers 222 335
STEVEN JACKSON Rams 215 1,046
MIKE ANDERSON Broncos 210 1,014
VERNAND MORENCY Texans 209 184
THOMAS JONES Bears 194 1,335
JULIUS JONES Cowboys 193 993
RON DAYNE Broncos 187 270


SIEVES AND STONEWALLS
In 2005 NFL defenses allowed 166 100-yard receiving games, 138 100-yard rushinggames and 64 300-yard passing games. Use the chart below to help you set yourlineup accordingly early in the season.

DEFENSE 100-YD RUSH. 100-YD REC. 300-YD PASS. TOTAL ALLOWED
49ERS 5 12 7 24
GIANTS 6 9 4 19
PATRIOTS 6 9 4 19
RAMS 8 8 2 18
TEXANS 10 5 1 16
BENGALS 5 6 4 15
EAGLES 7 5 3 15
FALCONS 8 6 1 15
SEAHAWKS 1 9 5 15
BILLS 6 6 2 14
LIONS 7 5 2 14
BRONCOS 2 8 2 12
TITANS 8 4 0 12
BROWNS 7 3 1 11
COWBOYS 4 6 1 11
CHIEFS 1 6 4 11
VIKINGS 2 6 3 11
PACKERS 5 4 1 10
JAGUARS 3 5 2 10
REDSKINS 3 6 1 10
CARDINALS 4 5 0 9
PANTHERS 3 4 2 9
RAIDERS 3 4 2 9
RAVENS 4 3 1 8
CHARGERS 1 4 3 8
BEARS 3 3 1 7
DOLPHINS 2 4 1 7
JETS 6 1 0 7
BUCS 2 4 1 7
SAINTS 3 2 1 6
COLTS 2 2 1 5
STEELERS 1 2 1 4

 

DIGITALPROJECTION

Playing theFutures Game
PROTRADE.com takes fantasy rankings to the next level by incorporatingprojected statistics. Here are PROTRADE's top 10 players at each skillposition.

               ProjectedPassing Projected Rushing
QUARTERBACKS Att. Comp. Yds. TDs INTs Rush. Yds. TDs
1 - PEYTON MANNING Colts 518 348 4,215 30 14 42 92 1
2 - TOM BRADY Patriots 553 351 4,300 27 16 37 127 1
3 - DONOVAN MCNABB Eagles 516 313 3,854 25 14 59 239 3
4 - CARSON PALMER Bengals 485 317 3,894 28 12 33 69 1
5 - MICHAEL VICK Falcons 437 247 2,975 17 12 97 527 4
6 - MATT HASSELBECK Seahawks 518 331 3,615 23 14 36 126 1
7 - ELI MANNING Giants 540 297 3,784 23 16 29 88 1
8 - MARC BULGER Rams 491 309 3,762 21 15 34 124 1
9 - JAKE PLUMMER Broncos 489 301 3,357 21 13 56 188 2
10 - DREW BREES Saints 451 287 3,467 21 13 43 119 2


             ProjectedRushing             Projected Receiving
RUNNING BACKS Att. Yds. TDs Att. Yds. TDs
1 - LARRY JOHNSON Chiefs 360 1,662 18 38 336 1
2 - LADAINIAN TOMLINSON Chargers 339 1,544 14 65 524 2
3 - SHAUN ALEXANDER Seahawks 342 1,616 15 25 177 1
4 - TIKI BARBER Giants 323 1,436 9 52 438 1
5 - LAMONT JORDAN Raiders 303 1,258 9 70 549 2
6 - STEVEN JACKSON Rams 300 1,242 10 53 408 2
7 - EDGERRIN JAMES Cardinals 303 1,232 9 53 404 1
8 - WILLIS MCGAHEE Bills 328 1,349 10 32 248 1
9 - REUBEN DROUGHNS Browns 307 1,361 8 43 347 1
10 - CADILLAC WILLIAMS Buccaneers 300 1,251 9 42 292 1

 

             ProjectedReceiving            Projected Rushing
WIDE RECEIVERS Att. Yds. TDs Att. Yds. TDs
1 - CHAD JOHNSON Bengals 98 1,311 15 6 36 0
2 - TERRELL OWENS Cowboys 91 1,278 14 3 15 0
3 - TORRY HOLT Rams 100 1,333 13 2 12 0
4 - DONALD DRIVER Packers 94 1,285 10 6 36 0
5 - CHRIS CHAMBERS Dolphins 99 1,371 9 11 64 0
6 - STEVE SMITH Panthers 92 1,291 9 3 20 0
7 - MARVIN HARRISON Colts 86 1,122 12 0 0 0
8 - LARRY FITZGERALD Cardinals 85 1,145 10 9 55 0
9 - RANDY MOSS Raiders 85 1,200 9 0 0 0
10 - ANQUAN BOLDIN Cardinals 90 1,192 9 6 37 0


THERE'S A method to this madness. In order to help its members buy and sellplayers, PROTRADE.com, a website that treats sports like the stock market, usesan advanced mathematical method to project the production of each NFL playerlisted on its site. PROTRADE employs depth charts, historical and situationalstatistics and a regression analysis involving more than 100 quantitativevariables to answer two questions: 1) How many attempts--passes, carries,receptions etc.--will the player likely get in 2006, and 2) How will he performon a per-attempt basis? After adjusting the expected usage for schedule,PROTRADE then projects the approximate numbers each player is likely to put upin the '06 season. Rankings are determined by weighting certain statistics moreheavily depending on the position.

        Projected
TIGHT ENDS Rec. Yds. TDs
1 - ANTONIO GATES Chargers 79 968 9
2 - TONY GONZALEZ Chiefs 75 887 7
3 - TODD HEAP Ravens 71 767 8
4 - JEREMY SHOCKEY Giants 71 847 6
5 - ALGE CRUMPLER Falcons 64 781 7
6 - L.J. SMITH Eagles 64 720 7
7 - JASON WITTEN Cowboys 57 685 7
8 - RANDY MCMICHAEL Dolphins 69 693 6
9 - CHRIS COOLEY Redskins 64 709 5
10 - BEN TROUPE Titans 56 561 6


EXPANDED PROJECTIONS
Don't see your favorite player listed above? For more of PROTRADE.com'sprojections and a detailed explanation of its methodology, go toSI.com/fantasy.

TELLINGNUMBERS

220
RUSHING YARDS for Giants running back Tiki Barber against the Chiefs last Dec.17, the most rushing yards for any player in a game last season. Barber cleared200 yards three times in '05, the first back since Earl Campbell (four) in 1980to do so that many times.

238
RECEIVING YARDS for Dolphins receiver Chris Chambers against the Bills lastDec. 4, the most receiving yards for any player in a game last season and thehighest total since 2002.

442
PASSING YARDS for Rams quarterback MARC BULGER against the Giants last Oct. 2,the only time a QB surpassed 400 yards in 2005.

PHOTOG. NEWMAN LOWRANCE/WIREIMAGE.COM (BULGER) PHOTODAMIAN STROHMEYER (JONES) PHOTOPETER READ MILLER (PLUMMER) PHOTOBOB ROSATO (SMITH)

HOLE YARDS PAR R1 R2 R3 R4
OUT
HOLE YARDS PAR R1 R2 R3 R4
IN
Eagle (-2)
Birdie (-1)
Bogey (+1)
Double Bogey (+2)