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Nuggets vs. 76ers Prediction, Player Props, Picks & Odds: Tues, 1/16

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In what many fans would consider an NBA Finals preview, the Philadelphia 76ers host the Denver Nuggets tonight to tip-off the light three-game slate. As if fans needed any more reason to tune in, fewer games tonight means that all eyes will be on this matchup. Therefore, we’ve provided our experts best Nuggets vs. 76ers prediction and player props for you.

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NUGGETS VS. 76ERS PREDICTION: Under 228.5 points (-110 at DraftKings Sportsbook)

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Nuggets vs. 76ers Predictions for Tuesday on TNT, 1/16

Philly fans were able to rejoice at the fact that Joel Embiid was back on the court, which was just yesterday afternoon against the Houston Rockets. The 76ers controlled that game from start to finish, and even the final 124-115 score was closer than it felt.

However, it’s safe to say that facing Nikola Jokic and company is a far tougher test. With the league MVPs from the past three seasons on the court, it feels like a game that could truly go either way. So, rather than focusing on that approach, our Nuggets vs. 76ers prediction is focused on the over/under.

We’re going to be targeting a lower-scoring game, which for some fans may seem surprising. As incredible as Embiid and Jokic are from a bucket-getting perspective, they are also forces to be reckoned with down low. Not only that, but when these types of marquee matchups arise, they step up under the bright lights.

That means maximum effort on the defensive end, which is why just one game in the last five meetings between these teams has gone over the total. Along with all that, the Nuggets are the second-best team this season in terms of hitting the under. Therefore, our best Nuggets vs. 76ers prediction is under 228.5 points (-110 at DraftKings Sportsbook).

Nuggets vs. 76ers Player Props & Expert Picks Featuring Tyrese Maxey & Aaron Gordon

If you’d rather not root against points, we understand, which is why we also have our Nuggets vs. 76ers player props for you. The first of which is focused on Philly’s Tyrese Maxey. While we expect the game to stay under the total, that doesn’t mean nobody will be finding the bottom of the net.

We expect Maxey to continue doing so, as he’s done all season. Maxey in the starting role has taken the 76ers to a new level, and he’s brought them there by averaging over 26 points per game. He was in the starting lineup against Denver when these teams last met, and he finished with 29 points.

We’re getting a great number on his prop, as the Nuggets have a stout defense, but he’s already proven that does not intimidate him. It’s also a valuable number given Embiid is back on the court to vulture plenty of those points. However, in Embiid’s return yesterday, Maxey still put up 27 points alongside Embiid’s 41 points.

That’s why we’re comfortable getting our Nuggets vs. 76ers player props started with Tyrese Maxey over 25.5 points (-110 at DraftKings Sportsbook). We also have a play on the Denver side of things, which is with Aaron Gordon.

We’ve already mentioned that both team’s feature great defenses, and Philly is allowing the sixth-fewest points per game. We know that Nikola Jokic will always get his, but the others around him should struggle. That includes Aaron Gordon, who has scored just single-digit points more often than not against Philly.

In Gordon’s last six games against Embiid and company, he scored fewer than 10 points in four of them. He’s been rather solid so far this month, which is why his prop is a bit inflated in comparison to his usual number. That only has us liking this play even more, which is Aaron Gordon under 14.5 points (-130 at DraftKings Sportsbook).

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Nuggets vs. 76ers Odds & Lines via DraftKings Sportsbook for Tuesday, January 16th, 2024

When it comes to the latest DraftKings Sportsbook odds that you see below, a $110 bet on our Nuggets vs. 76ers prediction profits $100 as long as the game ends with 228 or fewer points.

Point spread:

  • Denver Nuggets +3 (-108) vs. Philadelphia 76ers -3 (-112)

Money line:

  • Denver Nuggets (+124) vs. Philadelphia 76ers (-148)

Total (over/under):

  • Over 228.5 (-110) vs. Under 228.5 (-110)

Tyrese Maxey points:

  • Over 25.5 (-110) vs. Under 25.5 (-120)

Aaron Gordon points:

  • Over 14.5 (+100) vs. Under 14.5 (-130)

As for our Nuggets vs. 76ers player props, a $110 bet on Tyrese Maxey profits $100 as long as he scores at least 26 points, while a $130 bet on Aaron Gordon profits $100 as long as he is held to 14 points or fewer.

Nuggets vs. 76ers Injury Report and Projected Starters for NBA on TNT

Wrapping things up is a quick look at the projected lineups for both teams, along with the notable injuries to keep in mind.

DEN Nuggets:

  • Jamal Murray
  • Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
  • Michael Porter Jr.
  • Aaron Gordon
  • Nikola Jokic

PHI 76ers:

For Denver, Julian Strawther remains out, while Peyton Watson and Christian Braun are listed as day-to-day. For Philly, it’s all about the return of Joel Embiid that we discussed breaking down our Nuggets vs. 76ers prediction, and De’Anthony Melton recently suffered a back injury keeping him out of the lineup.

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