Boise State’s College Football Playoff odds tick up

Broncos are +1400 to reach CFP

Boise State offensive linemen. | Nathan Ray Seebeck-Imagn Images

To have any shot at making a return trip to the College Football Playoff, Boise State needs chaos in the American Conference standings. 

The last two weeks have benefitted the Broncos as Memphis (7-1, 3-1 American) followed up a surprising road loss to UAB (3-4, 1-3) with a come-from-behind victory over then-No. 18 South Florida (6-2, 3-1). The Bulls hammered Boise State in Week 1, 34-7. 

Navy (7-0, 5-0) sits atop the American standings, followed by Tulane (6-1, 3-0), No. 25 Memphis (7-1, 3-1), North Texas (7-1, 3-1), South Florida (6-2, 3-1) and Temple (5-3, 3-1). Memphis, South Florida and Tulane all have victories over Power Four opponents this season. 

The Mountain West is also top-heavy with Boise State (6-2, 4-0 MWC), San Diego State (6-1, 3-0), Hawaii (6-2, 3-1) and UNLV (6-1, 2-1) leading the way. The Aztecs, Rainbow Warriors and Rebels all have Power Four wins while Boise State dropped its two premier non-conference games against South Florida and No. 12 Notre Dame. 

San Diego State at Nevada football game at Mackay Stadium on Oct. 11, 2025. SDSU won 44-10. | Andy Barron / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

In the latest odds from FanDuel, the American is a heavy favorite to represent the Group of Five in the CFP. Tulane has the lowest CFP odds at +260, followed by South Florida (+340), North Texas (+490), Memphis (+520) and Navy (+1040). 

Only two MWC teams have CFP odds listed by FanDuel: Boise State (+1400) and San Diego State (+2500). The Broncos were +1600 last week before picking up a 24-3 road victory over Nevada.

James Madison of the Sun Belt is also above Boise State in the CFP odds at +470. The Dukes (7-1) are dominating the Sun Belt and have a soft remaining schedule. 

The five highest-rated conference champions in the final CFP rankings receive automatic bids to the playoff. 

Several American contenders are on the road this week as Tulane travels to UTSA (3-4, 1-2) on Thursday, Memphis plays at Rice (4-4, 1-3) on Friday while North Texas hosts Navy on Saturday. 

Boise State, which has a home game with Fresno State (5-3, 2-2) on Saturday, remains a big favorite to win a third straight MWC title at -180. San Diego State (+330), UNLV (+850), Hawaii (+1400), New Mexico (+3000) and Fresno State (+5500) also have odds listed by FanDuel. 

San Diego State hosts Boise State on Nov. 15. 

Odds are courtesy of FanDuel. Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER.