#2 Purdue vs. Indiana Prediction, Picks & Betting Odds for Today, 1/16
From 2017 to 2021, Purdue went on a 9-0 tear against Indiana. Since head coach Mike Woodson’s arrival following the conclusion of that 2021 season, however, Indiana has won three of four, each of the two meetings last season and two straight in Bloomington.
With Purdue leading the all-time series 125-92 and Indiana poised to upset the Boilermakers once more on their home floor, our experts have delivered an official Purdue vs. Indiana prediction in the article below, with betting odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook.
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PURDUE BOILERMAKERS VS. INDIANA HOOSIERS PREDICTION: Indiana +9.5 (-110 at FanDuel Sportsbook)
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Purdue vs. Indiana Prediction for Today's College Basketball Game on Peacock
While we do dive into the specifics of this matchup, the superficial basis for our main Purdue vs. Indiana prediction is based on recent trends. Purdue has failed to cover the spread in three straight games and four of their past five, as well as each of the last two games in Bloomington. Indiana, meanwhile, has covered the spread in each of their last five home games.
Indiana is 9-1 at home this season, with the lone loss coming to #3 Kansas by four points. In Big Ten play, Indiana has defeated Maryland by 12 at home, Ohio State by six at home and Minnesota by 12 at home. Purdue is just 1-2 in true road games, with each of those losses coming in conference play at Northwestern and Nebraska, two venues and environments that do not match the atmosphere of Assembly Hall in Bloomington.
While we do expect Purdue to right their road woes and squeak out a victory tonight, we expect Indiana to get up for this game, battle and keep this close for 40 minutes. Take Indiana +9.5 (-110 at FanDuel) to back our Purdue vs. Indiana prediction on the Purdue vs. Indiana spread.
Purdue vs. Indiana Picks & Best Bets Featuring Braden Smith Over 11.5 Points
Indiana +9.5 is the best bet from our Purdue vs. Indiana prediction, but we have a couple of other Purdue vs. Indiana picks we are high on, including player props centered around Braden Smith.
A crucial reason Indiana beat Purdue twice last year is due to the ball pressure of veteran guards Xavier Johnson and Trey Galloway. Those two guards were able to bully the freshmen backcourt duo of Braden Smith and Fletcher Loyer. Smith and Loyer played scared when the lights were brightest last season, and that’s not atypical of freshmen guards. Those two haven’t been playing scared this year, even if they still have their share of struggles on the road.
The fact of the matter is Indiana will have to overcome a matchup disadvantage in this one if they hope to cover the Purdue vs. Indiana spread and have a chance for victory. While Indiana could limit the production of big man Zach Edey this evening, thanks to their excellent paint defense, the focus and interior specialty forfeits guarding the three-point line, which is music to Purdue’s ears.
When Edey isn’t pouring in points at the rim, Purdue is taking and making three-pointers. Purdue shoots 39.8% from deep as a team, which is good for ninth best in the country. Part of that elite three-point shooting is in part thanks to Braden Smith, who is shooting a cool 48% from beyond the arc this season. In his two games against Indiana last year, Xavier Johnson forced a combined 3-for-19 shooting performance.
We believe in Smith’s progress, and while Johnson is still as stingy a defender as ever, we believe Smith will overcome his demons enough to produce a respectable shooting night. Take Braden Smith Over 11.5 Total Points (-120 at FanDuel) to back our Purdue vs. Indiana prediction in full and complete our Purdue vs. Indiana picks.
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If you haven’t yet joined FanDuel Sportsbook, you can use this link to become a new member. Once your account is set up and verified, deposit $10 and browse the NCAAB lines. Select the odds that intrigue you, including Purdue vs. Indiana odds on one of the bets within our Purdue vs. Indiana prediction.
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Purdue vs. Indiana Betting Odds, Lines & Spreads at FanDuel
We’ve mentioned the Purdue vs. Indiana odds tied to our Purdue vs. Indiana prediction, but for a clear outlook of FanDuel Sportsbook’s odds for this game, check out the bulleted list below:
- Point Spread: Purdue -9.5 (-110) vs. Indiana +9.5 (-110)
- Money Line: Purdue (-500) vs. Indiana (+375)
- Point Total: Over 149.5 (-120) / Under 149.5 (-102)
- Braden Smith Points: Over 11.5 (-120) / Under 11.5 (-110)
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Probable Lineups for Purdue vs. Indiana Today, 1/16
Purdue:
- Braden Smith
- Fletcher Loyer
- Lance Jones
- Trey Kaufman-Renn
- Zach Edey
Indiana:
- Xavier Johnson
- Trey Galloway
- Mackenzie Mgbako
- Malik Renau
- Kel’el ware
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