One More Time!

Last week's action blew up a lot of BCS predictions, including ours, but the same seven teams still have a shot at the title. Here's how each finds its way to Miami
November 26, 2012

OREGON

STANFORD

LOST

The Ducks no longer control their destiny.

OREGON ST.

LOSE

Even if Oregon wins, the Ducks need UCLA to beat Stanford to get into the Pac-12 title game.

PAC-12 CHAMPIONSHIP

LOSE

A loss here and they're a non-BCS bowl team.

WIN

Has ND lost? Has 'Bama or Georgia gone to two losses? What about Florida and Florida State? The Rose is the likeliest scenario.

YES

KANSAS ST.

BAYLOR

LOST

Losing to a team that was 2--5 in the conference was likely the death knell for K-State's hopes.

TEXAS

LOSE

Texas is better than Baylor, so this loss wouldn't be a shocker. The Wildcats are likely headed to a non-BCS bowl.

WIN

Has everyone else lost, and are voters unwilling to support an all-SEC final? In any case, a BCS bowl awaits.

YES

NOTRE DAM

WAKE FOREST

USC

LOSE

Style points do not exist for the Fighting Irish. If Notre Dame wins 2--0, the Irish will play for the national title. But if Notre Dame loses, it opens the floodgates for a variety of possibilities—including a previously unthinkable all-SEC title game for the second consecutive year.

WIN

ALABAMA

W. CAROLINA

AUBURN

LOSE

Could create a three-way SEC West tie with LSU and Texas A&M, who have better division records than Alabama. LSU wins the West by virtue of its victory over the Aggies.

WIN

SEC CHAMPIONSHIP

LOSE

Non-BCS bowl and a shocking fall from grace.

WIN

GEORGIA

GEORGIA SOUTHERN

GEORGIA TECH

WIN

SEC CHAMPIONSHIP

LOSE

Non-BCS bowl.

WIN

Have they beaten Georgia Tech? If they're 12--1 the Dawgs play for the big trophy. Unless voters somehow pass them over.

NO

Most likely the Sugar.

YES

FLORIDA

JACKSONVILLE STATE

FLORIDA ST.

LOSE

Proceed directly to a non-BCS bowl, which seems right after the Gators looked less than dominant against Jacksonville State.

WIN

Has Notre Dame lost? Is Oregon locked out of the Pac-12 title game?

NO

Other BCS bowl.

YES

FLORIDA ST.

MARYLAND

FLORIDA

LOSE

Either way, they're going to the ACC championship, but a loss here would end title hopes.

WIN

ACC CHAMPIONSHIP

LOSE

Non-BCS bowl.

WIN

A win against Florida and an ACC championship help the Seminoles' case, but they still need more help to overcome the computers. The Orange Bowl is a likely destination.

NO

Looks like the Orange.

YES

DISCOVER

BCS

NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP

SOUTH FLORIDA

2013

ILLUSTRATIONJULIE TENINBAUM (ILLUSTRATION) PHOTOGREG NELSONDEBT NOTICE Baylor fans celebrate their team's contribution to last week's madness and Notre Dame's good fortune.

HOLE YARDS PAR R1 R2 R3 R4
OUT
HOLE YARDS PAR R1 R2 R3 R4
IN
Eagle (-2)
Birdie (-1)
Bogey (+1)
Double Bogey (+2)