November 27, 2006
The Baton Rougenative must absolutely hate it when the Saints come marching into Atlanta. Dunnhasn't topped 100 yards against the Falcons' division rival since Nov. 16,2003, and he's never accomplished the feat in the Georgia Dome. Moreover, hehad his worst game of the season against New Orleans in Week 3: He was held to44 yards rushing, and he had two catches for two yards. Michael Vick's recentdedication to the passing game hasn't helped either. Before that, Dunn hadaveraged 102.2 yards rushing, but in the five games since Vick promised to passmore, Dunn has seen his numbers plummet, to 60.4 a game. The one consolationhas been that Dunn is racking up more receptions and receiving yards, but theSaints' defense, which is 11th in the NFL against the pass, has allowedopposing running backs just one receiving TD (and 19.7 receiving yards pergame) all year.
Chargers VS. Raiders
Given LaDainian Tomlinson's propensity for destroying the Oakland defense everytime he faces it, the efficient Rivers (230.7 yards per game, 15 TDs, fivepicks) will remain in the background this week while LT carries the ball 30 orso times (his average in his last seven games against the Raiders is 28.9).
Chiefs VS. Broncos
On Sunday against the Raiders, Green, playing for the first time since beingknocked out in Week 1 and without TE Tony Gonzalez (shoulder sprain), servedmerely as the go-between for Larry Johnson and the football. Don't expect muchto change on Thursday against Denver's tough D, especially if Gonzo is outagain.
Bears AT Patriots
The most inconsistent QB in fantasy football completes his three-week journeythrough the Northeast. Since he's facing a New England defense that has allowedonly 154.8 passing yards per game to the last four starters it has faced notnamed Peyton Manning, it's a safe bet which Grossman will show up.
Panthers AT Redskins
Poor DeShaun Foster. He was running splendidly against the Rams last week (7.0yards per carry) when he went down with an elbow injury. Worse yet, his backup,DeAngelo Williams, racked up 114 easy yards. So even if Foster is healthy,expect to see more of Williams--which hurts even more.
Bears AT Patriots
Jones, one of two of the NFL's top 10 rushers who has not had a run of morethan 30 yards, will have a hard time cracking a New England defense that isbuilt to contain. The Pats have not allowed a run of more than 21 yards, andthey're even tougher on the goal line, having given up just five rushingTDs.
Ravens VS. Steelers
Lewis went almost untouched on all three of his TD runs against the punchlessFalcons on Sunday. Don't expect anything of the sort against Pittsburgh, whichhasn't allowed an RB to top 92 yards all year. Lewis hasn't hit that markagainst the Steelers since '03; he's averaged 58.2 yards in that five-gamestretch.
Chiefs VS. Broncos
It's usually a wise move to sit a receiver if he's facing Denver, which has oneof the league's best cover corners in Champ Bailey. This week Kennison not onlyhas to go up against Bailey, but with Tony Gonzalez banged up, he also may havethe added burden of extra defensive attention (read: John Lynch).
Lions VS. Dolphins
Miami's defense is on a roll, having given up only four TDs over its last threegames--while scoring three of its own. The Dolphins also haven't allowed a100-yard receiving game in their last four games, and Williams has neitherscored nor had 100 yards receiving in the last two weeks. He'll be wearing abull's-eye.
Eagles AT Colts
No Philadelphia player is more adversely affected by Donovan McNabb's kneeinjury than Stallworth, the team's most dangerous downfield threat. Jeff Garciahas never been known for his ability to throw the deep ball (just ask T.O.) andwill look to beat Indianapolis with short passes rather than long strikes.
Steelers AT Ravens
Miller is in the midst of a miserable slump in which he hasn't topped 34receiving yards since Week 1, and it's highly unlikely that he'll break out ofit against Baltimore. The Ravens have already stymied a pair of Pro Bowl tightends--limiting the Falcons' Alge Crumpler to two catches on Sunday and theChargers' Antonio Gates to four in Week 4.
Bears AT Patriots
For his part, Gould has been perfect this year. (He's 24 of 24 on field goalattempts.) But the Chicago offense has slowed to a crawl, which eliminatesthose 4-for-4 games Gould enjoyed in September. Also, after a tame day on theFieldTurf at Giants Stadium on Sunday, don't expect such kicker-friendlyconditions in Foxborough.
Miller's slump aside, Pittsburgh can still put up points. The Steelers areeighth in the league in scoring (23.9 points a game), and they've beenespecially hot since they struggled against San Diego in Week 5. In its lastsix games the team has averaged 29.7 points, and QB Ben Roethlisberger hasthrown for 291 yards per game.
FISH OR CUTBAIT?
When he wasselected out of South Carolina in April 2005, this speedster drew favorablecomparisons with Randy Moss, the player he was drafted to replace in theMinnesota passing attack. But Williamson has failed to duplicate hispredecessor's stats even at Moss's discounted Oakland rates, let alone at hisAll-Pro level with the Vikings. Williamson's three catches over his last threegames and his two career TDs (both last season) are sure signs that the hypesurrounding his fantasy potential completely outstrips his productivity.
WEEK 12 INJURY WATCH
sprained big toes
out, torn MCL
out, torn ACL
For the latest injury news, go toSI.com/football/nfl/injuries.